|
|
|
|
|
| Biggs, Reinette; University of Wisconsin; biggs@wisc.edu; Raudsepp-Hearne, Ciara; McGill University; ciara.rh@gmail.com; Atkinson-Palombo, Carol; Arizona State University; cmatkin@mainex1.asu.edu; Bohensky, Erin; University of Pretoria; CSIRO Sustainable Ecosystems; erin.bohensky@csiro.au; Boyd, Emily; Stockholm University; boyd@ctm.su.se; Cundill, Georgina; Rhodes University; g.cundill@ru.ac.za; Fox, Helen; World Wildlife Fund; helen.fox@wwfus.org; Ingram, Scott; Arizona State University; singram@asu.edu; Kok, Kasper; Wageningen University; kasper.kok@wur.nl; Spehar, Stephanie; New York University; stephanie.spehar@gmail.com; Timmer, Dagmar; Resourceful Solutions Consulting; timmer.dagmar@gmail.com; Zurek, Monika; FAO; monika.zurek@fao.org. |
| Scenario analysis is a useful tool for exploring key uncertainties that may shape the future of social-ecological systems. This paper explores the methods, costs, and benefits of developing and linking scenarios of social-ecological systems across multiple spatial scales. Drawing largely on experiences in the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, we suggest that the desired degree of cross-scale linkage depends on the primary aim of the scenario exercise. Loosely linked multiscale scenarios appear more appropriate when the primary aim is to engage in exploratory dialog with stakeholders. Tightly coupled cross-scale scenarios seem to work best when the main objective is to further our understanding of cross-scale interactions or to assess trade-offs between... |
| Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Insight |
Palavras-chave: Multiscale scenarios; Cross-scale scenarios; Stakeholder engagement; Millennium Ecosystem Assessment; Environmental assessment; Scenario analysis. |
| Ano: 2007 |
|
| |
|
|
| Palacios-Agundez, Igone; Plant Biology and Ecology Department, University of the Basque Country UPV/EHU; igone.palacios@ehu.es; Casado-Arzuaga, Izaskun; Plant Biology and Ecology Department, University of the Basque Country UPV/EHU; Izaskun.casado@ehu.es; Madariaga, Iosu; Environment Department, County Council of Biscay; Plant Biology and Ecology Department, University of the Basque Country UPV/EHU; iosu.madariaga@bizkaia.net; Onaindia, Miren; Plant Biology and Ecology Department, University of the Basque Country UPV/EHU; miren.onaindia@ehu.es. |
| As part of the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment in Biscay, Basque Country, we described scenarios for Biscay through 2050 in an integrated and participatory way by downscaling the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA) global scenarios, analyzed how ecosystem services and human well-being might change in a range of plausible futures, identified management strategies for the territory through a backcasting process, and explored the relevance of scenarios to policy making. Our intention was to strengthen the link to policy making and to achieve a real implementation of our research results in ecosystem management policies. We also aimed to provide more insights on how large-scale scenario developments can be translated to the local level. In doing so, we... |
| Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports |
Palavras-chave: Biscay subglobal assessment (EEMBiscay); Ecosystem service; Millennium Ecosystem Assessment; Multiscale scenarios; Policy impact; Scenario planning; Stakeholder participation. |
| Ano: 2013 |
|
| |
|
|
|
