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| Boere, Esther; Peerlings, Jack H.M.; Reinhard, Stijn; Kuhlman, Tom; Heijman, Wim J.M.. |
| Volatile output prices lead to a fluctuating shadow price (profitability) of agricultural land, and therefore may impact land use decisions in case of risk-averse behaviour. In this paper we assess the effect of volatile agricultural output prices on agricultural land-use change over the past decade in the Netherlands. Using regional data from 2000 through 2009, the number of hectares of land for 10 land uses was calculated. To determine the joint distribution of agricultural activities, hectares of land for each land use were converted to land share equations. Land share equations were estimated to determine the contribution of increased price volatility to land use change. Results show that larger volatility affects land shares negatively. Producer’s... |
| Tipo: Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Land-use; Risk; Price volatility; Risk and Uncertainty; Q1; D8. |
| Ano: 2012 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/122472 |
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| Kuhlman, Tom; van Tongeren, Frank W.; Helming, John F.M.; Tabeau, Andrzej A.; Gaaff, Aris; Groeneveld, Rolf A.; Koole, Boudewijn; Verhoog, A. David; Dekkers, Jasper. |
| Analyses of the impact of European policies on agricultural change are most often based on agricultural sector models. Such models have their limitations: they cannot specify the interaction between agriculture and the rest of the economy, and their spatial dimension is usually limited. Land use simulation models, on the other hand, usually depend on other models for assessing the demand for land. The consistency of those models with the assumptions and databases of the land use model is often not examined. This article reports on a research project where the links between a macroeconomic model, an agricultural sector model and a land use model were explicitly explored in order to arrive at a consistent model chain. This integrated framework was put to the... |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Land use; CAP; Agricultural policy analyses; Netherlands; Agricultural and Food Policy; Land Economics/Use. |
| Ano: 2006 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/97190 |
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