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Registros recuperados: 39
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Análisis del comportamiento de la demanda de importaciones de limón persa (Citrus latifolia tanaka) y mexicano (Citrus aurantifolia swingle) en los Estados Unidos Colegio de Postgraduados
Sánchez Torres, Yolanda.
La agricultura mexicana en la década de los setentas inicia un proceso de expansión en la producción de frutas y hortalizas; y con ello la relevancia de frutas de clima tropical en el mercado mundial. Para 2008 México ocupaba el segundo lugar como productor mundial (14.94%) de limones y el primero como exportador (20.5%), teniendo dos variedades altamente competitivas: el limón mexicano, orientado al mercado nacional (96.2%) y el limón persa vinculado al mercado internacional (50.3%). El objetivo de la investigación fue identificar y valorar la relación funcional que tienen la población hispana, el precio unitario de importación, el ingreso y el tipo de cambio real con la demanda de importaciones para ambas variedades en Estados Unidos, en el periodo...
Palavras-chave: Demanda de importaciones; Limón mexicano; Limón persa; Población hispanica; Precio unitario de importación; Tipo de cambio; Ingreso real; Import demand; Mexican lime; Persian lime; Hispanic population; Unit price of import; Exchange rate; Real income; Doctorado; Economía.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10521/357
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STRUCTURAL APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE EFFECTS OF EXHCHANGE RATE ON IMPORT DEMAND AgEcon
Lee, Young-Jae; Kennedy, P. Lynn; Hilbun, Brian M..
The purpose of this study is to determine the impact the exchange rate has on local prices and import demand.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Exchange rate; Direct and indirect effects; Korean beef market; International Relations/Trade; F10; F11; F13.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/56415
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MACROECONOMIC FACTORS AND THE THOROUGHBRED INDUSTRY AgEcon
Karungu, Peter; Reed, Michael R.; Tvedt, Douglas D..
A capitalization approach is used to estimate econometrically the effects of exchange rate, interest rate and tax law changes on thoroughbred yearling prices. The analysis found that exchange rate and tax law changes have significantly influenced yearling prices since the early 1980s. Another serious price-reducing event was the 1986 tax law change. Both of these factors have counteracted the positive impact of increased purse rates on yearling prices.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Exchange rate; Macroeconomics; Tax laws; Purse rates; Thoroughbreds; Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 1993 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15208
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EFEITOS DE CURTO E LONGO PRAZOS DE CHOQUES NA TAXA DE CÂMBIO REAL SOBRE O SALDO DA BALANÇA COMERCIAL AGROPECUÁRIA BRASILEIRA AgEcon
Scalco, Paulo Roberto; Carvalho, Henrique Duarte; Campos, Antonio Carvalho.
O objetivo deste trabalho é analisar os efeitos de longo e curto prazos de choques na taxa de câmbio real sobre o saldo da balança comercial agropecuária brasileira. O procedimento metodológico empregado foi a análise multivariada descrita em Johansen (1988 e 1991) apud Hamilton (1994). Os resultados indicam que existe uma relação de longo prazo entre a depreciação na taxa de câmbio real e o saldo da balança comercial. Verifica-se que, no longo prazo, um aumento de 1,0 % da taxa de câmbio leva a uma expansão de 2,10 % no saldo da balança comercial. Esse resultado está consistente com a condição de Marshall-Lerner que afirma: no longo prazo, o efeito volume deve superar o efeito preço, promovendo, assim, um aumento no saldo da balança comercial. Entretanto,...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Condição de Marshall-Lerner; Curva J; Taxa de câmbio; Balança comercial; Setor agropecuário; Marshall-Lerner condition; J-Curve; Exchange rate; Trade balance; Agricultural sector; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/109536
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The Exchange Rate and Inward Foreign Direct Investment in Mexico AgEcon
Parajuli, Shanta; Kennedy, P. Lynn.
This paper analyzed the exchange rate and inward foreign direct investment (FDI) in Mexico from the 25 developed countries comprising the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). Our empirical result does not support the significant relationship between exchange rate and exchange rate volatility to determine FDI in Mexico. The wages, export, and distance are found to be significant variables to determine FDI in Mexico which is supported by literatures.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Exchange rate; Foreign direct investment; Mexico; OECD; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/56459
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On the Dynamic Relationship between U.S. Farm Income and Macroeconomic Variables AgEcon
Baek, Jungho; Koo, Won W..
This study examines the short- and long-run effects of changes in macroeconomic variables—agricultural commodity prices, interest rates and exchange rates—on the U.S. farm income. For this purpose, we adopt an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration with quarterly data for 1989–2008. Results show that the exchange rate plays a crucial role in determining the long-run behavior of U.S. farm income, but has little effect in the short-run. We also find that the commodity price and interest rate have been significant determinants of U.S. farm income in both the short- and long-run over the past two decades.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Autoregressive distributed lag model; Commodity price; Exchange rate; Farm income; Interest rate; Long-run; Short-run; Agribusiness; Consumer/Household Economics; Farm Management; Financial Economics; C22; E23; Q11.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53097
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Third-Country Effects on the Market Shares of U.S. Wheat in Asian Countries AgEcon
Jin, Hyun Joung; Cho, Guedae; Koo, Won W..
An import demand model, augmented with third-country effect variables, is developed to examine the effects of strong U.S. dollar, volatility of the U.S. dollar, and competition among the exporting countries on the shares of U.S. wheat in Asian markets. In the empirical model, the dependent variable is the market shares of U.S. wheat. Explanatory variables include wheat prices of exporting countries, exchange rates between the importing and exporting countries, and volatilities of the exchange rates. Panel estimation results show that the U.S. currency values and volatility, Australian wheat price, and the volatilities of Canadian and Australian currency values have significant effects on U.S. market shares.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Exchange rate; International grain trade; Market share; Panel analysis; Panel unit-root test; Third country effect; F14; Q17.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43478
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Aid allocation effects on growth and poverty: A CGE framework AgEcon
Twimukye, Evarist P.; Nabiddo, Winnie; Matovu, John Mary.
It has been argues that increased aid causes Dutch disease as a result of appreciation of the exchange rate which reduces the competitiveness of the country's exports. In this paper, we argue that if the aid is used productively, there are both short and long term gains. Applying a recursive dynamic general equilibrium model on Uganda, we find that while the currency appreciates and some exports decline, the overall impact on growth outweighs the losses in competitiveness. In addition, it aid is used productively, poverty would be substantially reduced as long as the aid increase is sustained.
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Aid; Exchange rate; Dutch disease; Twimukye; Nabiddo; Matovu; Exports; Foreign aid; Poverty reduction; Economic policy research center; Community/Rural/Urban Development; Consumer/Household Economics; Demand and Price Analysis; Financial Economics; International Development; Labor and Human Capital; Production Economics; Productivity Analysis; Public Economics.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/54937
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The U.S. Agricultural Sector and the Macroeconomy AgEcon
Baek, Jungho; Koo, Won W..
The effects of the exchange rate, the U.S. agricultural price, the domestic income, and the interest rate on the U.S. net farm income are investigated in a cointegration framework. For this purpose, the Phillips-Hansen fully-modified cointegration (FM-OLS) procedure is applied to annual data for the period 1957–2008. Results suggest that there exists the long-run equilibrium relationship between the U.S. net farm income and the selected macroeconomic variables. We also find that the exchange rate and U.S. agricultural price are more important than other variables in determining the U.S. net farm income.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural price; Exchange rate; Gross domestic product; Interest rate; Net farm income; Phillips-Hansen fully-modified cointegration technique; Agribusiness; Agricultural Finance; Land Economics/Use; Production Economics; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; C22; E23; Q11.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/92580
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Exchange Rates Impacts on Agricultural Inputs Prices using VAR AgEcon
Yeboah, Osei-Agyeman; Shaik, Saleem; Allen, Albert J..
The effects of the U.S. dollar exchange rate versus the Mexican peso are evaluated for four traded nonfarm-produced inputs (fertilizer, chemicals, farm machinery, and feed) in the U.S. Unit root tests suggest that the exchange rate and the four input price ratios support the presence of unit roots with a trend model but the presence unit roots can be rejected in the first difference model. This result is consistent with a fixed price/flex price conceptual framework, with industrial prices more likely to be unresponsive to the exchange rate than farm commodity prices.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Exchange rate; Pass-through; Law of one price; SUR; VAR; Agribusiness; Financial Economics; International Relations/Trade; F14; F31; F36; F42; C23.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53096
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The Consequences of a Strong Depreciation of the U.S. Dollar on Agricultural Markets AgEcon
Charlebois, Pierre; Hamann, Nathalie.
World prices for basic food commodities increased significantly in 2007-2008, triggering a worldwide food crisis. Among all the factors that contributed to the rise in agricultural prices in 2008, the depreciation of the U.S. dollar relative to other major currencies cannot be overlooked. The currencies of the major players in agricultural markets have shown strong appreciation from 2002 to 2008. The purpose of this study is to determine the effect of a strong depreciation of the U.S. dollar on the world prices of food commodities. Given the current U.S. budget situation, future depreciation is possible. This would again have consequences on world commodity prices and on the competitiveness of different countries. Thus, the final section assesses what...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Depreciation; Exchange rate; U.S. dollar; Currencies; AGLINK; World prices; Competitiveness; Agricultural markets; Demand and Price Analysis; International Relations/Trade; Political Economy.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/94750
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O EFEITO DAS IMPORTAÇÕES MUNDIAIS SOBRE AS EXPORTAÇÕES DO AGRONEGÓCIO BRASILEIRO – UMA ANÁLISE EMPÍRICA PARA O PERÍODO 2000/2007 AgEcon
Spolador, Humberto Francisco Silva; Barros, Geraldo Sant'Ana de Camargo.
Ao longo do período 2000/2007 o setor externo do agronegócio brasileiro encontrou uma conjuntura altamente favorável para o aumento de suas exportações, pois se combinou uma situação de forte expansão da economia mundial com elevação dos preços internacionais de commodities. No âmbito interno, os ganhos de produtividade permitiram o avanço das exportações, enquanto que a valorização cambial, iniciada em meados de 2004, praticamente eliminou os efeitos positivos da elevação dos preços internacionais. Esse trabalho mostra que, a despeito dos efeitos negativos da valorização cambial, o crescimento das importações mundiais teve efeito relevante (em torno de 20%) no aumento das exportações brasileiras do agronegócio entre os anos de 2000 e...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Importações mundiais; Taxa de câmbio; Exportações do agronegócio; World imports; Exchange rate; Agribusiness exports; Agribusiness; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/109811
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Analyzing Factors Affecting U.S. Food Price Inflation. AgEcon
Baek, Jungho; Koo, Won W..
Since the summer of 2007, U.S. food price has increased dramatically. Given public anxiety over fast-rising food prices in recent years, this paper attempts to analyze the effects of market factors ─ prices of energy and agricultural commodities and exchange rate ─ on U.S. food prices using a co-integration analysis. Results show that the agricultural commodity price and exchange rate play key roles in determining the short- and long-run movement of U.S. food prices. It is also found that in recent years, the energy price has been a significant factor affecting U.S. food prices in the long-run, but has little effect in the short-run. This implies the strong long-run linkage between energy and agricultural markets has emerged through production of...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Agricultural commodity price; Energy price; Exchange rate; Food price inflation; Time-series analysis; Agribusiness.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/54248
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Determinants of the U.S. Trade Balance in Consumer-Oriented Agricultural Products AgEcon
Zhuang, Renan; Koo, Won W.; Mattson, Jeremy W..
This study investigates the factors behind the growing U.S. trade deficit in consumer-oriented agricultural and food products by using reliable panel data and an empirical trade model derived from international trade theory. The results indicate that per capita income in the United States appears to be the most important determinant for the growing U.S. trade deficit. Increases in per capita income and trade liberalization in foreign countries improve the U.S. trade balance. U.S. foreign direct investment abroad in food processing, a strong U.S. dollar, and NAFTA are found to have negative effects on the U.S. trade balance.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Consumer-oriented products; Trade balance; Trade deficit; Exchange rate; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9079
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Money-Income Relationships between Three ERM Countries AgEcon
Choudhry, Taufiq.
This paper investigates the monetary interdependence and the money-income relationship between countries under a pegged and a floating exchange rate system during the same time period (1979-1997). The relationship is tested between three ERM countries, France, Germany and Holland, and also between these countries and the United States. The ERM countries have a pegged exchange rate between themselves, and the rate between these countries and the United States is freely floating. The empirical tests are conducted by means of the Johansen multivariate cointegration method and the error correction model. Among the ERM countries, international transmission of monetary policy is found in almost all directions. This may provide evidence against the theory of...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Monetary policy; Cointegration; Error correction; Speed of adjustment; Exchange rate; Public Economics; E50; E52.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44428
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Mudanças cambiais e o efeito dos fatores de crescimento das receitas de exportações brasileiras de soja AgEcon
Souza, Sonia Sueli Serafim de; Lamera, Janice Alves; Bonjour, Sandra Cristina de Moura; Figueiredo, Adriano Marcos Rodrigues.
This paper analyzes exchange rate, export quantity and foreign soybean price in soybean export revenues between 1994 and 2005. We used the shift-share method which allowed the isolation of effects for each variable. The results evidenced that even with adverse exchange rates and foreign prices the quantities exported were increasing in almost all the period. The two main trade policies in act by the Brazilian Government, since the beginning of the Real Plan in 1994, were clearly decisive for the increase in soybean export revenues and exported quantities.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Exchange rate; Export revenues; Soybean; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/55170
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The Economic Role of Nigeria’s Subsistence Agriculture in the Transition Process: Implications for Rural Development AgEcon
Apata, Temidayo Gabriel; Folayan, A.; Apata, O.M.; Akinlua, J..
This study examined the role of subsistence-oriented agriculture in Nigeria in the 1990s to 2000s. The start out by discussing the diverging economic effects of the growth of subsistence agriculture in Nigeria since the transition process started. The quantitative analysis of this sector’s role is carried out by means of an applied Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model applying a 1994 Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) as base year data. The innovation of the article is to disaggregate primary agricultural production not by products but by farm types, which enables us to distinguish their institutional and economic characteristics. The study simulates two Structural Adjustment Programme (SAP) of the government. The results of the post SAP period highlight...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Subsistence agriculture; CGE model; Exchange rate; Institutional Development; Structural Constraints; Nigeria; Community/Rural/Urban Development.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/108942
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A Re-examination of Factors Affecting United States Softwood Lumber Imports from Canada AgEcon
Baek, Jungho.
This paper examines the effects of the lumber price, the housing starts, and the bilateral exchange rate on U.S. softwood lumber imports from Canada in a cointegration framework. To that end, the Phillips-Hansen fully-modified cointegration (FM-OLS) procedure is applied to monthly data for the period from January 1994 through June 2009. Results show that there exists the long-run equilibrium relationship between the U.S. lumber imports from Canada and the selected macroeconomic and market variables. We also find that the U.S. lumber price and housing starts are more important than the bilateral exchange rate in influencing U.S.-Canada softwood lumber trade.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Exchange rate; Housing starts; Lumber imports; Lumber price; Phillips-Hansen fully-modified cointegration technique; Softwood lumber trade; International Relations/Trade; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/60930
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THE EFFECT OF EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY ON WHEAT TRADE WORLDWIDE AgEcon
Sun, Changyou; Kim, Mina; Koo, Won W.; Cho, Guedae; Jin, Hyun Joung.
A modified gravity-type model was employed to evaluate the effect of exchange rate volatility on wheat exports worldwide. Special attention was given to the econometric properties of the gravity model within panel framework. Short and long-term measures of exchange rate volatility were constructed and compared. Both measures of exchange rate volatility have exhibited a negative effect on world wheat trade and the long-term effect was even larger. This result implies that exchange rate volatility is an important factor in explaining the trade pattern of wheat trade worldwide. Keywords: wheat, export, exchange rate, volatility, gravity model, and panel data.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Wheat; Export; Exchange rate; Volatility; Gravity model; And panel data.; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19766
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DYNAMICS IN THE MACROECONOMY AND THE U.S. AGRICULTURAL TRADE BALANCE AgEcon
Baek, Jungho; Koo, Won W..
The effects of the exchange rate and the income and money supply of the United States and its major trading partners on the U.S. agricultural trade balance are examined using an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model. Results suggest that the exchange rate is the key determinant of the short- and long-run behavior of the trade balance. It is also found that the income and money supply in both the United States and the trading partners have significant impacts on the U.S. agricultural trade in both the short- and long-run.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Agricultural trade balance; Autoregressive distributed lag model; Exchange rate; Income; Macroeconomy; Money supply; Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23619
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