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Macroeconomics and Agriculture in Tunisia 31
Ben Kaabia, Monia; Gil, Jose Maria; Chebbi, Houssem Eddine.
This paper aims to analyse the impact of changes in the monetary policy and the exchange rate on agricultural supply, prices and exports. The methodology used is based on the multivariate cointegration approach. Ten variables are considered: interest and exchange rates, money supply, inflation, agricultural output and input prices, agricultural supply and exports, income and the rate of commercial openness. Sample period covers annual data from 1967 to 2002. Due to the short-sample period, two subsystems are considered. First, long-run relationships are identified in each subsystem. Second, both subsystems are merged in order to calculate the short-run dynamics. Results indicate that changes in macroeconomic variables have an effect on the agricultural...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Macroeconomic policy; Agro-food sector; Tunisia; Impulse-response functions; Political Economy; C32; N57; O31.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24597
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OVERSHOOTING OF AGRICULTURAL PRICES IN FOUR ASIAN ECONOMIES 31
Saghaian, Sayed H.; Hasan, Mohamad F.; Reed, Michael R..
This article examines the impacts of monetary policy on agricultural prices in four Asian economies using time series analysis and graph theory. The estimations clearly show that agricultural prices overshoot their long-run equilibrium values for Korea, Philippines, and Thailand, and the overshooting for agricultural prices is larger than for manufactured prices. Impulse-response functions and variance-decomposition analysis based on directed graphs and causal structures highlight the complex interplay among the variables in the model and how those relationships differ by country. Money supply changes clearly affect real variables and relative prices for all countries either through overshooting or non-neutrality of money.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural prices; Asian economies; Directed graphs; Impulse-response functions; Manufacturing prices; Monetary policy; Overshooting; Variance-decompositions; Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15524
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