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Bergmann, Holger; Thomson, Kenneth J.. |
A modified version of a system dynamics model constructed for an EU-wide case-study project (TOPMARD) using STELLA software was used to simulate the effects of a number of development scenarios for a remote rural area in Northern Scotland, i.e. Caithness & Sutherland, which is characterised by multifunctional agriculture. In this paper, the context of the modelling work in policy and socioeconomic terms is first described. This is followed by the specification of the model and of the modelling scenarios, one of which relates to the “decommissioning” (run-down) of a major industrial site (Dounreay) within the area. The modelling results are discussed, in terms of regional population, land use, economic and other terms, from 2001 to 2015/2031. Finally,... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Modelling; Multifunctionality; Input-output; Systems dynamics; Rural policy; Agricultural and Food Policy; Community/Rural/Urban Development; Public Economics; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods. |
Ano: 2008 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6596 |
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Bergmann, Holger; Thomson, Kenneth J.. |
A modified version of a system dynamics model constructed for an EU-wide case-study project (TOP-MARD) using STELLA software was used to simulate the effects of a number of development scenarios for a remote rural area in Northern Scotland, i.e. Caithness & Sutherland, which is characterised by a high regional importance of agriculture for the local economy. In this paper, the context of the modelling work in policy and socio-economic terms is first described. This is followed by the specification of the model and of the several modelling scenarios, which relate to the reconfiguration of Pillar 2 spending within the area and an reversal of recent Structural Funds spending for 2007 onwards. The modelling results are discussed, in terms of regional... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Modelling; Input-output; Systems dynamics; Rural viability; Marketing. |
Ano: 2008 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/52645 |
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