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Registros recuperados: 37
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Macroeconomics and Forest Sustainability in the Developing World AgEcon
Sedjo, Roger A..
Governments often use fiscal, exchange rate, monetary policy as well as export promotion tax increases, privatization, and land reform as part of comprehensive adjustments packages for addressing economic imbalances, balance of payments, and structural weaknesses. Such approaches, however, have come under heavy criticism for failing to recognize the social and environmental costs associated with them. Critics have argued that economic growth, trade liberalization, and increased primary product exports increase pressure on many sectors, including the agricultural and forestry land use sectors. This paper examines a number of these types of external shocks. This paper makes two arguments. First, from a theoretical economic perspective, although in many cases...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Forests; Sustainability; Macroeconomics; Trade; Exchange rates; Structural adjustment; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/10458
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Monetary Impacts and Overshooting of Agricultural Prices in a Transition Economy: The Case of Slovenia AgEcon
Bakucs, Lajos Zoltan; Bojnec, Stefan; Ferto, Imre.
The paper focus on the time adjustment paths of the exchange rate and agricultural producer and industrial prices in response to unanticipated monetary shocks following model developed by Saghaian et al. (2002). Results indicate that agricultural prices adjust faster than industrial prices to innovations in the money supply, affecting relative prices in the short run, but strict long-run money neutrality does not hold. The impulse response analysis shows that an exogenous shock to the money supply has a significant and volatile effect on the three price variables. The extent of overshooting in agricultural prices is twice as large as for exchange rates or industrial prices. This indicates that in the case of monetary shocks the sectors associated with...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural prices; Exchange rates; Monetary shocks; Overshooting; Transition economy; Agricultural Finance; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9422
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Exchange Rates, Foreign Income, and U.S. Agriculture AgEcon
Shane, Mathew; Roe, Terry L.; Somwaru, Agapi.
This paper focuses on estimating the effects of trade partner income and real trade-weighted exchange rates on US agricultural exports. For the period 1970-2003, a one percent annual increase in trade partners’ income is found to increase total agricultural exports by about 1.6 percent while a one percent appreciation of the dollar relative to trade partner trade-weighted currencies decreases total agricultural exports by about 0.8 percent. We find these effects also carry over to 12 commodity subcategories, although the effects are conditioned by differences between bulk and high value commodities, and differences in the export demand from high compared to low income countries. We also find that the negative effect of exchange rate appreciation on exports...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Exchange rates; U.S. agricultural trade; U.S. agricultural commodity exports; U.S. agricultural export prices; Foreign income; International Relations/Trade; F10; F14; Q17.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6686
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Discussion: Exchange Rates, Energy Policy and Outcomes in Agricultural Markets AgEcon
Rosson, C. Parr, III.
These three invited papers examine the role that exchange rates may have in influencing commodity prices, input prices and farm income. The papers arguably represent one of the most important recent attempts to quantify and explain these new linkages. As U.S. and world agriculture moves from a period of high output prices to a period of lower prices, understanding the impact of macroeconomic variables on farm input costs and farm income will become more important. Further, it will be equally important for policy makers to undertake appropriate market interventions in order to have maximum effectiveness should this period of cost-price-squeeze continue to intensify. Each of the papers has something significant to contribute to the understanding and debate...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Energy; Exchange rates; Macropolicy; Markets; Trade; Agribusiness; Farm Management; Financial Economics; Marketing; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy; F42.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53098
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ASYMMETRIC PATTERN OF INTRA-INDUSTRY TRADE BETWEEN THE UNITED STATES AND CANADA AgEcon
Kim, MinKyoung; Cho, Guedae; Koo, Won W..
This study proposes alternative rationales to explain an asymmetric intra-industry trade pattern between the United States and Canada after the free trade agreement became effective. Using time-series data, a gravity equation is developed which enables us to examine the impacts of relative market size, exchange rates, and transportation costs on bilateral trade. It is found that these three effects have to be taken together in order to explain the asymmetric intra-industry trade pattern. Exchange rate impacts on bilateral trade are found to the most significant, indicating that U.S. dollar appreciation causes a more asymmetric trade pattern for agricultural goods than for large-scale manufacturing goods.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Border effects; Exchange rates; Gravity equation; Intra-industry trade; National product differentiation model; Product differentiation model; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23625
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Export market integration in the European Union AgEcon
Gil Pareja, Salvador; Sosvilla Rivero, Simon.
This paper examines the degree and recent evolution (1988-2001) of export-price dispersion among European Union countries. It also explores the effect of exchange rates on export-price dispersion by reviewing the experience of some European countries that participated in the exchange rate stability zone. The results indicate that export-price dispersion across European Union countries was usually lower than across OECD countries. Moreover, although there is little evidence of convergence, this is stronger across European Union countries. Finally, even though price dispersion was often lower across European Union countries where exchange rates have been relatively stable than across countries with relatively volatile exchange rates, exchange-rate stability...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Export market integration; European Union; Exchange rates; F15; F30.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43509
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From Agriculture to Mining: The Impact of Structural Changes in Australian Commodity Exports on the Australian Terms of Trade AgEcon
Frost, Mark; Parton, Kevin A..
Australia has long been considered a commodity based economy, with the relationship between the terms of trade and the real exchange rate well documented. Less well documented are the determinants of the Australian terms of trade and how these have moved in response to structural change and growing internationalisation of the Australian economy. This paper examines the Australian terms of trade since 1983 and links movements with the increasing internationalisation of the Australian economy and structural changes within the export and import sectors.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Terms of trade; Trade; Commodity prices; Australian economy; Resource sector; Exchange rates; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/47630
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EXCHANGE RATE MISALIGNMENT AND AGRICULTURAL TRADE AgEcon
Cho, Guedae; Sheldon, Ian M.; McCorriston, Steve.
Using a sample consisting of bilateral trade flows across 10 developed countries between 1974 and 1995, this paper explores the effect of exchange rate misalignment on the growth of agricultural trade as compared to other sectors. Controlling for other factors likely to determine the growth in bilateral agricultural trade, the results show that long-run real exchange rate variability has had a significant negative effect on the growth of agricultural trade over this period. Keywords: Exchange rates, misalignment, agricultural trade
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Exchange rates; Misalignment; Agricultural trade; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21824
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Sustaining fixed rates: The political economy of currency pegs in Latin America AgEcon
Blomberg, S. Brock; Frieden, Jeffry; Stein, Ernesto.
Government exchange rate regime choice is constrained by both political and economic factors. One political factor is the role of special interests: the larger the tradable sectors exposed to international competition, the less likely is the maintenance of a fixed exchange rate regime. Another political factor is electoral: as an election approaches, the probability of the maintenance of a fixed exchange rate increases. We test these arguments with hazard models to analyze the duration dependence of Latin American exchange rate arrangements from 1960 to 1999. We find substantial empirical evidence for these propositions. Results are robust to the inclusion of a variety of other economic and political variables, to different time and country samples, and to...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Exchange rates; Elections; D72; F31.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37097
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The analysis of money demand for Uganda (1986:1-2003:4) AgEcon
Nabiddo, Winnie.
The paper presents an empirical analysis of money demand in Uganda over the period 1986:1-2003:4. Two definition of money were used and tests for co-integration between the monetary aggregates and real money balance were carried out. The empirical results show that income is positively related to money demand while exchange rate, inflation and interest rates have a negative impact on money demand and there is a degree of substitution from non-interest to interest bearing financial assets and holding of foreign currency. the money demand functions remained stables for the entire period, as confirmed by the chow tests.
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Money demand; Inflation rates; Interest rates; Exchange rates; Nabiddo; Economic policy research center; Foreign currency; Institutional and Behavioral Economics; International Development; International Relations/Trade; Production Economics; Productivity Analysis; Public Economics; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/54936
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The Relationship between Oil, Exchange Rates, and Commodity Prices AgEcon
Harri, Ardian; Nalley, Lawton Lanier; Hudson, Darren.
Exchange rates have long been thought to have an important impact on the export and import of goods and services, and, thus, exchange rates are expected to influence the price of those products that are traded. At the same time, energy impacts commodity production in some very important ways. The use of chemical and petroleum derived inputs has increased in agriculture over time; the prices of these critical inputs, then, would be expected to alter supply, and, therefore, the prices of commodities using these inputs. Also, agricultural commodities have been increasingly used to produce energy, thereby leading to an expectation of a linkage between energy and commodity markets. In this paper, we examine the price relationship through time of the primary...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Cointegration; Commodity prices; Crude oil; Exchange rates; Agribusiness; Consumer/Household Economics; International Relations/Trade; Marketing; Production Economics; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy; C32; L71; Q11; Q40.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53095
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Effects of Japanese Import Demand on U.S. Livestock Prices: Comment AgEcon
Kinnucan, Henry W..
A recent study of Miljkovic, Marsh, and Brester estimates that reductions in the Japanese tariff-rate quota between 1993 and 2001 increased U.S. beef prices by $1.03 per cwt and yen depreciation between 1995 and 1998 reduced U.S. hog prices by $0.99 per cwt. Relaxing the assumption that U.S. beef and hog supplies are fixed cuts the total elasticities underlying these estimates by 50% or more. The upshot is that shocks in the Japanese market have little effect on U.S. beef and pork prices. Hence, producers may be better off focusing on domestic issues such as dietary concerns over red meat consumption.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Elasticities; Exchange rates; Import demand; Income; Supply response; Tariffs; Q17; F14; C32.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43432
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IMPACTS OF GLOBALIZATION ON AGRICULTURAL COMPETITIVENESS: THE CASE OF NAFTA AgEcon
Kennedy, P. Lynn; Rosson, C. Parr, III.
Major components of agricultural competitiveness, including definitions, factors, and indicators of competitiveness, are discussed, The case of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) is used to illustrate how factors have influenced the competitive position of the NAFTA countries. Traditional neoclassical trade theory is used to evaluate the impact of currency exchange rate fluctuations and trade preferences on agricultural competitiveness. Pre- and post-NAFTA market shares are evaluated for five agricultural commodities of importance to the southern United States. The results of these evaluations are compared with theoretical expectations and discussed with special emphasis on implications for future trade negotiations.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural competitiveness; Exchange rates; International trade; NAFTA; International Relations/Trade; F14; Q17; Q18.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15477
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Decomposing Changes in Agricultural Producer Prices AgEcon
Liefert, William M..
This paper develops a method for decomposing changes in agricultural producer prices. The method builds on a procedure used by the World Bank, with the key variables in the decomposition being trade prices, exchange rates, and agricultural trade policies. The main ways by which we expand on the World Bank decomposition procedure are by broadening the analysis of policy effects, and by adding the effect from incomplete transmission of changes in border prices and exchange rates to producer prices, and the effect on prices from interactions between variables as they change simultaneously. We demonstrate the decomposition method by using the Russian poultry market in the late 1990s, and find that the dominant factor in changing the producer price was the...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural prices; Price transmission; Exchange rates; Trade policy; Russian agriculture; Developing economies; Transition economies; Agricultural Finance; F13; O13; 024; Q11; Q17.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25331
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Trade and Exchange Rate Regime Coherence: Implications for Integration in the Americas AgEcon
Ciuriak, Dan.
Latin America’s trade relationships have been severely strained by the series of uncoordinated currency depreciations within the region since the Asian Crisis spilled over into Brazil in 1999 and by large swings in G-3 exchange rates. Large depreciations, whether forced by capital markets or unilaterally effected for competitive trade reasons, are equivalent to steep increases in tariffs facing trading partners; they damage trade relationships and distort trade-oriented economic growth. The sources of the unfolding regional crisis and its implications for intra-regional trade as well as trade with major external trading partners are examined. Implications for future regional economic integration are drawn.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Capital flows; Contagion; Exchange rates; Finance; Trade; Western Hemisphere; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23919
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Monetary Impacts and Overshooting of Agricultural Prices in a Transition Economy: The Case of Slovenia AgEcon
Bakucs, Lajos Zoltan; Bojnec, Stefan; Ferto, Imre.
The paper focus on the time adjustment paths of the exchange rate and agricultural producer and industrial prices in response to unanticipated monetary shocks following model developed by Saghaian et al. (2002). We employ Johansen's cointegration test along with a vector error correction model to investigate whether agricultural producer prices overshoot in a transition economy. Results indicate that agricultural prices adjust faster than industrial prices to innovations in the money supply, affecting relative prices in the short run, but strict long-run money neutrality does not hold. The impulse response analysis shows that an exogenous shock to the money supply has a significant and volatile effect on the three price variables. Initially, both the...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural prices; Exchange rates; Monetary shocks; Overshooting; Transition economy; Financial Economics; C32; E51; P22; Q11.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25515
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Recent Macroeconomic Dynamics and Agriculture in Historical Perspective AgEcon
Orden, David.
This article explores the similarities, differences, and implications from the 1970s–1980s experience for the macroeconomic dynamic that may arise from the 2008 price spike and subsequent recession. Role of monetary policy (deviations from Taylor rule) is assessed. This is an argument that has not been too prominent in public discourse about causes of the financial crisis or the policies undertaken to restore stability to financial markets and avoid an even deeper downturn than occurred. The ‘‘misery index’’ is compared across the past and recent macroeconomic events. Effects on agriculture of exchange rates are reviewed, effects dependent on currency values and interest rates that can change quickly and in unexpected ways.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Monetary policy; Exchange rates; Macroeconomic effects on agriculture; Agribusiness; Agricultural Finance; Environmental Economics and Policy; Political Economy; Production Economics; Public Economics; E52; F41; Q18.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/92581
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NONCOMPETITIVE PRICING AND EXCHANGE RATE PASS-THROUGH IN SELECTED U.S. AND THAI RICE MARKETS AgEcon
Yumkella, Kandeh K.; Unnevehr, Laurian J.; Garcia, Philip.
A "pricing to market" international trade model is applied to U.S. and Thai rice exports to high and middle income countries that are continuous rice importers. These markets are characterized by strong quality preferences and highly inelastic demand, and thus exporters may exercise market power. Evidence of noncompetitive pricing either through price discrimination across destinations or through imperfect exchange rate pass-through is found in this small but growing segment of the international rice trade.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Exchange rates; Imperfect competition; International trade; Rice; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 1994 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15183
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Global Growth, Macroeconomic Change, and U.S. Agricultural Trade AgEcon
Gehlhar, Mark J.; Dohlman, Erik; Brooks, Nora L.; Jerardo, Alberto; Vollrath, Thomas L..
After a decade of uneven export growth and rapidly growing imports, U.S. agriculture has begun to reassert its position in global trade markets. Rising exports and signs of moderating demand for imports mark a departure from previous trends. This report places past trends and emerging developments in perspective by spotlighting the role of two specific factors that help steer U.S. agricultural trade patterns: global growth and shifts in foreign economic activity that affect U.S. exports, and macroeconomic factors underlying the growth of U.S. imports. Consistent with actual changes in the level and destination of U.S. exports, model simulations corroborate the contention that renewed export growth can be sustained by expanding incomes and growing food...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Agricultural trade; Trade balance; Income growth; Economic development; Population; Macroeconomics; Exchange rates; Current account; Growth projections.; Agricultural and Food Policy; Agricultural Finance; International Development; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/55963
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Discussion: Revisiting Macroeconomic Linkages to Agriculture: The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables and the Oil Sector on Farm Prices and Income AgEcon
Penson, John B., Jr..
Periodically, events occur in the domestic and global economies that remind agricultural economists that macroeconomics matter. This was evident in the early 1980s when the Federal Reserve responded to double-digit inflation by driving interest rates to post–World War II period highs. The Asian financial crisis in the late 1990s, rising oil prices this past decade, and current stress in domestic and overseas financial markets serve to remind us again that externalities can have an effect on the economic performance and financial strength of U.S. agriculture. These effects are transmitted through interest rates, inflation, unemployment, real gross domestic product, and exchange rates.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Macroeconomics; Linkages; Net farm income; Exchange rates; Interest rates; Real GDP; Agribusiness; Farm Management; Financial Economics; Political Economy; Public Economics; E31; E44; Q41; Q43.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/92583
Registros recuperados: 37
Primeira ... 12 ... Última
 

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