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Competing Risk Proportional Hazard Models of Farm Service Agency Direct Operating Loans AgEcon
Dixon, Bruce L.; Ahrendsen, Bruce L.; Foianini, Monica; Hamm, Sandra J.; Danforth, Diana M..
The USDA Farm Service Agency (FSA) direct farm loan program is designed to provide credit to family-sized farms unable to obtain credit from conventional sources at reasonable rates and terms despite having sufficient cash flow to repay and an ability to fully securitize the loan. FSA policy encourages borrowers to exit the program as soon as possible. This study uses Cox proportional hazard models in a competing risks framework to identify predictive factor of: (1) loan success or default, and (2) length of time to loan termination. Survey data from 1925 direct loans originated in federal fiscal years 1994-95 are used for analysis. Only data available to FSA at time of origination were collected. Since these data are all the information FSA has at time...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Duration; Farm Service Agency; Direct loans; Competing risks; Agricultural Finance; Risk and Uncertainty; C29; G28; Q12; Q14.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48140
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Cumulative incidence estimation in the presence of competing risks AgEcon
Coviello, Vincenzo; Boggess, May.
When competing risks are present, the appropriate estimate of the failure probabilities is the cumulative incidence. stcompet creates new variables containing the estimate of this function, its standard error, and ln(−ln) transformed confidence bounds. Two examples are presented to illustrate the use of the new command and some key features of the cumulative incidence.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Stcompet; Survival analysis; Competing risks; Cumulative incidence; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/116230
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A COMPARISON OF OPTION-THEORETIC AND CHOICE-THEORETIC APPROACHES TO EVALUATING ALTERNATIVE FINANCIAL TECHNOLOGIES FOR MORTGAGE LOANS TO LOW-INCOME HOUSEHOLDS AgEcon
Hartarska, Valentina M.; Gonzalez-Vega, Claudio.
This paper evaluates the efficacy of two alternative lending technologies - the traditional banking technology and a cash flow based counseling program - by using competing risks (option-based) and choice theoretic approaches. We find evidence to support the notion that low-income borrowers have some degree of financial sophistication, as they prepay the mortgage loan by considering the current value of the call option. The evidence also suggests that borrower heterogeneity and insolvency affect mortgage termination.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Credit counseling; Competing risks; Low-income mortgage loans.; Financial Economics; Q140 (Agricultural Finance); Q140.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19645
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