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Huettel, Silke; Jongeneel, Roelof A.. |
With the milk quota announced to be abolished in the future, the dairy sector is going to face a significant policy regime shift. This paper sets out to analyze the impact of milk quotas on the dairy farm structure of two important milk producing member states: Germany and the Netherlands. Based on proper behavioral assumptions, non stationary Markov chain models are specified and estimated using a generalized cross entropy procedure, which takes into account both sample and prior information. Moreover four mobility indicators characterizing structural change are developed and calculated. Structural change in the dairy sector as measured by the mobility measures is faster in West Germany than in the Netherlands. However, in the transition region East... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Markov Chain; Milk Quota; Structural Change; Livestock Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2008 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43659 |
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Stott, Alistair W.; Milne, Catherine E.; Gunn, George J.. |
An epidemiological model is described that closely mimicked results of a published serological study of natural transmission of Maedi-Visna virus in a low ground flock of sheep. We adjusted parameters in the model from this baseline to explore the possible implications for the control of Maedi-Visna virus in typical British flocks. On closed hill farms, low probability of effective contact was most critical for control. In open low ground flocks, purchasing accredited replacements eliminated disease spread, otherwise flock size was the most important factor governing flock prevalence. Results highlighted the need for more epidemiological information about Maedi-Visna, particularly whether hill farms act as a hidden reservoir of virus or reduce the impact... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries; Maedi-Visna; Model; Markov Chain; Sheep; Control. |
Ano: 2009 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61102 |
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