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Can we detect the effects of environmental variations on fish populations through VPA outputs? the North Atlantic albacore case ArchiMer
Kell, Laurence T; Fromentin, Jean-marc; Ortiz De Zarate, Victoria; Arrizabalaga, Haritz.
Past studies have indicated that numbers-at-age 1 of albacore may be correlated with the winter NAO index in the previous year. Two main hypotheses have been stressed to explain such observation, i.e. an impact of the NAO on the recruitment or on migration patterns and consequently in the availability and catchability of specific age classes to the surface fishery. The objective of the present paper is to test whether such processes can be distinguished using VPA outputs. We first computed simple cross-correlations between the NAO at various lags, catches-at-age, Numbers-atage and F-at-age estimated in the last assessment. Since results were inconclusive, simulations were undertaken. The results showed that the probability of detecting spurious...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Thunnus alalunga; North Atlantic Oscillation; Simulation model; Virtual population analysis; Correlation coefficient; NAO.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00194/30503/28913.pdf
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