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	Provedor de dados Ecology and Society (1) Autor Metzger, Marc J.; Centre for the Study of Environmental Change and Sustainability (CECS), University of Edinburgh ; Alterra Wageningen University and Research Centre; marc.metzger@ed.ac.uk (1) Rounsevell, Mark D.A.; Centre for the study of Environmental Change and Sustainability (CECS), University of Edinburgh; (1) Soto Hardiman, Paul; Grupo Alba; (1) Van den Heiligenberg, Harm A.R.M.; Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL); Province of Utrecht; (1) Palavra-chave Common Agricultural Policy reform (1) Explorative scenarios (1) Personal judgment (1) Rural development (1) Uncertainty (1) Tipo do documento Peer-Reviewed Insight (1) Ano 2010 (1) País Canada (1) Idioma Inglês (1)		Ordenar por:  Relevância Autor Título Ano Registros recuperados: 1 Primeira ... 1 ... Última How Personal Judgment Influences Scenario Development: an Example for Future Rural Development in Europe Ecology and Society Metzger, Marc J.; Centre for the Study of Environmental Change and Sustainability (CECS), University of Edinburgh ; Alterra Wageningen University and Research Centre; marc.metzger@ed.ac.uk; Rounsevell, Mark D.A.; Centre for the study of Environmental Change and Sustainability (CECS), University of Edinburgh;; Van den Heiligenberg, Harm A.R.M.; Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL); Province of Utrecht;; Soto Hardiman, Paul; Grupo Alba;. Scenarios of alternative plausible futures have been used extensively to explore the potential effects of socioeconomic and environmental change. The ultimate objective of any explorative scenario exercise is to assess the variation in possible futures to provide insights into the range of potential outcomes. These results provide stakeholders with guidance for policy development, planning, and management. We explore how personal judgment can influence scenario development. Scenarios for the future of European rural regions are used to explore alternative outcomes under a public interventionist future and a market liberalization oriented future. A transparent qualitative framework is used to identify differences in outcomes based on personal judgment.... Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Insight Palavras-chave: Common Agricultural Policy reform; Explorative scenarios; Personal judgment; Rural development; Uncertainty. Ano: 2010 Registros recuperados: 1 Primeira ... 1 ... Última

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