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| PACHECO,PAULO S.; RESTLE,JOÃO; PASCOAL,LEONIR L.; VAZ,FABIANO N.; VAZ,RICARDO Z.; VALENÇA,KAROLINE G.; OLEGARIO,JANAINE L.. |
| The objective of this study was to evaluate the risk of feedlot finishing of steers (22.8 months) and young steers (15.2 months), using or not a correlation between the random input variables (data collected from 2004 to 2010) in the simulation of the Net Present Value (NPV) financial indicator. The animals were fed a diet containing roughage:concentrate ratio of 60:40 for 34 and 143 days, respectively, until they had reached a predetermined slaughter weight of 430 kg. For the NPV simulation, Latin Hypercube sampling was used, with 2000 interactions. The stochastic dominance analysis, test of differences between pairs of curves of cumulative distributions and sensitivity analysis were carried out. The NPV simulation using the correlation resulted in the... |
| Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
Palavras-chave: Investment analysis; Investment projects; Monte Carlo simulation; Nonparametric statistics; Probabilistic analysis; Production of young bulls. |
| Ano: 2014 |
URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0001-37652014000200945 |
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| Silva,Rodrigo Medeiros da; Taveira,Rodrigo Zaiden; Restle,João; Fabricio,Edom de Avila; Camera,Angelina; Maysonnave,Greicy Sofia; Bilego,Ubirajara Oliveira; Pacheco,Paulo Santana; Vaz,Fabiano Nunes. |
| ABSTRACT: The goal of the present study was to assess the economic viability relating to the risk of replacing corn with pearl millet in diets with 80% concentration for feedlot cattle confined for 89 days. Replacement levels were: 0, 33, 66, and 100%. The risk was estimated using Monte Carlo simulation, Spearman’s rank correlation test between input variables, stochastic dominance, and analysis of sensitivity. The expected average values ± standard deviation for net present value (R$/animal) were ± 71.74 ± 283.32, 91.23 ± 285.18, 196.05 ± 273.79, and 223.80 ± 267.96 for diets containing 0, 33, 66, and 100% of pearl millet, respectively. The probability of ≥0 net present value was 63.4, 66.1, 78.4, and 82.4%, respectively. The net present values were... |
| Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
Palavras-chave: Investment analysis; Probabilistic analysis; Stochastic method; Correlation of classification. |
| Ano: 2020 |
URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0103-84782020000300651 |
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| Pacheco,Paulo Santana; Vaz,Fabiano Nunes; Restle,João; Ávila,Mozer Manetti de; Olegario,Janaine Leal; Menezes,Fernanda Rezer de; Valença,Karoline Gomes; Lemes,Daniel Batista; Vargas,Fabiano Vargas de. |
| The joint analysis of indicators of the investment project is very relevant in making decisions, resulting in more consistent information regarding risk assessment and its confrontation with the possibility of return. This research aimed to evaluate the economic feasibility of Red Angus young steers finished in feedlot, slaughtered at 340, 373, 396 or 430kg with use of various financial indicators, marketed with or without bonus. The purchase of feeder cattle and feeding were variable costs with a higher share in the total cost. In the analysis with bonus, the regression analysis to gross margin, net margin, net present value, benefit:cost index and additional return on investment showed quadratic behavior, with the point of maximum at 406kg (R$ 185.17),... |
| Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
Palavras-chave: Investment analysis; Risk analysis; Beef cattle; Ideal slaughter weight; Termination system. |
| Ano: 2015 |
URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0103-84782015000300492 |
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| Pacheco,Paulo Santana; Pascoal,Leonir Luiz; Restle,João; Vaz,Fabiano Nunes; Arboitte,Miguelangelo Ziegler; Vaz,Ricardo Zambarda; Santos,João Paulo Aquino; Oliveira,Thamyres Martino Liñares de. |
| The objective of this study was to evaluate the risk associated with finishing crossbred Charolais × Nellore steers in feedlot at different slaughter weights (425, 467 or 510 kg), considering or disregarding the correlation amongst random input variables. Data were collected from 2004 to 2010 and used in the simulation of the financial indicator Net Present Value (NPV). Animals slaughtered with 425, 467 or 510 kg were fed diets containing a roughage:concentrate ratio of 60:40 for 30, 65 and 94 days, respectively. In the simulation of NPV, a Latin Hypercube type of sampling was used, running 2000 interactions. An analysis of stochastic dominance of first and second orders was carried out as well as the Kolmogorov-Smirnov asymptotic test (to check for... |
| Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
Palavras-chave: Investment analysis; Investment project; Non-parametric statistics; Production of young steers; Probabilistic analysis; Monte Carlo simulation. |
| Ano: 2014 |
URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1516-35982014000200007 |
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