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Expanding the Role of Systems Modeling: Considering Byproduct Generation from Biofuel Production Ecology and Society
Rosentrater, Kurt A; U.S. Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Research Service; krosentr@ngirl.ars.usda.gov.
The bioethanol industry has been experiencing rapid growth over the past several years, and is expected to continue to increase production for the foreseeable future. A vital component to the success of this industry is the sales and marketing of processing residues, which are primarily sold as dried distillers grains with solubles (DDGS). Systems modeling, a technique that has been used to predict future demand for bioethanol, can also be used to determine potential byproduct generation rates. This paper discusses the development of one such model, and presents predicted generation of DDGS as well as carbon dioxide emissions from this industry through 2100. These simulation results underscore the growing need to actively pursue research focused on...
Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Response Palavras-chave: Bioethanol; Biofuels; Byproducts; Carbon dioxide emissions; Distillers grains; Dynamic systems modeling; Policy analysis; Residue generation.
Ano: 2006
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The Role of Systems Modeling for Sustainable Development Policy Analysis: the Case of Bio-Ethanol Ecology and Society
Chan, Albert W; National Research Council of Canada; albert.chan@nrc.ca; Hoffman, Robert T; ;; McInnis, Bert; ;.
A dynamic systems modeling technique has been developed to assess technologies according to the criterion of sustainability. In a case study, the potential contribution of bio-ethanol toward achieving Canada’s commitment to the Kyoto targets for greenhouse gas reductions is analyzed. The analysis concludes that, although bio-ethanol may help reduce greenhouse gas emissions, the technology by itself is insufficient to meet the Kyoto target. Applying the systems modeling approach to analyze sustainability helps highlight those policy issues that warrant more in-depth study. Although the systems model may not provide definitive answers, it raises relevant questions about physical constraints that might be encountered and estimates the extent to...
Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports Palavras-chave: Bio-ethanol; Biofuels; Dynamic systems modeling; Emission targets; Energy crops; Light-duty vehicles; Policy analysis; Sustainability analysis.
Ano: 2004
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