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| Himics, Mihaly; Potori, Norbert. |
| In our paper, we briefly discuss the outlook for the main agricultural sectors in Hungary until 2013, and present some of the latest results of our modelling work at the Research Institute for Agricultural Economics (AKI). In addition, we provide a short methodological overview of the applied modelling tools. To strengthen the quantitative analysis capacity during the pre-accession period, AKI developed a partial equilibrium model (Hungarian Simulation Model or HUSIM) by the end of the 1990's. Since then, AKI has been regularly carrying out agricultural policy analyses by applying this economic model. After gathering experiences with HUSIM, strong demand was raised on a modelling tool that enables us to investigate the structural changes in agriculture in... |
| Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Mid-term prospects; Decoupling; Farm group model; FARM-T; Hungary.; Farm Management. |
| Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7844 |
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| Himics, Mihaly. |
| This paper provides an opportunity for the reader to get an insight into the current modelling work at the Research Institute for Agricultural Economics, Hungary (AKI). After giving a short summary of the applied econometric models in the past decade, our latest development, the farm group model FARM-T will be introduced. Before introducing FARM-T in details, we devote the second part of the paper to collect all the major challenges we faced during the model development process, when we tried to establish a model structure, with which the possible effects of the introduction of the Single Payment Scheme (SPS) in Hungary can be properly estimated. Therefore, this chapter is meant to explain our motivation for choosing the applied model concept. In the... |
| Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: FARM-T; Partial equilibrium model; Farm groups; Demand and Price Analysis; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods. |
| Ano: 2008 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6697 |
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