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| He, Hai. |
| Taking the price of grain in Guizhou Province as an example, by establishing GARCH model, I calculate VAR of logarithm return of grain price index, in order to conduct research on the variation law of price of the agricultural products. The results show that VAR of grain in Guizhou has variation. After the year 2010, VAR value is gradually increasing, and the price variation risk of grain market tends to increase progressively. Based on the characteristics of grain price variation, a series of corresponding proposals are put forward to stabilize the grain price as follows: strengthen the agricultural infrastructure construction, and promote the agricultural overall production capacity; reinforce the market supervision on the circulation field of... |
| Tipo: Article |
Palavras-chave: Price of agricultural products; Price fluctuation; GARCH model; VAR; China; Agribusiness. |
| Ano: 2011 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/121275 |
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| Wen, Li. |
| Based on the research introduction of domestic and foreign scholars, dynamic equilibrium between the rural labor force flow and the price of agricultural product is analyzed by VEC model, according to the data of the rural labor force flow and the price of agricultural products in the years 1990-2007. Chow’s breakpoint test is used to measure the stage characteristics of the impact of rural labor force flow on the price of agricultural product. Result shows that there is a long-term and stationary relationship between the flow quantity of rural labor force and the price of agricultural product. Rural labor force flow, as an exogenous force, affects the agricultural production, and further influences the price fluctuation of agricultural products. Impact of... |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Rural labor force flow; Price of agricultural products; VEC model; Vocational education; China; Agribusiness. |
| Ano: 2010 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/96062 |
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