SABIIA - Sistema Aberto e Integrado de Informação em Agricultura (Sabiia)

Taylor, Richard D.; Koo, Won W..

This report evaluates the U.S. and world wheat markets for the 2010-2020 time period using the Global Wheat Policy Simulation Model. This analysis is based on a series of assumptions about general economic conditions, agricultural policies, weather conditions, and technological change. Both the U.S. and world wheat economies are predicted to remain relatively healthy for the next ten years. World demand for both common and durum wheat are expected to remain strong. The price levels in 2010 and early 2011 will not be maintained because they are the result of a small wheat crop in the Former Soviet Union (FSU). It is expected that wheat production in the FSU will return to normal in the future. World trade volumes of both classes of wheat are expected to...

Tipo: Report

Palavras-chave: Common wheat; Durum wheat; Production; Exports; Consumption; Ending stocks; Crop Production/Industries; Production Economics.

Ano: 2011

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/115558

2002 OUTLOOK OF THE U.S. AND WORLD WHEAT INDUSTRIES, 2001-2011

This report evaluates the U.S. and world wheat markets for the 2002-2012 period by using the Global Wheat Policy Simulation Model. This analysis is based on a series of assumptions about general economic conditions, agricultural policies, weather conditions, and technological change. Both the U.S. and world wheat economies are predicted to improve for the next ten years. World demands for both common and durum wheat are expected to grow faster than world production of the two wheat classes, resulting in gradual increases in prices of the wheat varieties, which are predicted to increase 15.3% for durum wheat and 17.3% for common wheat for the 2002-2012 period. World trade volumes of both classes of wheat are expected to expand, but trade volume of durum...

2010 Outlook of the U.S. and World Wheat Industries, 2009-2019

Palavras-chave: Common wheat; Durum wheat; Production; Exports; Consumption; Ending stocks; Crop Production/Industries.

Ano: 2002

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23514

Taylor, Richard D.; Koo, Won W..

This report evaluates the U.S. and world wheat markets for the 2009-2019 time period using the Global Wheat Policy Simulation Model. This analysis is based on a series of assumptions about general economic conditions, agricultural policies, weather conditions, and technological change. Both the U.S. and world wheat economies are predicted to remain relatively healthy for the next ten years. World demand for both common and durum wheat are expected to remain strong. The price levels in 2007, 2008 and 2009 might not be maintained in 2010 and the future because increased wheat and corn production in 2008 and 2009 and reduced demand for corn for ethanol production which pressures all commodity prices. World trade volumes of both classes of wheat are expected...

Tipo: Report

Palavras-chave: Common wheat; Durum wheat; Production; Exports; Consumption; Ending stocks; Agribusiness.

Ano: 2010

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/91843

2009 Outlook of the U.S. and World Wheat Industries, 2008-2018

2006 OUTLOOK OF THE U.S. AND WORLD WHEAT INDUSTRIES, 2005-2015

This report evaluates the U.S. and world wheat markets for the 2008-2018 period using the Global Wheat Policy Simulation Model. This analysis is based on a series of assumptions about general economic conditions, agricultural policies, weather conditions, and technological change. Both the U.S. and world wheat economies are predicted to remain relatively healthy for the next ten years. World demand for both common and durum wheat are expected to remain strong. The price levels in 2007 and 2008 will not be maintained in 2009 and future because increased wheat and corn production in 2008 and reduced demand for corn for ethanol production will lower demand and increase supply. World trade volumes of both classes of wheat are expected to expand, but trade...

Tipo: Report

Palavras-chave: Common wheat; Durum wheat; Production; Exports; Consumption; Ending stocks; Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy.

Ano: 2009

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/54725

This report evaluates the U.S. and world wheat markets for the 2005-2015 period using the Global Wheat Policy Simulation Model. This analysis is based on a series of assumptions about general economic conditions, agricultural policies, weather conditions, and technological change. Both the U.S. and world wheat economies are predicted to improve for the next nine years. World demand for both common and durum wheat are expected to grow faster than world production, resulting in gradual increases in prices of the wheat varieties. However, the current higher price levels in 2006 are due to weather conditions and will not be maintained, as production is expected to return to normal levels in 2007. World trade volumes of both classes of wheat are expected...

2004 OUTLOOK OF THE U.S. AND WORLD WHEAT INDUSTRIES, 2003-2013

Palavras-chave: Common wheat; Durum wheat; Production; Exports; Consumption; Ending stocks; Crop Production/Industries.

Ano: 2006

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23574

This report evaluates the U.S. and world wheat markets for the 2003-2013 period using the Global Wheat Policy Simulation Model. This analysis is based on a series of assumptions about general economic conditions, agricultural policies, weather conditions, and technological change. Both the U.S. and world wheat economies are predicted to improve for the next 10 years. World demand for both common and durum wheat are expected to grow faster than world production, resulting in gradual increases in prices of the wheat varieties. However, the higher price levels experienced in 2002 and 2003 due to weather conditions will not be maintained in the short-term. World trade volumes of both classes of wheat are expected to expand, but trade volume of durum wheat...

Price Dynamics in the North American Wheat Market

Palavras-chave: Common wheat; Durum wheat; Production; Exports; Consumption; Ending stocks; Crop Production/Industries.

Ano: 2004

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23583

Baek, Jungho; Koo, Won W..

This study examines price dynamics in the U.S. and Canadian hard red spring (HRS) and durum wheat markets. Using monthly prices for 1979-2002, we adopt Johansen cointegration tests and a vector error-correction (VEC) model. The results show that U.S. hard red winter (HRW) and Canadian HRS are exogenous in the model consisting of U.S. HRW and HRS and Canadian HRS prices. Canadian durum is exogenous in the model of U.S. and Canadian durum prices. Therefore, the results suggest that the HRW exporting industry and Canada have been the price leader in North American wheat markets.

Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation

Palavras-chave: Canadian wheat exports; Durum wheat; Hard red spring wheat; Johansen cointegration test; Unit root test with a structural break; Vector error-correction; Demand and Price Analysis.

Ano: 2005

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19353

2003 OUTLOOK OF THE U.S. AND WORLD WHEAT INDUSTRIES, 2002-2012

This report evaluates the U.S. and world wheat markets for the 2002-2012 period using the Global Wheat Policy Simulation Model. This analysis is based on a series of assumptions about general economic conditions, agricultural policies, weather conditions, and technological change. Both the U.S. and world wheat economies are predicted to improve for the next ten years. World demands for both common and durum wheat are expected to grow faster than world production resulting in gradual increases in prices of the wheat varieties. However, the higher price levels experienced in 2002 due to weather conditions will not be maintained in the short term. World trade volumes of both classes of wheat are expected to expand, but trade volume of durum wheat may...

2005 OUTLOOK OF THE U.S. AND WORLD WHEAT INDUSTRIES, 2004-2013

Palavras-chave: Common wheat; Durum wheat; Production; Exports; Consumption; Ending stocks; Crop Production/Industries.

Ano: 2003

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23598

This report evaluates the U.S. and world wheat markets for the 2004-2013 period using the Global Wheat Policy Simulation Model. This analysis is based on a series of assumptions about general economic conditions, agricultural policies, weather conditions, and technological change. Both the U.S. and world wheat economies are predicted to improve for the next nine years. World demand for both common and durum wheat are expected to grow faster than world production, resulting in gradual increases in prices of the wheat varieties. However, the higher price levels experienced in 2002 and 2003 due to weather conditions will not be maintained in the short term. World trade volumes of both classes of wheat are expected to expand, but trade volume of durum...

U.S.-CANADA WHEAT TRADE AND ITS EFFECTS ON U.S. PRICE AND INCOME

Palavras-chave: Common wheat; Durum wheat; Production; Exports; Consumption; Ending stocks; Crop Production/Industries.

Ano: 2005

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23631

Koo, Won W.; Mattson, Jeremy W..

The objectives of this study are to analyze the factors causing an increase in wheat imports from Canada and to estimate the effect of increased wheat imports on U.S. prices and farm income. An econometric model is developed and estimated to determine these factors and effects. Canadian exports to the United States are estimated as a function of U.S. price, the U.S. - Canada exchange rate, and other variables, while U.S. price is estimated as a function of imports from Canada, U.S. domestic supply and consumption, and exports. The two equations are estimated simultaneously. Results from this model are used to estimate the effect of imports from Canada on U.S. farm prices and income. Results indicate that imports from Canada have a significant negative...

2008 Outlook of the U.S. and World Wheat Industries, 2007-2017

Palavras-chave: Canada; Bilateral trade; Hard red spring wheat; Durum wheat; Farm price; Farm income; International Relations/Trade.

Ano: 2002

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23572

Price Dynamics in the North American Wheat Market

This report evaluates the U.S. and world wheat markets for the 2007-2017 period using the Global Wheat Policy Simulation Model. This analysis is based on a series of assumptions about general economic conditions, agricultural policies, weather conditions, and technological change. Both the U.S. and world wheat economies are predicted to remain strong for the next ten years. World demand for both common and durum wheat are expected to remain strong. The price levels in 2007, due to high corn demand in the ethanol industry, should be maintained since increases in production are limited due to land constraints in most countries. World trade volumes of both classes of wheat are expected to expand, but trade volume of durum wheat may grow faster than that...

Tipo: Report

Palavras-chave: Common wheat; Durum wheat; Production; Exports; Consumption; Ending stocks; Agribusiness; Crop Production/Industries.

Ano: 2008

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/36757

Baek, Jungho; Koo, Won W..

Perron's test, Johansen cointegration analysis, and a vector error-correction (VEC) model are used to identify structural change, as well as to examine price dynamics in the U.S. and Canadian hard red spring (HRS) and durum wheat markets. It is found that, due to the U.S. Export Enhancement Program (EEP), price instability experienced in June 1986 has resulted in structural changes for Canadian HRS and durum prices. We also find that Canadian prices have significant effects on the determination of the U.S. prices in the North American wheat market.

Tipo: Journal Article

Palavras-chave: Canadian wheat exports; Durum wheat; Hard red spring wheat; Johansen cointe-gration test; Unit root test with a structural break; Vector error-correction; Demand and Price Analysis; International Relations/Trade.

Ano: 2006

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/10217

ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF THE PROPOSED NORTH DAKOTA WHEAT POOL; SUMMARY

Koo, Won W.; Nganje, William E.; Johnson, D. Demcey; Park, Joon J.; Taylor, Richard D..

The ND Durum Wheat Pool may provide additional revenue to durum wheat producers by raising the domestic prices in the North American market with full cooperation from the Canadian Wheat Board. The pool also could provide additional revenue to its members by improving marketing efficiency. On the other hand, the ND Spring Wheat Pool is less likely to provide additional revenue to spring wheat producers by raising domestic prices, mainly because hard red spring and winter wheat are highly substitutable. Efficiency gains also could be smaller than for durum wheat.

2007 Outlook of the U.S. and World Wheat Industries, 2006-2016

Palavras-chave: Marketing pool; Market power; Efficiency gains; Durum wheat; Hard red spring wheat; Pool price; Organizational structure; Operating costs; Marketing.

Ano: 1999

URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23453

Taylor, Richard D.; Koo, Won W..

This report evaluates the U.S. and world wheat markets for the 2006-2016 period using the Global Wheat Policy Simulation Model. This analysis is based on a series of assumptions about general economic conditions, agricultural policies, weather conditions, and technological change. Both the U.S. and world wheat economies are predicted to improve for the next nine years. World demand for both common and durum wheat are expected to remain strong, however, the current higher price levels in 2006 due to weather conditions will not be maintained as production is expected to return to normal levels in 2007. World trade volumes of both classes of wheat are expected to expand, but trade volume of durum wheat may grow faster than that of common wheat.