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A Stochastic Budgeting Analysis of Three Alternative Scenarios to Convert from Beef-Cattle Farming to Game Ranching AgEcon
Grove, Bennie; Taljaard, Pieter R.; Cloete, Philip C..
The main objective of this paper is to evaluate the profitability and financial feasibility of three alternative scenarios to convert from beef-cattle farming to game ranching. The analyses acknowledge the importance of quantifying the probability of failure or success when making investment decisions. Risk is incorporated into a standard net present value analysis using risk simulation. De-trended historical auction prices of live game and on-the-hoof prices of weaner cattle were used to quantify price variability. The stochastic net present value analyses indicate that game ranching is more profitable than cattle farming. Although an investment in a limited number of common game species is financially feasible, the cash flow analysis indicates a...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Game ranching; Profitability; Financial feasibility; Risk simulation; Agricultural Finance; Farm Management; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7048
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