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Registros recuperados: 19 | |
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Moss, Joan E.; Binfield, Julian C.R.; Zhang, Lichun; Patton, Myles; Kim, In Seck. |
Successive Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) reforms and trade liberalisation have led to a more market-orientated European agricultural sector, with EU commodity prices now more closely linked to world prices. As a consequence EU prices have become more volatile. Greater price volatility increases uncertainty and raises fresh challenges for projections of policy impacts in the EU. To take account of world price volatility stochastic modelling has been applied to the FAPRI-EU partial equilibrium model, which includes a UK modelling system. Stochastic modelling provides a means to capture some of the inherent uncertainty associated with agricultural production systems. By varying assumptions about certain exogenous variables, stochastic models can be used to... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Agricultural policy; Stochastic modelling; Agricultural and Food Policy. |
Ano: 2011 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/108771 |
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Binfield, Julian C.R.; Donnellan, Trevor; Hanrahan, Kevin F.; Hart, Chad E.; Westhoff, Patrick C.. |
In 2003 an agreement was finalized to instigate arguably the most significant reform of the European Union's (EU) Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) since its inception. In the Luxembourg Agreement many of the direct payments that have been linked to production are decoupled and instead provided in the form of a land-based payment. The reforms did not include any significant changes to either EU border support or the ability of the EU to utilize export subsidies that have been widely criticized by other nations. Even though the reforms do not directly address trade in agricultural products it is argued that World Trade Organization (WTO) concerns played a significant role in the designs of the reforms. In this paper an analysis of the Luxembourg reforms and... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade. |
Ano: 2004 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20020 |
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Babcock, Bruce A.; Beghin, John C.; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; de Cara, Stephane; Elobeid, Amani E.; Fang, Cheng; Fuller, Frank H.; Hart, Chad E.; Isik, Murat; Matthey, Holger; Saak, Alexander E.; Kovarik, Karen; Womack, Abner W.; Young, Robert E., II; Westhoff, Patrick C.; Trujillo, Joe; Brown, D. Scott; Adams, Gary M.; Willott, Brian; Madison, Daniel; Meyer, Seth D.; Kruse, John R.; Binfield, Julian C.R.. |
Tipo: Report |
Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Livestock Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2002 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32051 |
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Babcock, Bruce A.; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Matthey, Holger; Isik, Murat; Tokgoz, Simla; Elobeid, Amani E.; Hart, Chad E.; Saak, Alexander E.; Fuller, Frank H.; Kovarik, Karen; Womack, Abner W.; Young, Robert E., II; Westhoff, Patrick C.; Brown, D. Scott; Willott, Brian; Madison, Daniel; Meyer, Seth D.; Kruse, John R.; Binfield, Julian C.R.. |
Tipo: Report |
Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Livestock Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2003 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32053 |
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Beghin, John C.; Dong, Fengxia; Elobeid, Amani E.; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Fuller, Frank H.; Hart, Chad E.; Kovacik, Karen; Matthey, Holger; Saak, Alexander E.; Tokgoz, Simla; Chavez, Eddie C.; Wailes, Eric J.; Womack, Abner W.; Meyers, William H.; Binfield, Julian C.R.; Brown, D. Scott; Kruse, John R.; Madison, Daniel; Meyer, Seth D.; Westhoff, Patrick C.. |
Tipo: Report |
Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Livestock Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2004 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32046 |
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Beghin, John C.; Dong, Fengxia; Elobeid, Amani E.; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Fuller, Frank H.; Hart, Chad E.; Kovarik, Karen; Matthey, Holger; Saak, Alexander E.; Tokgoz, Simla; Wailes, Eric J.; Womack, Abner W.; Meyers, William H.; Binfield, Julian C.R.; Brown, D. Scott; Kruse, John R.; Madison, Daniel; Meyer, Seth D.; Westhoff, Patrick C.; Wilcox, Lori. |
Tipo: Report |
Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Livestock Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32048 |
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Beghin, John C.; Dong, Fengxia; Elobeid, Amani E.; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Fuller, Frank H.; Hart, Chad E.; Kovarik, Karen; Tokgoz, Simla; Yu, Tun-Hsiang (Edward); Wailes, Eric J.; Chavez, Eddie C.; Womack, Abner W.; Meyers, William H.; Binfield, Julian C.R.; Brown, D. Scott; Kruse, John R.; Madison, Daniel; Meyer, Seth D.; Westhoff, Patrick C.; Wilcox, Lori. |
The FAPRI 2006 U.S. and World Agricultural Outlook presents projections of world agricultural production, consumption, and trade under average weather patterns, existing farm policy, and policy commitments under current trade agreements and custom unions. Despite continued high energy prices, world economic growth is expected to remain strong in the coming decade, above 3% per annum. Other major drivers of the 2006 baseline include new bio-energy policies in several large countries, EU sugar policy reform, sanitary and phytosanitary (SPS) shocks in livestock and poultry markets, and movements in the exchange rate. |
Tipo: Report |
Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; International Relations/Trade; Livestock Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2006 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7319 |
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Beghin, John C.; Dong, Fengxia; Elobeid, Amani E.; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Fuller, Frank H.; Hart, Chad E.; Kovarik, Karen; Tokgoz, Simla; Yu, Tun-Hsiang (Edward); Wailes, Eric J.; Chavez, Eddie C.; Womack, Abner W.; Meyers, William H.; Binfield, Julian C.R.; Brown, D. Scott; Kruse, John R.; Madison, Daniel; Meyer, Seth D.; Westhoff, Patrick C.; Wilcox, Lori. |
The FAPRI 2007 U.S. and World Agricultural Outlook presents projections of world agricultural production, consumption, and trade under average weather patterns, existing farm policy, and policy commitments under current trade agreements and custom unions. The outlook uses a macroeconomic forecast developed by Global Insight. |
Tipo: Report |
Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; International Relations/Trade; Livestock Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7296 |
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Patton, Myles; Binfield, Julian C.R.; Moss, Joan E.; Kostov, Philip; Zhang, Lichun; Davis, John; Westhoff, Patrick C.. |
In recent years the CAP has undergone significant reforms, but the dairy sector has largely avoided wholesale changes. The sector, however, is now faced with a significant effort by the Commission to instigate reform. In this study the FAPRI-UK modelling system is simulated to identify the impact of abolishing or phasing out EU milk quotas on the dairy sector in the UK and the results are compared against a 2007 Baseline projection (2007--2016). The results demonstrate that although the impact of the abolition of dairy quotas is fairly modest at the EU-25 level, significant impacts are apparent at the individual country level. |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Milk Quotas; CAP Reform; Commodity Modelling; Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade; Livestock Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2008 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6650 |
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Meyer, Ferdinand H.; Westhoff, Patrick C.; Binfield, Julian C.R.; Kirsten, Johann F.. |
This paper develops the structure and closure of an econometric regime-switching model within a partial equilibrium framework that has the ability to generate reliable estimates and projections of endogenous variables under market switching regimes. Models used in policy evaluation usually either ignore the possibility of regime switching using just a single method of price determination based on average effects, or incorporate highly stylised components that may not reflect the complexities of a particular market. This paper proposes an approach that the authors believe allows the incorporation of features of regime switching in a multisector commodity level model that capture salient features of the South African market and therefore are able to produce... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries. |
Ano: 2006 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25432 |
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Meyer, Ferdinand H.; Westhoff, Patrick C.; Binfield, Julian C.R.; Kirsten, Johann F.. |
This paper develops the structure and closure of an econometric regime-switching model within a partial equilibrium framework that has the ability to generate reliable estimates and projections of endogenous variables under market switching regimes. Models used in policy evaluation usually either ignore the possibility of regime switching using just a single method of price determination based on average effects, or incorporate highly stylised components that may not reflect the complexities of a particular market. This paper proposes an approach that the authors believe allows the incorporation of features of regime switching in a multisector commodity level model that capture salient features of the South African market and therefore are able to produce... |
Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Marketing. |
Ano: 2006 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/10139 |
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Binfield, Julian C.R.; Westhoff, Patrick C.; Young, Robert E., II. |
In the Mid-Term Review (MTR), the European Commission proposed a series of changes to the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). An important part of these changes was significant decoupling of support payments from production. In this paper, a partial equilibrium model of the EU agricultural sector is used to estimate the potential impacts of the MTR proposals on EU and world agricultural markets over the period 2004-2009. Effects of the MTR proposals are evaluated by comparing estimated outcomes under the proposals to those that would result under a current-policy baseline. The changes that are made in the MTR have the effect of reducing the production of the major commodities by varying amounts based on the importance of payments in production and the... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy. |
Ano: 2003 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25856 |
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Registros recuperados: 19 | |
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