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Registros recuperados: 149
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TEACHING NOTE FOR CASE STUDY: “STRATEGIC DECISION-MAKING UNDER UNCERTAINTY: INNOVATION AND NEW PRODUCT INTRODUCTION DURING VOLATILE TIMES AgEcon
Roucan-Kane, Maud; Boehlje, Michael.
This teaching note accompanies the case study titled “Strategic Decision Making under Uncertainty: Innovation and New Product Introduction during Volatile Times” published under the reference: Boehlje, M. And M. Roucan-Kane, ”Strategic Decision Making under Uncertainty: Innovation and New Product Introduction during Volatile Times”, International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, 12 (4), 2009. This case study outlines the strategic, marketing, and organizational issues facing the farm machinery and equipment division of Deere and Company as it is considering the development of products in the information domain, which encompasses many opportunities of disruptive innovations to market to new or underserved customers. While these disruptive...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Teaching note; Uncertainty; Innovation; Real options; Portfolio; Agribusiness; D81.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/54372
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New Regulations Governing Concentrated Animal Feeding Operations Require New Solutions: Discussion AgEcon
Fleming, Ronald A.; Thomas, Michael H..
This paper discusses the three invited papers presented in the session titled “New Regulations Require New Solutions: Federal Provisions Governing Concentrated Animal Feeding Operations” (i.e., CAFOs). These papers provide an excellent review of current state and federal laws and an excellent summary of what has been and is currently being done with respect to CAFO regulation. The papers present three different policy approaches: i) alternative performance standards, ii) location-specific regulation, and iii) insurance-based underwriting of CAFO discharges. Each approach has its drawbacks; however, blending theses suggested policies into current regulations would result in efficiency gains.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Alternative performance standards; Animal Feeding Operations; Confined Animal Feeding Operations; Environmental quality; Insurance; Livestock; Manure management; Market-based incentives; Regulation; Spatial regulation; D81; K32; Q52; Q55; Q58.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43349
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Optimal Nitrogen Fertilization Rates in Winter Wheat Production as Affected by Risk, Disease, and Nitrogen Source AgEcon
Roberts, Roland K.; Walters, Jeremy T.; Larson, James A.; English, Burton C.; Howard, Donald D..
Interactions among the nitrogen (N) fertilization rate, N source, and disease severity can affect mean yield and yield in conservation tillage wheat production. A Just-Pope model was used to evaluate the effects of N rate, N source, and disease on the spring N fertilization decision. Ammonium nitrate (AN) was the utility-maximizing N source, regardless of risk preferences. The net-return-maximizing AN rate was 92 lb N/acre, providing $0.52/acre higher net returns than the best alternative N source (urea). If a farmer could anticipate a higher-than-average Take-All Root Rot infection, the difference in optimal net returns between AN and urea would increase to $35.11/acre.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Certainty equivalent; Blume-Blotch; Nitrogen fertilizer; Nitrogen source; Risk; Take-All; Winter wheat; D21; D81; Q12.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43444
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Probabilistic Models of Yield, Price, and Revenue Risks for Fed Cattle Production AgEcon
Belasco, Eric J.; Taylor, Mykel R.; Goodwin, Barry K.; Schroeder, Ted C..
Cattle feeding enterprises operate amid variability originating in prices and production. This research explicitly models yield risks related to cattle feeding by relating the mean and variance of yield performance factors to observable conditioning variables. The results demonstrate that pen characteristics, such as entry weight, gender, placement season, and location influence the mean and variability of yield factors, defined as dry matter feed conversion, average daily gain, mortality, and animal health costs. Ex ante profit distributions, conditional on cattle placement characteristics, are derived through simulation methods to evaluate the effects of price or yield shocks on the distributional characteristics of expected profits.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Conditional variance; Production risk; Cattle feeding; Yields; Agribusiness; Livestock Production/Industries; Production Economics; Productivity Analysis; Risk and Uncertainty; D24; D81; Q12.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48761
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‘GMO-Free’ Labels – Enhancing Transparency or Deceiving Consumers? AgEcon
Henseleit, Meike; Kubitzki, Sabine.
Since most consumers particularly in industrialised countries are concerned about the application of genetic engineering in food production, producers in many nations got the opportunity to label products as free of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) by the introduction of legal regulations. Standards of these regulations for labelling food products ‘GMO-free’ usually relate to product itself, not to the process of production. Therefore, it is quite possible that consumers’ understanding of ‘GMO-free’ differs from what the label actually stands for, especially regarding animal products. We conducted a consumer survey in order to explore potential gaps between their ideas of ‘GMO-free’ food and what the label actually stands for at the example of the...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Genetic Engineering; Food Labelling; Consumer Survey; Agricultural and Food Policy; Demand and Price Analysis; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; D12; D81; Q18.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51029
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Production risk and farm technology adoption in the rain-fed semi-arid lands of Kenya AgEcon
Ogada, Maurice Juma; Nyangena, Wilfred; Yesuf, Mahmud.
This study provides empirical evidence on the effects of production risk on smallholder farmers’ adoption of farm technology, using plot-level data collected from two semi-arid districts in Kenya, Machakos and Taita Taveta. Using Mundlak’s approach (1978), the study found that factors such as yield variability and the risk of crop failures indeed affect technology adoption decisions in low-income, rainfed agriculture. However, the direction and magnitude of effects depend on the farm technology under consideration. The results explain why poor farm households in rainfed and risky production environments are reluctant to adopt new farm technologies that could improve production: it is because the technologies involve enormous downside risks. This result...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Farm productivity; Production risk; Farm technology adoption; Kenya; Farm Management; International Development; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies; D81; Q12; Q18.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/93865
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Actuarial evaluation of the EU proposed farm income stabilisation tool AgEcon
Pigeon, Mathieu; Frahan, Bruno Henry de; Denuit, Michel.
Recently, the European Commission proposed to introduce several risk management tools in the rural development pillar 2 of the CAP. One of them consists in providing co-financing support to mutual funds compensating farmers who experience a severe drop in their farm income. This paper analyses this new farm income stabilization tool for the Walloon region in Belgium, considering separately three groups of farms (crop, dairy and cattle farms). Relying on FADN data from 1997 to 2007, this analysis focuses on estimating the probability that such regional mutual funds would need to intervene to compensate farm net incomes and, in that case, the expected amount of each farm income compensation and the total expected amount of compensation. The budgetary...
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural risk management; Income stabilisation; Belgium; European Union; Risk and Uncertainty; D81; Q12; Q18..
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/122485
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Joint Estimation of Risk Preferences and Technology: Flexible Utility of Futility? AgEcon
Lence, Sergio H..
The present study sets up a thought experiment calibrated to represent risks of a high-risk production activity (farming), and investigating whether the structure of risk aversion (i.e., the changes in absolute or relative risk aversion associated with changes in wealth) can be estimated with reasonable precision. Findings strongly suggest that typical production data are unlikely to allow identification of the structure of risk aversion. A flexible utility parameterization is found to worsen technology parameter estimates. Findings also indicate that even under a restricted utility specification, the quality of utility parameters estimated from small samples is very poor.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Expected utility; Risk preferences; Production analysis; Risk attitudes.; Risk and Uncertainty; C13; D24; D81; Q12..
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9980
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Current Issues in Crop Insurance (PowerPoint) AgEcon
Anderson, Richard.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Risk; Risk Management Agency; Risk and Uncertainty; D81.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48909
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A Whole Farm Analysis of the Influence of Auto-Steer Navigation on Net Returns, Risk, and Production Practices AgEcon
Shockley, Jordan M.; Dillon, Carl R.; Stombaugh, Timothy S..
A whole farm economic analysis was conducted to provide a detailed assessment into the economic, risk, and production implications due to the adoption of auto-steer navigation. It was determined that auto-steer navigation was profitable for a grain farmer in Kentucky with net returns increasing up to 0.90% ($3.35/acre). Additionally, the technology could be used in reducing production risk. Adoption of the technology also alters production practices for optimal use.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Economics; Farm management; Mean-variance; Precision agriculture; Simulation; Farm Management; Risk and Uncertainty; C61; C63; D81; Q12; Q16.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/100640
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Agricultural Insurance as an Environmental Policy Tool AgEcon
Coble, Keith H.; Hanson, Terrill R.; Miller, J. Corey; Shaik, Saleem.
This paper examines the possibility that insurance for row crops, livestock, and aquaculture can be used effectively to encourage producers to adopt practices that will improve environmental behavior. Examples of agricultural environmental insurance are provided and considered in the context of alternative policy mechanisms. The current state of agricultural insurance and the nonagricultural environmental insurance market are explored. We also lay out the characteristics of an insurable risk along with the theoretical basis of insurance provision. An empirical example of an environmental insurance design is provided, and the behavioral implications of such a design are examined. Finally, we discuss important considerations that should be evaluated...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Environment; Insurance; Liability; D81; G22; H23; K13; Q18.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43214
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Inducing Low-Carbon Investment in the Electric Power Industry through a Price Floor for Emissions Trading AgEcon
Brauneis, Alexander; Loretz, Michael; Roland, Mestel; Palan, Stefan.
Uncertainty about long-term climate policy is a major driving force in the evolution of the carbon market price. Since this price enters the investment decision process of regulated firms, this uncertainty increases the cost of capital for investors and might deter invest-ments into new technologies at the company level. We apply a real options-based approach to assess the impact of climate change policy in the form of a constant or growing price floor on investment decisions of a single firm in a competitive environment. This firm has the opportunity to switch from a high-carbon “dirty” technology to a low-carbon “clean” technology. Using Monte Carlo simulation and dynamic programming techniques for real market data, we determine the optimal CO2 price...
Tipo: Working Paper Palavras-chave: Carbon price; Price floor; Technological change; Investment decision; Real option approach; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy; D81; O38; Q55.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/119096
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Cobertura del riesgo precios en los mercados de futuros para carne bovina en el marco de la experiencia uruguaya de 1993. AgEcon
Lanfranco, Bruno A..
En la pasada década, Uruguay tuvo su primera experiencia con el mercado de futuros de novillos para faena (MFN), el que funcionó durante los últimos meses de 1993 y hasta comienzos de 1994. El hecho que el MFN no sobreviviera más que unos pocos meses no implica necesariamente que los mercados de futuros para ganado en pie sean inviables en nuestro país. En este trabajo se examinaron algunas de las posibles razones que pueden explicar su fracaso. Es posible que al momento de su implementación no estuvieran dadas todas las condiciones necesarias para su desarrollo. Un punto a develar es si el bajo volumen operado en el MFN se debió a condiciones estructurales inherentes a las economías pequeñas y, por ende, imposibles de modificar o si, por el contrario,...
Tipo: Book Palavras-chave: Financial markets; Live cattle; Livestock market; Agribusiness; Financial Economics; Risk and Uncertainty; D81; G13; G14.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/121755
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The Value of Private Risk Versus the Value of Public Risk: An Experimental Analysis of the Johannesson et al. Conjecture AgEcon
Messer, Kent D.; Poe, Gregory L.; Schulze, William D..
In 1996 Johannesson et al. published a paper in this journal entitled “The Value of Private Safety versus the Value of Public Safety.” Based on preliminary evidence from a hypothetical contingent valuation study, these authors argue that consumers behave as “pure altruists” and reject the notion of paternalistic preferences for safety in a coercive tax setting. These pure altruists consider the cost of a program that might be imposed on other voters when they decide whether to vote for or against public safety programs. The authors conclude that further empirical research in this area is warranted. This paper presents a set of laboratory economics experiments to test Johannesson et al.’s conjecture under controlled conditions in which participants face an...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Altruism; Risk; Voting; Public goods; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; Risk and Uncertainty; D81; D64; H41; C91; C92; D72.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51141
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Participation in Off-Farm Employment, Risk Preferences, and Weather Variability: The Case of Ethiopia AgEcon
Bezabih, Mintewab; Gebreegziabher, Zenebe; GebreMedhin, Liyousew; Kohlin, Gunnar.
This article assesses the relative importance of risk preferences and rainfall availability on households’ decision to engage in off-farm employment. Devoting time for off-farm activities, while it helps households earn additional incomes, involves a number of uncertainties. Unique panel data from Ethiopia which includes experimentally generated risk preference measures combined with longitudinal rainfall data is used in the analysis. An off farm participation decision and activity choice showed that both variability and reduced availability of rainfall as well as neutral risk preferences increase the likelihood of off-farm participation. From policy perspective, the results imply that expanding off farm opportunities could act as safety nets in the face...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Off-farm employment; Labor supply; Rainfall variability/reduced availability; Risk preferences; GLLAMM; Ethiopia; Labor and Human Capital; Q13; D81; C35; C93.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/95784
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On the Economics of Rational Self-Medication AgEcon
Akpalu, Wisdom.
It has been established in the medical literature that self-medicating with imperfect information about either the use of a genuine or counterfeit drug or based on wrong self-diagnosis of ailment, which is predominant especially in developing countries, is a risky investment in health capital. This paper models the decision to self-medicate and the demand for self-medicated drugs. We suppose that investment in self-medication depends on the perception of its effectiveness. The results obtained show that the decision to self-medicate depends on the relative price and perceived effectiveness of self-medication, the elasticity of the shadow value of health with respect to the quantity of health capital, and the relative effectiveness of self-medication in...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Health Production; Self-Medication; Risky Investment; Government Policy; Dynamic Analysis; Demand and Price Analysis; Health Economics and Policy; Institutional and Behavioral Economics; Risk and Uncertainty; I12; I18; D81; C61.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6363
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Uncertainty and Producer Fed Cattle Marketing Decisions: Theory and Evidence AgEcon
Fausti, Scott W.; Lange, Brent.
This article has been submitted to the CJAE.
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Quality uncertainty; Risk; Market structure; Slaughter cattle markets; Demand and Price Analysis; Livestock Production/Industries; Risk and Uncertainty; D40; D81; Q10.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/102692
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Effects of Information on Consumer Risk Perception and Willingness to Pay for Non-Genetically Modified Corn Oil AgEcon
Terawaki, Taku.
Replaced with revised version of paper 07/16/05.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Genetically Modified; Contingent Valuation; Willingness to Pay; Risk Perception; Consumer/Household Economics; D12; D11; C35; D81.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19555
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MODELING ECOLOGICAL CONSTRAINTS ON TROPICAL FOREST MANAGEMENT: COMMENT AgEcon
Barrett, Christopher B.; Batabyal, Amitrajeet A..
We comment on four aspects of Albers' [1] model of ecological constraints on tropical forest management. Albers structures her model in a highly asymmetric manner, with strong, uniform biases against development and in favor of preservation. Despite Albers' repeated claims that her model is "complete" and that it has significant implications for tropical forest management, we contend instead that the results of a truly general, empirically defensible model are inherently ambiguous. Spatial and intertemporal dimensions clearly matter, but they do not point as neatly in favor of preservation as Albers would have us believe. Note: Forthcoming in Journal of Environmental Economics and Management
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Forest; Interdependence; Irreversibility; Management; Uncertainty; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy; D81; Q15; Q23.
Ano: 1996 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/28371
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What's the Rate? Disentangling the Weitzman and the Gollier Effect AgEcon
Traeger, Christian P..
The uncertainty of future economic development affects the term structure of discount rates and, thus, the intertemporal weights that are to be used in cost benefit analysis. The U.K. and France have recently adopted a falling term structure to incorporate uncertainty and the U.S. is considering a similar step. A series of publications discusses the following concern: A seemingly analogous argument used to justify falling discount rates can also be used to justify increasing discount rates. We show that increasing and decreasing discount rates mean different things, can coexist, are created by different channels through which risk affects evaluation, and have the same qualitative effect of making long-term payoffs more attractive.
Tipo: Working Paper Palavras-chave: Benefit cost analysis; Discounting; Term structure; Uncertainty; Weitzman-Gollier puzzle; Environmental Economics and Policy; Public Economics; D61; D81; H43; Q54.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/121932
Registros recuperados: 149
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