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Do Farmers Hedge Optimally or by Habit? A Bayesian Partial-Adjustment Model of Farmer Hedging AgEcon
Dorfman, Jeffrey H.; Karali, Berna.
Hedging is one of the most important risk management decisions that farmers make and has a potentially large role in the level of profit eventually earned from farming. Using panel data from a survey of Georgia farmers that recorded their hedging decisions for 4 years on four crops, we examine the role of habit, demographics, farm characteristics, and information sources on the hedging decisions made by 57 different farmers. We find that the role of habit varies widely and that estimation of a single habit effect suffers from aggregation bias. Thus, modeling farmer-level heterogeneity in the examination of habit and hedging is crucial.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Bayesian econometrics; Habit formation; Hedging decisions; Information sources; Agribusiness; Agricultural Finance; Farm Management; Financial Economics; Labor and Human Capital; Production Economics; Productivity Analysis; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; C11; Q12; Q14.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/100519
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Do Farmers Hedge Optimally or by Habit? A Bayesian Partial-Adjustment Model of Farmer Hedging AgEcon
Dorfman, Jeffrey H.; Karali, Berna.
Hedging is one of the most important risk management decisions that farmers make and has a potentially large role in the level of profit eventually earned from farming. Using panel data from a survey of Georgia farmers that recorded their hedging decisions for four years on three crops we examine the role of habit, demographics, farm characteristics, and information sources on the hedging decisions made by 106 different farmers. We find that the role of habit varies widely. Information sources are shown to have significant and large effects on the chosen hedge ratios. The farmer's education level, attitude toward technology adoption, farm profitability, and the ratio of acres owned to acres farmed also play important roles in hedging decisions.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Bayesian econometrics; Hedging decisions; Habit formation; Information sources; Agricultural Finance.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37596
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