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A State Dependent Regime Switching Model of Dynamic Correlations AgEcon
Tejeda, Hernan A.; Goodwin, Barry K.; Pelletier, Denis.
Replaced with revised version of paper 07/29/09.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Dynamic correlations; Regime switching; State dependent probabilities; Thresholds; Spillovers; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/49370
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Basis Volatilities of Corn and Soybean in Spatially Separated Markets: The Effect of Ethanol Demand AgEcon
Bekkerman, Anton; Pelletier, Denis.
The 2006 spike in corn-based ethanol demand has contributed to the increase in basis volatility in corn and soybean markets across the United States, which has, to a significant degree, led to the observed large jumps in the prices of the two commodities. Despite the overall rise in basis volatility, there remain differences in the degree of volatility that exists across spatially separated markets, which might be caused by factors such as transportation costs, seasonality, and time-to-delivery. The focus of this study is threefold first, this work models basis data for six corn and soybean markets by using a multivariate GARCH model that incorporates the spatial linkages of these markets; next, the model is used to investigate whether the increase in...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Basis; Spatially separated markets; Multivariate GARCH; Volatility; Agricultural Finance; Demand and Price Analysis; Q11; Q14; G13.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/49281
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