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Registros recuperados: 40
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A STATISTICAL MODEL OF THE PRIMARY AND DERIVED MARKET LEVELS IN THE U.S. BEEF INDUSTRY AgEcon
Brester, Gary W.; Marsh, John M..
An annual dynamic model of the primary and derived levels of the U.S. beef industry was estimated by rational distributed lags. Geometric rational lags at the retail level were instrumental in establishing prices in the dressed meat trade and the slaughter and feeder levels. Polynomial rational lags characterized primary inventory supply, which, along with cattle and corn prices, determined the production of fed and nonfed beef. The results suggest that the short- and long-term market behavior in the beef industry is better understood when higher and lower order market interactions are taken into account.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing.
Ano: 1983 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32485
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Cross-Sector Relationships Between the Corn Feed Grains and Livestock and Poultry Economies AgEcon
Marsh, John M..
A systems econometric model of the livestock (beef and pork), poultry (broiler), and corn sectors was estimated to evaluate cross-sector relationships. The equilibrium multipliers and comparative statics indicate unequal cross-effect of market disturbances, e.g., shocks in the livestock and poultry markets impact corn demand and supply more than shocks in the corn market impact livestock and poultry demands and supplies. Recent 2003 mad cow disease (BSE) problems in Canada and the United States display nontrivial cross-effects. For example, the BSE occurrences reduce real corn revenue in the United States by $0.62 billion, or 5.0% of its 2003 revenue.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Autoregressive distributed lags; Comparative statics; Equilibrium multipliers; Revenue adjustments; Agribusiness; Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/8595
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Demand and Supply Factors in the Feed Grain Market: Effects on Corn Producers AgEcon
Marsh, John M..
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/29212
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DERIVED DEMAND ELASTICITIES: MARKETING MARGIN METHODS VERSUS AN INVERSE DEMAND MODEL FOR CHOICE BEEF AgEcon
Marsh, John M..
Three methods of calculating the derived elasticity of demand for Choice slaughter beef are used: (a) a traditional marketing margin approach, (b) a modified marketing margin approach, and (c) an econometric, inverse demand model approach. The first method is more restrictive than the second but both tend to overestimate beef price flexibility and revenue changes. The econometric model, though an incomplete demand system, yields demand elasticities that are more consistent with marketing flexibility but are less pronounced than estimates of a complete system. An example using a two-year revenue forecast compares slaughter revenue adjustments based on the first margin method with those based on structural demand models.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 1991 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32607
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Distribution of Cost Efficiencies in the Beef Marketing Channel AgEcon
Marsh, John M..
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Marketing.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/29190
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Distributional Impacts of Country-of-Origin Labeling in the U.S. Meat Industry AgEcon
Brester, Gary W.; Marsh, John M.; Atwood, Joseph A..
Concerns about the negative effects of U.S. meat and livestock imports on domestic livestock prices have increased interest in country-of origin labeling (COOL) legislation. An equilibrium displacement model is used to estimate short-run and long-run changes in equilibrium prices and quantities of meat and livestock in the beef, pork, and poultry sectors resulting from the implementation of COOL. Retail beef and pork demand would have to experience a one-time, permanent increase of 4.05% and 4.45%, respectively, so that feeder cattle and hog producers do not lose producer surplus over a 10-year period.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Country-of-origin labeling; Equilibrium displacement model; Producer surplus; Agribusiness.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/31109
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Distributional Impacts of Country-of-Origin Labeling in the U.S. Meat Industry AgEcon
Brester, Gary W.; Marsh, John M.; Jimmerson, Jason.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/29189
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Do Protectionist Trade Policies Protect? The Unintended Consequences of an Antidumping Tariff AgEcon
Brester, Gary W.; Smith, Vincent H.; Marsh, John M..
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/93719
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ECONOMIC FACTORS CONTRIBUTING TO THE U.S. BEEF PRICE SURGE IN 2003 AgEcon
Marsh, John M..
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/27973
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ECONOMIC FACTORS DETERMINING CHANGES IN DRESSED WEIGHTS OF LIVE CATTLE AND HOGS AgEcon
Marsh, John M..
Livestock dressed weights have experienced significant trends and volatility which affect wholesale production of red meats. An econometric model was used to estimate the impact of relative prices and technology on cattle and hog average dressed weights. For fed steers and heifers, the economic incentives affecting placement weights and weight added in feedlots were considered. Results indicate quarterly dressed weights of steers and heifers respond to contemporaneous profitability ratios and to lagged feeder prices, the effects being highly inelastic. Cow dressed weights also responded while hog dressed weights did not respond to profitability ratios. Technology changes may have accounted for about 83% of dressed weight growth for steers and about 62% for...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30808
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Effects of Japanese Import Demand on U.S. Livestock Prices: Reply AgEcon
Miljkovic, Dragan; Marsh, John M.; Brester, Gary W..
In responding to a comment article, we concur that quantifying U.S. livestock price response to changing Japanese met import demand requires nonzero supply elasticities beyond one quarter. However, rigidities in market trade and empirical tests justify the inclusion of exchange rates in the short-run analysis. Producer welfare asymptotically approaches zero for increasing supply elasticities in the long run, but short-run transitions in producer surplus are meaningful to producers.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Exchange rates; Import demand; Supply response; Q17; F14; C32.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/42940
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Evaluating the Farmer’s-Share-of-the-Retail-Dollar Statistic AgEcon
Brester, Gary W.; Marsh, John M.; Atwood, Joseph A..
Conventional wisdom appears to support the thesis that declines in USDA’s farmer’s share-of-the-retail-dollar (FS) statistics are indicators of low returns to agricultural production. We estimate changes in cattle and hog FS statistics and their relationship with producer surplus (PS) for changes in various exogenous factors. The method accounts for correlations among structural parameter estimates while simulating multivariate distributions of joint parameter realizations. The simulations indicate that relationships between FS and PS depend on the source of exogenous shocks. The lack of informational content in FS statistics suggests these data should not be used for policy purposes.
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Farmer’s share of the retail dollar; Marketing margins; Producer surplus; Total response elasticities; Agricultural Finance.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/54543
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EVALUATING THE IMPACTS OF THE U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE'S PRELIMINARY IMPOSITION OF TARIFFS ON U.S. IMPORTS OF CANADIAN LIVE CATTLE AgEcon
Brester, Gary W.; Marsh, John M.; Smith, Vincent H..
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Import tariffs; Cattle price effects; International Relations/Trade; D4; F1.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/29248
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Evaluation of Beef Promotion Expenditures Under the U.S. Beef Checkoff Program AgEcon
Marsh, John M..
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/29217
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Feed Grain Volatility and Effects on Feeder Cattle Producers AgEcon
Marsh, John M..
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Production Economics.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/29233
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IMPACTS OF THE URUGUAY ROUND TRADE AGREEMENT ON U.S. BEEF AND CATTLE PRICES AgEcon
Brester, Gary W.; Marsh, John M..
The Uruguay Round trade negotiations completed in April 1994 reduced beef trade barriers. Trade barriers for beef products have historically been significant. The Uruguay Round essentially converts many nontariff barriers (quotas) to tariffs (tariffication), includes safeguards for import surges, establishes minimum access commitments, reduces domestic subsidy supports, and provides special tariff allowances for developing countries. These provisions, commensurate with a growing world demand for animal source proteins, will likely increase U.S. fed beef exports and ground beef imports. The United States is a major world producer as well as exporter of beef. In 1996, the United States represented 35 percent of world beef production (ranked first) and 28...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: GATT; Beef trade; Cattle prices; Q0; International Relations/Trade; Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 1998 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/29169
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Impacts on U.S. Cattle Producers From Changes in Retail Beef Demand AgEcon
Marsh, John M..
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/29199
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INTEGRATION AND INTERDEPENDENCE IN THE U.S. AND CANADIAN LIVE CATTLE AND BEEF SECTORS AgEcon
Young, Linda M.; Marsh, John M..
The live cattle and beef markets of Canada and the United States are well integrated and highly interdependent, but in an unequal fashion. This paper assesses the role of trade agreements and domestic policies in increasing market integration and analyses the impact of remaining barriers to integration. In this paper, we use integration in the context of forming or blending markets into a whole. When the Canada-United States Free Trade Agreement (CFTA) was implemented in 1989, tariffs on both live cattle and beef were reduced and within a few years many were eliminated. In 1996, the United States imported 1.5 million head of slaughter and feeder cattle from Canada, nearly a sixfold increase in the number of cattle imported prior to CFTA, which numbered...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Live cattle trade; U.S. cattle and beef; Canadian cattle and beef; International Relations/Trade; F1.
Ano: 1998 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/29171
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INTERTEMPORAL PRICE ADJUSTMENTS IN THE BEEF MARKET: A REDUCED FORM ANALYSIS OF WEEKLY DATA AgEcon
Marsh, John M.; Brester, Gary W..
An intertemporal reduced form model is estimated for boxed beef, carcass, and slaughter prices on a weekly basis. The results indicate that prices respond jointly to changes in economic information within weeks t and t – 1, supporting time-series studies showing farm and wholesale prices to be nearly instantaneously related. However, the existence of market uncertainty entails significant intertemporal lags, revealed by prices stabilizing 9-14 weeks subsequent to a market shock. The model results imply that postponing marketings of fed cattle to capitalize on expected price advantages would be risky and that selling cattle carcass grade and weight is more favorable when prices respond to increases in beef production.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 1989 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32354
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Japanese Import Demand for U.S. Beef and Pork AgEcon
Marsh, John M.; Brester, Gary W.; Miljkvic, Dragan.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/29210
Registros recuperados: 40
Primeira ... 12 ... Última
 

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