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| Von Schuckmann, Karina; Le Traon, Pierre-yves; Smith, Neville; Pascual, Ananda; Djavidnia, Samuel; Gattuso, Jean-pierre; Grégoire, Marilaure; Nolan, Glenn; Aaboe, Signe; Aguiar, Eva; Álvarez Fanjul, Enrique; Alvera-azcárate, Aida; Aouf, Lotfi; Barciela, Rosa; Behrens, Arno; Belmonte Rivas, Maria; Ben Ismail, Sana; Bentamy, Abderrahim; Borgini, Mireno; Brando, Vittorio E.; Bensoussan, Nathaniel; Blauw, Anouk; Bryère, Philippe; Buongiorno Nardelli, Bruno; Caballero, Ainhoa; Çağlar Yumruktepe, Veli; Cebrian, Emma; Chiggiato, Jacopo; Clementi, Emanuela; Corgnati, Lorenzo; De Alfonso, Marta; De Pascual Collar, Álvaro; Deshayes, Julie; Di Lorenzo, Emanuele; Dominici, Jean-marie; Dupouy, Cécile; Drévillon, Marie; Echevin, Vincent; Eleveld, Marieke; Enserink, Lisette; García Sotillo, Marcos; Garnesson, Philippe; Garrabou, Joaquim; Garric, Gilles; Gasparin, Florent; Gayer, Gerhard; Gohin, Francis; Grandi, Alessandro; Griffa, Annalisa; Gourrion, Jerome; Hendricks, Stefan; Heuzé, Céline; Holland, Elisabeth; Iovino, Doroteaciro; Juza, Mélanie; Kurt Kersting, Diego; Kipson, Silvija; Kizilkaya, Zafer; Korres, Gerasimos; Kõuts, Mariliis; Lagemaa, Priidik; Lavergne, Thomas; Lavigne, Heloise; Ledoux, Jean-baptiste; Legeais, Jean Francois; Lehodey, Patrick; Linares, Cristina; Liu, Ye; Mader, Julien; Maljutenko, Ilja; Mangin, Antoine; Manso-narvarte, Ivan; Mantovani, Carlo; Markager, Stiig; Mason, Evan; Mignot, Alexandre; Menna, Milena; Monier, Maeva; Mourre, Baptiste; Müller, Malte; Nielsen, Jacob Woge; Notarstefano, Giulio; Ocaña, Oscar; Pascual, Ananda; Patti, Bernardo; Payne, Mark R.; Peirache, Marion; Pardo, Silvia; Pérez Gómez, Begoña; Pisano, Andrea; Perruche, Coralie; Peterson, K. Andrew; Pujol, Marie-isabelle; Raudsepp, Urmas; Ravdas, Michalis; Raj, Roshin P.; Renshaw, Richard; Reyes, Emma; Ricker, Robert; Rubio, Anna; Sammartino, Michela; Santoleri, Rosalia; Sathyendranath, Shubha; Schroeder, Katrin; She, Jun; Sparnocchia, Stefania; Staneva, Joanna; Stoffelen, Ad; Szekely, Tanguy; Tilstone, Gavin H.; Tinker, Jonathan; Tintoré, Joaquín; Tranchant, Benoît; Uiboupin, Rivo; Van Der Zande, Dimitry; Wood, Richard; Woge Nielsen, Jacob; Zabala, Mikel; Zacharioudaki, Anna; Zuberer, Frédéric; Zuo, Hao. |
| Tipo: Text |
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| Ano: 2019 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00515/62637/67004.pdf |
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| Dickey-collas, Mark; Payne, Mark R.; Trenkel, Verena M.; Nash, Richard D. M.. |
| The use of modelling approaches in marine science, and in particular fisheries science, is explored. We highlight that the choice of model used for an analysis should account for the question being posed or the context of the management problem. We examine a model-classification scheme based on Richard Levins' 1966 work suggesting that models can only achieve two of three desirable model attributes: realism, precision, and generality. Model creation, therefore, requires trading-off of one of these attributes in favour of the other two: however, this is often in conflict with the desires of end-users (i.e. mangers or policy developers). The combination of attributes leads to models that are considered to have empirical, mechanistic, or analytical... |
| Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Climate; Fisheries; GAM; Management; Prediction; Projection; Recruitment; Time-series analysis. |
| Ano: 2014 |
URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00222/33371/32179.pdf |
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| Payne, Mark R.; Barange, Manuel; Cheung, William W. L.; Mackenzie, Brian R.; Batchelder, Harold P.; Cormon, Xochitl; Eddy, Tyler D.; Fernandes, Jose A.; Hollowed, Anne B.; Jones, Miranda C.; Link, Jason S.; Neubauer, Philipp; Ortiz, Ivonne; Queirós, Ana M.; Paula, José Ricardo. |
| Projections of the impacts of climate change on marine ecosystems are a key prerequisite for the planning of adaptation strategies, yet they are inevitably associated with uncertainty. Identifying, quantifying, and communicating this uncertainty is key to both evaluating the risk associated with a projection and building confidence in its robustness. We review how uncertainties in such projections are handled in marine science. We employ an approach developed in climate modelling by breaking uncertainty down into (i) structural (model) uncertainty, (ii) initialization and internal variability uncertainty, (iii) parametric uncertainty, and (iv) scenario uncertainty. For each uncertainty type, we then examine the current state-of-the-art in assessing and... |
| Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Climate change; Initialization uncertainty; Parametric uncertainty; Projections; Scenario uncertainty; Structural uncertainty; Uncertainty.. |
| Ano: 2016 |
URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00301/41220/40392.pdf |
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