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Consistency and Challenges in the Ocean Carbon Sink Estimate for the Global Carbon Budget ArchiMer
Hauck, Judith; Zeising, Moritz; Le Quere, Corinne; Gruber, Nicolas; Bakker, Dorothee C. E.; Bopp, Laurent; Chau, Thi Tuyet Trang; Guerses, Oezguer; Ilyina, Tatiana; Landschuetzer, Peter; Lenton, Andrew; Resplandy, Laure; Roedenbeck, Christian; Schwinger, Joerg; Seferian, Roland.
Based on the 2019 assessment of the Global Carbon Project, the ocean took up on average, 2.5 +/- 0.6 PgC yr(-1) or 23 +/- 5% of the total anthropogenic CO2 emissions over the decade 2009-2018. This sink estimate is based on simulation results from global ocean biogeochemicalmodels (GOBMs) and is compared to data-products based on observations of surface ocean pCO(2) (partial pressure of CO2) accounting for the outgassing of river-derived CO2. Here we evaluate the GOBM simulations by comparing the simulated surface ocean pCO(2) to observations. Based on this comparison, the simulations are well-suited for quantifying the global ocean carbon sink on the time-scale of the annual mean and its multi-decadal trend (RMSE <20 mu atm), as well as on the...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Ocean carbon uptake; Anthropogenic CO2; Ocean carbon cycle model evaluation; Riverine carbon flux; Variability of the ocean carbon sink; Seasonal cycle.
Ano: 2020 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00676/78822/81139.pdf
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Detecting the anthropogenic influences on recent changes in ocean carbon uptake ArchiMer
Seferian, Roland; Ribes, Aurelien; Bopp, Laurent.
Anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions have modified the rate at which oceans have absorbed atmospheric CO2 over the last centuries through rising atmospheric CO2 and modifications in climate. However, there are still missing pieces in our understanding of the recent evolution of air-sea CO2 exchanges related to the magnitude of their response to anthropogenic forcings versus that controlled by the internal variability. Here, to detect and attribute anthropogenic influences on oceanic CO2 uptake between 1960 and 2005, we compare an ensemble of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) climate model simulations forced by individual drivers to ocean-only model reconstructions. We demonstrate that the evolution of the global oceanic carbon sink...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Detection and attribution; Ocean carbon uptake; Internal variability; Climate change.
Ano: 2014 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00292/40346/38916.pdf
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