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SPATIAL PRODUCTION CONCENTRATION, DEMAND UNCERTAINTY, AND MULTIPLE MARKETS AgEcon
Saak, Alexander E..
The geographic concentration of production of main field crops in several growing regions is a distinctive feature of U.S. agriculture. Among many possible reasons for spatial concentration, I study here the effects of the distribution of end users and terminal markets on acreage allocation. The presence of multiple terminal markets in a growing area may allow for a more flexible marketing plan, along with introducing more idiosyncratic demand uncertainty associated with each consumption point. To take better advantage of future marketing opportunities, growers, depending on their location relative to terminal markets, may adjust the crop mix produced on the farm. I characterize the types of environments that lead to a spatial production concentration of a...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Commodity prices; Location; Marketing; Production concentration; Supermodularity; Systematic risk; Industrial Organization.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18557
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Evaluating the Dynamic Nature of Market Risk AgEcon
Hubbs, Todd; Kuethe, Todd H.; Baker, Timothy G..
This study examines the systematic risk present in major crops for the United States and three corn-belt states. An index of commodities is used in conjunction with cash receipts to generate dynamic estimates of the systematic risk for each crop and state. In our study, we find that beta estimates from a time varying parameter model (FLS) and OLS formulation are substantially different. From our graphs of betas over time, one gains insight into the changing nature of risk and the impact of institutional and macroeconomic events. Systematic risk is shown to increase for most crops over the analyzed period with significant changes in volatility after the collapse of the Bretton Woods Accord.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Systematic risk; Flexible least squares; Single index model; Farm policy; Macroeconomics; Agribusiness; Agricultural Finance; Consumer/Household Economics; Demand and Price Analysis; Farm Management; Financial Economics; Institutional and Behavioral Economics; Marketing; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53037
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