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The Making of the NEAM Tsunami Hazard Model 2018 (NEAMTHM18) ArchiMer
Basili, Roberto; Brizuela, Beatriz; Herrero, Andre; Iqbal, Sarfraz; Lorito, Stefano; Maesano, Francesco Emanuele; Murphy, Shane; Perfetti, Paolo; Romano, Fabrizio; Scala, Antonio; Selva, Jacopo; Taroni, Matteo; Tiberti, Mara Monica; Thio, Hong Kie; Tonini, Roberto; Volpe, Manuela; Glimsdal, Sylfest; Harbitz, Carl Bonnevie; Lovholt, Finn; Baptista, Maria Ana; Carrilho, Fernando; Matias, Luis Manuel; Omira, Rachid; Babeyko, Andrey; Hoechner, Andreas; Gurbuz, Mucahit; Pekcan, Onur; Yalciner, Ahmet; Canals, Miquel; Lastras, Galderic; Agalos, Apostolos; Papadopoulos, Gerassimos; Triantafyllou, Ioanna; Benchekroun, Sabah; Agrebi Jaouadi, Hedi; Ben Abdallah, Samir; Bouallegue, Atef; Hamdi, Hassene; Oueslati, Foued; Amato, Alessandro; Armigliato, Alberto; Behrens, Joern; Davies, Gareth; Di Bucci, Daniela; Dolce, Mauro; Geist, Eric; Gonzalez Vida, Jose Manuel; Gonzalez, Mauricio; Macias Sanchez, Jorge; Meletti, Carlo; Ozer Sozdinler, Ceren; Pagani, Marco; Parsons, Tom; Polet, Jascha; Power, William; Sorensen, Mathilde; Zaytsev, Andrey.
The NEAM Tsunami Hazard Model 2018 (NEAMTHM18) is a probabilistic hazard model for tsunamis generated by earthquakes. It covers the coastlines of the North-eastern Atlantic, the Mediterranean, and connected seas (NEAM). NEAMTHM18 was designed as a threephase project. The first two phases were dedicated to the model development and hazard calculations, following a formalized decision-making process based on a multiple-expert protocol. The third phase was dedicated to documentation and dissemination. The hazard assessment workflow was structured in Steps and Levels. There are four Steps: Step-1) probabilistic earthquake model; Step-2) tsunami generation and modeling in deep water; Step-3) shoaling and inundation; Step-4) hazard aggregation and uncertainty...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment; Earthquake-generated tsunami; Hazard uncertainty analysis; Ensemble modeling; Maximum inundation height; NEAM.
Ano: 2021 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00689/80114/83165.pdf
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Differing marine animal biomass shifts under 21st century climate change between Canada’s three oceans ArchiMer
Bryndum-buchholz, Andrea; Prentice, Faelan; Tittensor, Derek P.; Blanchard, Julia L.; Cheung, William W.l.; Christensen, Villy; Galbraith, Eric D.; Maury, Olivier; Lotze, Heike K.; Favaro, Brett.
Under climate change, species composition and abundances in high-latitude waters are expected to substantially reconfigure with consequences for trophic relationships and ecosystem services. Outcomes are challenging to project at national scales, despite their importance for management decisions. Using an ensemble of six global marine ecosystem models we analyzed marine ecosystem responses to climate change from 1971 to 2099 in Canada’s Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) under four standardized emissions scenarios. By 2099, under business-as-usual emissions (RCP8.5) projected marine animal biomass declined by an average of −7.7% (±29.5%) within the Canadian EEZ, dominated by declines in the Pacific (−24% ± 24.5%) and Atlantic (−25.5% ± 9.5%) areas; these were...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Climate change; Ensemble modeling; Marine ecosystem models; Canada Exclusive Economic Zone; Fish-MIP; Projection uncertainty.
Ano: 2020 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00613/72464/71425.pdf
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