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Winners and losers from Johne’s disease eradication from the Scottish dairy herd: a Markov-Chain simulation AgEcon
Weldegebriel, Habtu T.; Gunn, George J.; Stott, Alistair W..
In this paper, we evaluated the welfare effects of a hypothetical programme of Johne's disease eradication from the Scottish dairy herd on different stakeholders in the domestic milk market. We undertook the evaluation using a Markov-Chain simulation and applying an economic welfare analysis which takes into consideration the effects of an eradication programme on product price, on output quantity, on cost and on milk yield for given levels of supply and demand elasticities. We found that, following the eradication of the disease, milk yield per cow increased for all herd sizes in Scotland whereas price and unit cost of milk production fell. Consequently, milk consumers gained around £14.3 million in discounted economic surplus and producers with infected...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Johne's; Eradication programme; Economic welfare effects; Economic surplus; I180.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/36872
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The Impact of El Nino on Northeastern Forests: A Case Study on Maple Syrup Production AgEcon
Bergeron, Nancy; Sedjo, Roger A..
El Nino events are likely to affect maple syrup production since it is very sensitive to weather patterns. A statistically significant direct correlation has not been found in our preliminary analysis, however. This may be because many other factors affect production and because weather anomalies also occur in non-El Nino years. Few defensive activities are available to maple syrup producers to alleviate the negative impacts of weather anomalies on their production. Hence, the value of El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) forecasts to them is likely to be low, even if a clear correlation between productivity and ENSO events was eventually found. Overall, small welfare impacts of El Nino weather events are expected from their impact on the maple syrup...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: El Nino; Forests; Maple syrup; Economic welfare effects; Dieback; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy; D61; Q10; Q20; Q23; N5.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/10671
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