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Registros recuperados: 26
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A Need for Caution in Applying the Volume-Based Special Safeguard Mechanism AgEcon
Ivanic, Maros; Martin, William J..
The proximate cause of the collapse of the Doha Agenda negotiations in 2008 was disagreement over the volume-based Special Safeguard Mechanism (SSM). This measure would provide a right, but not an obligation, for developing countries to impose a duty when imports increase. While many simulations of its impact on domestic prices are available, there appear to be no analyses of its potential impacts on the welfare of poor households. Whether such a safeguard will increase or reduce poverty can only be determined empirically—if there are enough small, poor farmers who are net sellers of the commodity when the duty is imposed, then imposition of a safeguard duty may reduce poverty. If, by contrast, most small, poor farmers are net buyers of the products...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/103969
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A Note on Cost Functions and the Regression Fallacy AgEcon
Martin, William J..
Random variation in output may lead to serious bias in cost function estimates. Despite the availability of simple, consistent instrumental variable estimators to deal with this problem, most empirical studies appear to have ignored this errors-in-variables problem, or dealt with it in an ad hoc manner. In this note, an instrumental variable approach is suggested, and applied to the estimation of cost-output relationships for a sample of irrigated citrus farms. Ordinary least squares was found to result in a statistically significant bias. Although this bias did not alter the economic interpretation of the results for the sample used, the bias is likely to be more serious for samples with greater chance variation in output. Thus, it is argued that all cost...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 1983 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/12514
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Agricultural Trade Reform Under the Doha Agenda: Ready for Takeoff? AgEcon
Martin, William J.; Anderson, Kym.
A successful agreement on agriculture is critical for an overall agreement under the Doha negotiations. But before the final agreement is known, some critical decisions must be made about issues such as resumption of the negotiations, and the key tradeoffs to be made following resumption. We consider four of the most controversial areas of the agricultural negotiations: the relative importance of domestic support, market access and export subsidies; the sensitive-product exceptions sought for all countries; the additional special product exceptions sought for developing countries; and the proposed special safeguard mechanism. We show that the decisions made on reform in these areas will have a critical influence on whether the negotiations achieve their...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9467
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Agricultural trade reform under the Doha Agenda: some key issues AgEcon
Martin, William J.; Anderson, Kym.
A successful agreement on agriculture is essential for an overall agreement under the WTO’s Doha trade negotiations. Reaching agreement has been difficult, and as of August 2007, much still remains to be done if a successful agreement is to be reached. We consider three of the most controversial areas of the agricultural negotiations: the relative importance of domestic support, market access and export subsidies; three market access issues of sensitive-product exceptions sought for all countries and, the additional special product exceptions sought for developing countries, the proposed special safeguard mechanism; and the domestic support issue. We show that decisions made on reform in these areas will have a critical influence on whether the...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Computable general equilibrium modelling; Doha development agenda; Multilateral negotiations; Trade policy; WTO; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/117739
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Asia-Pacific food markets and trade in 2005: a global, economy-wide perspective AgEcon
Anderson, Kym; Dimaranan, Betina V.; Hertel, Thomas W.; Martin, William J..
Rapid industrialization in East Asia, particularly China, is raising questions about who will feed the region in the next century and how Asia will be able to pay for its food imports. The paper ®rst reviews existing food sector projections and then takes an economy-wide perspective using projections to 2005, based on the global CGE model known as GTAP. After showing the impact of implementing the Uruguay Round, the paper explores several alternative scenarios. A slowdown in farm productivity growth is shown to be costly to the world economy, as is slower economic growth in China. Failure to honour Uruguay Round obligations to open textile and clothing markets in OECD countries would reduce East Asia's industrialization and thereby slow its net imports of...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 1997 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/118006
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Climate volatility and trade policy in Tanzania AgEcon
Ahmed, Syud Amer; Hertel, Thomas W.; Martin, William J..
Climate volatility affects agricultural variability, and extreme climate outcomes have the potential to detrimentally affect food supply and prices in a given country. International trade has the potential to reduce the impacts of climate-induced food production variability, although it may further expose the country to international price volatility. This study focuses on Tanzania and finds that global production volatility currently has very little effect on domestic grain prices due to the country’s limited integration with the international grains market. Almost all the price volatility in grains is attributable to domestic production volatility. At the same time, an export ban that was a response to the 2007-2008 food price crisis increases potential...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Environmental Economics and Policy; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61818
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Distortions to Agricultural Incentives in Asia AgEcon
Anderson, Kym; Martin, William J..
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Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Distorted incentives; Agricultural and trade policy reforms; National agricultural development; Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade; F13; F14; Q17; Q18.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48557
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Distortions to Agricultural Incentives in China AgEcon
Huang, Jikun; Rozelle, Scott; Martin, William J.; Liu, Yu.
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Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Distorted incentives; Agricultural and trade policy reforms; National agricultural development; Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade; F13; F14; Q17; Q18.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48478
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Distortions to Agricultural Incentives in China and Southeast Asia AgEcon
Anderson, Kym; Martin, William J..
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Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Distorted incentives; Agricultural and trade policy reforms; National agricultural development; Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade; F13; F14; Q17; Q18.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48574
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ESTIMATING THE IMPACT OF BEEF IMPORT RESTRICTIONS IN THE US IMPORT MARKET: COMMENT AgEcon
Martin, William J..
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 1982 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/22704
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Implications of Adopting Special Products and Sensitive Products in Doha Negotiations for World and China’s Agriculture AgEcon
Yang, Jun; Huang, Jikun; Rozelle, Scott; Martin, William J..
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51650
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Integrating China’s Agricultural Economy into the Global Market: Measuring Distortions in China’s Agricultural Sector AgEcon
Huang, Jikun; Liu, Yu; Martin, William J.; Rozelle, Scott.
Tipo: Book Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/55023
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Long Run Implications of WTO Accession for Agriculture in China AgEcon
Anderson, Kym; Martin, William J.; Valenzuela, Ernesto.
Tipo: Book Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/55025
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Methodology for Measuring Distortions to Agricultural Incentives AgEcon
Anderson, Kym; Kurzweil, Marianne; Martin, William J.; Sandri, Damiano; Valenzuela, Ernesto.
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Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Distorted incentives; Agricultural and trade policy reforms; National agricultural development; Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade; F13; F14; Q17; Q18.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48326
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Potential Implications of a Special Safeguard Mechanism in the WTO: the Case of Wheat AgEcon
Hertel, Thomas W.; Martin, William J.; Leister, Amanda M..
The Special Safeguard Mechanism (SSM) was a key issue in the July 2008 failure to reach agreement in the WTO negotiations under the Doha Development Agenda. It includes both price (P-SSM) and quantity-triggered measures (Q-SSM). This paper uses a stochastic simulation model of the world wheat market to investigate the effects of policy makers implementing policies based on the SSM rules. As expected, implementation of the Q-SSM is found to reduce imports, raise domestic prices, and boost mean domestic production in the SSM regions. However, rather than insulating countries that use it from price volatility, it would actually increase domestic price volatility in developing countries, largely by restricting imports when domestic output is low and prices...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Safeguard; SSM; WTO; Volatility; Wheat; Food security; Agricultural and Food Policy; International Development; Q1; Q17; Q18.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61000
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Promoting global agricultural growth and poverty reduction AgEcon
Ivanic, Maros; Martin, William J..
Constraints on resources, growth in demand, and a slowdown in agricultural productivity raise concerns that food prices may rise substantially over the next decades. The impacts of such higher prices on the poor and the required mitigating policy responses to this problem remain unclear. This paper uses a global general equilibrium model, projections of global growth and microeconomic household models, to project potential implications for incomes, food production and poverty. We find that higher agricultural productivity would generally lower poverty, with different impacts depending where the productivity growth occurs, while protection policies that reduce imports would generally raise poverty.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Poverty; Growth; Projections; Agricultural and Food Policy; Farm Management; Land Economics/Use.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61098
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PUBLIC CHOICE THEORY AND AUSTRALIAN AGRICULTURAL POLICY REFORM AgEcon
Martin, William J..
Recent discussion of the process of policy reform has tended to focus on public and private interest theories of public choice as alternative models. The analysis of Australian agricultural policy presented in this paper draws on several extensions of the private interest model including the contractarian framework, extra-rational considerations such as moral attitudes and the desire to participate. Recent agricultural policy reforms in Australia are examined in the light of those theories. This examination highlights the importance of ideas and changes in the rules for policy formulation in influencing policy outcomes. In some cases the private interest theory appears to offer an adequate explanation while, in others, it provides only a partial...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 1990 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/22355
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Sensitive Products: Selection and Implications for Agricultural Trade Negotiations AgEcon
Jean, Sebastien; Laborde, David; Martin, William J..
The current negotiating framework for WTO negotiations on agriculture includes flexibilities for "sensitive" products to be chosen by the importer. Without knowing which products their partners are likely to select, WTO members cannot assess the implications of an agreement for their market access opportunities. In this paper, we begin by specifying a Grossman-Helpman type political-economy welfare function, and use this to determine which products are likely to be selected as sensitive products. Assuming these products are subjected to smaller reduction in protection, we find that allowing even 2 percent of tariff lines to be treated as sensitive can greatly reduce the impact of an agreement on market access. This problem is, in part, a consequence of...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18860
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STATE-LEVEL ANALYSIS OF NATIONAL BEEF POLICY: THE USE OF STATE ECONOMETRIC MODELS AgEcon
Roberts, Roland K.; Martin, William J..
Interest has grown in analyzing the impact of national imports of foreign beef on state agricultural sectors. In this study, an interfaced Hawaiian-national model is simulated for a change in national beef imports. Hawaiian and national impacts demonstrate wide variation in both sign and magnitude. Usefulness of state models is emphasized for situations where state impacts of national policies are of interest.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 1984 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/29735
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TESTING FOR CHANGES IN THE STRUCTURE OF THE DEMAND FOR MEAT IN AUSTRALIA AgEcon
Martin, William J.; Porter, Darrell.
Quarterly data from 1962 to 1983 for beef, lamb, mutton, pig meat and poultry were used to test for constancy in the structure of meat demand in Australia. The cumulative sum, cumulative sum of squares and Farley-Hinich tests were applied to a range of models to ensure that any rejection of stability was not due to an inappropriate functional form or omitted dynamics. Little evidence was found of a marked swing away from consumption of any meat, with the exception of mutton. The results suggest that changes in prices and in total consumer expenditure are far more important than changes in tastes as determinants of meat consumption.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis; Marketing.
Ano: 1985 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/22511
Registros recuperados: 26
Primeira ... 12 ... Última
 

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