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| Alvarenga,Lívia Alves; Mello,Carlos Rogério de; Colombo,Alberto; Cuartas,Luz Adriana; Chou,Sin Chan. |
| ABSTRACT Climate change impacts need to be considered in water resource planning. This work aims to study of the impacts climate change on Lavrinha headwater watershed, located in the Mantiqueira Range, southeastern Brazil. The impacts from climate change (RCP 8.5 scenario) in the Lavrinha watershed runoff were analyzed based on the "Distributed Hydrology Soil Vegetation Model" (DHSVM), forced with the climate simulated for this future climate change scenario. These simulations, in turn, were generated by the Eta regional climate model coupled to Global Climate Model (GCM) HadGEM2-ES for the 2011-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2099 periods. The results of this study showed that the runoff is very sensitive to rising temperatures and reduced precipitation, both... |
| Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
Palavras-chave: Downscaling; Eta model; DHSVM; Hydrological impacts. |
| Ano: 2016 |
URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1413-70542016000600647 |
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