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Zeitpräferenz und Zeitkonsistenz: Zur Rationalität sequenzieller Entscheidungen AgEcon
Weikard, Hans-Peter.
The paper discusses the problem of discounting, time preference, and time consistent decision making. While a constant pure rate of time preference leads to consistent consumption plans, other discounting schemes – like hyperbolic discounting – do not. Using a so-called money pump argument, time inconsistencies can be shown to be irrational. The paper also explores the use of a hedonic utility concept to explain sequential choice behaviour.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Decision theory; Discounting; Time preference; Time consistency; Institutional and Behavioral Economics.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/99006
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Global Warming and Hyperbolic Discounting AgEcon
Karp, Larry S..
The use of a constant discount rate to study long-lived environmental problems such as global warming has two disadvantages: the prescribed policy is sensitive to the discount rate, and with moderate discount rates, large future damages have almost no effect on current decisions. Time-consistent quasi-hyperbolic discounting alleviates both of these modeling problems, and is a plausible description of how people think about the future. We analyze the time-consistent Markov Perfect equilibrium in a general model with a stock pollutant. The solution to the linear-quadratic specialization illustrates the role of hyperbolic discounting in a model of global warming.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Stock pollutant; Hyperbolic discounting; Global warming; Time consistency; Environmental Economics and Policy; D83; L50.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25069
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Non-Constant Discounting in Continuous Time AgEcon
Karp, Larry S..
This note derives the dynamic programming equation (DPE) to a differentiable Markov Perfect equilibrium in a problem with non-constant discounting and general functional forms. We begin with a discrete stage model and take the limit as the length of the stage goes to 0 to obtain the DPE corresponding to the continuous time problem. We characterize the multiplicity of equilibria under non-constant discounting and discuss the relation between a given equilibrium of that model and the unique equilibrium of a related problem with constant discounting. We calculate the bounds of the set of candidate steady states and we Pareto rank the equilibria.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Hyperbolic discounting; Time consistency; Markov equilibria; Non-uniqueness; Observational equivalence; Pareto efficiency; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; D83; L50.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25050
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TRADE POLICY AND TIME CONSISTENCY IN AN OLIGOPSONISTIC WORLD MARKET AgEcon
Gervais, Jean-Philippe; Lapan, Harvey E..
This paper investigates the strategic behavior between countries that have purchasing power on the world market for a certain good. Tariffs and quotas are not equivalent protection instruments in this oligopsonistic market. Policy active importers would be better off by colluding and setting their trade instrument cooperatively. In a non-cooperative setting, if production decisions occur before consumption decisions, the ex-ante optimal policy is not time consistent because the ex-post elasticity of the residual foreign export supply curve is lower than the ex-ante elasticity. However, we show that the importers' inability to irrevocably commit to their trade instrument may be welfare superior to the precommitment solution. The negative welfare...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Precommitment; Time consistency; Optimal tariff and quota; Oligopsony; International Relations/Trade; F13; Q17; D4.
Ano: 1998 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18239
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