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Multicriteria and Multiperiod Programming for Scenario Analysis in Guadalquivir River Irrigated Farming AgEcon
Vecino, Julio Berbel; Baldovín, Maria Jose López; Gutierrez, Carlos.
A multiperiod model based upon a multicriteria objective function has been developed for a representative area of the Guadalquivir Valley, dividing the irrigated area into homogeneous types of farming as identified by cluster analysis. The model was applied to different future scenarios with a time horizon of 10 years and several different farming environments. A set of eight sustainability indicators has been evaluated for the model. The results show that the evolution of crops over time is closely related to the political environment regarding the Common Agricultural Policy and the application of the Water Framework Directive. Methodological innovation has included the successful simultaneous introduction of MCDM and multiperiod programming techniques...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Multiperiod programming; Multicriteria programming; Sustainable agriculture; Scenario analysis; Agribusiness; C61.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24612
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Impact of Policy Scenarios in Irrigated Agriculture of River Guadalquivir Basin (Southern Spain) AgEcon
Vecino, Julio Berbel; Lopez, Maria Jos; Gutierrez, Carlos.
This paper integrates indicators of environmental, social and economic impact of a range of policy scenarios through the use of Multicriteria and Multiperiod Programming. The case study is irrigated agriculture in the basin of the River Guadalquivir, and the policy scenarios combined Common Agricultural Policy and Water Framework Directive implementation in the period 2001-2010. The model is applied to a representative number of farming systems that attempt to offer a satisfactory description of the productive diversity of the basin. Results indicate that there are significant differences in the impact in the three dimensions (environmental, social and economic), according to the possible evolution of policy, market and technical futures. We believe that...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural scenarios; Indicators of sustainability; Multicriteria models; Multiperiod programming; Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24499
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