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Kell, L; Pilling, G; Kirkwood, G; Pastoors, M; Mesnil, Benoit; Korsbrekke, K; Abaunza, P; Aps, R; Biseau, Alain; Kunzlik, P; Needle, C; Roel, B; Ulrich, Clara. |
Current scientific management objectives for ICES roundfish stocks are to ensure conservation of the biological resource and do not explicitly consider economic or social objectives. For example, there are currently no objectives to maximize the sustainable yield or to reduce variability in total allowable catches (TACs). This is despite the fact that the current system can result in wide annual fluctuations in TAC, limiting the ability of the fishing industry to plan for the future. Therefore, this study evaluated management strategies that stabilized catches by setting bounds on the interannual variability in TACs. An integrated modelling framework was used, which simulated both the real and observed systems and the interactions between system... |
Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Whiting; TAC; Simulation; Saithe; Population modelling; North Sea; Management; Limiting variations; Harvest strategies; Hake; Haddock; Evaluation; Cod; Bounds. |
Ano: 2006 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/2006/publication-3694.pdf |
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Fromentin, Jean-marc; Kell, L. |
Spectacular long-term cycles (around 110 years), independent of human exploitation, have been seen in historical catches of Atlantic bluefin tuna (Thunnus thynnus). Previous studies indicated that such variations could have been generated by contrasting but equally plausible dynamic processes, i.e., changes in carrying capacity or migration. A simulation framework was therefore used to test whether the International Commission for the Conservation of Atlantic Tuna stock assessment model, i.e., a virtual population analysis (VPA), can capture such dynamics. The main outcome is that knowledge of the underlying process is crucial, because distinct hypotheses lead to different population dynamics and contrasting performances of the stock assessment model. The... |
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Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/2007/publication-3533.pdf |
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Kell, L; Fromentin, Jean-marc. |
In this study, we examine the performances of current stock assessment methods with respect to their ability to (i) provide estimates of maximum sustainable yield (MSY), FMSY, and BMSY and (ii) assess stock status and exploitation level relative to MSY targets. The robustness of the current International Commission for the Conservation of Atlantic Tunas (ICCAT) management strategy is then evaluated with respect to uncertainty about the true population dynamics and contrasted with a simpler management strategy based solely on a size limit. Reference points are more robust to dynamic uncertainty than the estimates of absolute values and trends in F and spawning stock biomass. However, their performances depend on the underlying dynamics (they perform better... |
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Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/2006/publication-3534.pdf |
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