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The Food Problem and the Evolution of International Income Levels 31
Gollin, Douglas; Parente, Stephen L.; Rogerson, Richard.
This paper examines the effect of agricultural development on a country’s overall development and growth experience. In most poor countries, large fractions of land, labor, and other productive resources are devoted to producing food for subsistence needs. This “food problem” can delay a country’s industrial development for a long period of time, causing its per capita income to fall far behind the world leader. Once industrialization begins, this trend is reversed. The extent to which a country catches up to the leader depends primarily on factors that affect productivity in non-agricultural activities: agricultural productivity is thus largely irrelevant in the very long run. But in the short run, a country that experiences large improvements in...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Agriculture; Economic growth; Subsistence; Food problem; Agricultural technology; Long-run growth; Food Security and Poverty; E130; O400; O410; Q100.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/28416
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The Historical Fertility Transition: A Guide for Economists 31
Guinnane, Timothy W..
The historical fertility transition is the process by which much of Europe and North America went from high to low fertility in the nineteenth and early twentieth centuries. This transformation is central to recent accounts of long-run economic growth. Prior to the transition, women bore as many as eight children each, and the elasticity of fertility with respect to incomes was positive. Today, many women have no children at all, and the elasticity of fertility with respect to incomes is zero or even negative. This paper discusses the large literature on the historical fertility transition, focusing on what we do and do not know about the process. I stress some possible misunderstandings of the demographic literature, and discuss an agenda for future work.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Fertility transition; Long-run growth; Malthusian models; Quantity-quality trade-off; Consumer/Household Economics; International Development; Labor and Human Capital; N3; O1; O4.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/95271
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