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Predicting the Impact of Climate Change on Threatened Species in UK Waters 5
Jones, Miranda C.; Dye, Stephen R.; Fernandes, Jose A.; Froelicher, Thomas L.; Pinnegar, John K.; Warren, Rachel; Cheung, William W. L..
Global climate change is affecting the distribution of marine species and is thought to represent a threat to biodiversity. Previous studies project expansion of species range for some species and local extinction elsewhere under climate change. Such range shifts raise concern for species whose long-term persistence is already threatened by other human disturbances such as fishing. However, few studies have attempted to assess the effects of future climate change on threatened vertebrate marine species using a multi-model approach. There has also been a recent surge of interest in climate change impacts on protected areas. This study applies three species distribution models and two sets of climate model projections to explore the potential impacts of...
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Ano: 2013 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00120/23104/20952.pdf
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Projecting changes in the distribution and productivity of living marine resources: A critical review of the suite of modeling approaches used in the large European project VECTORS 5
Peck, Myron A.; Arvanitidis, Christos; Butenschon, Momme; Canu, Donata Melaku; Chatzinikolaou, Eva; Cucco, Andrea; Domenici, Paolo; Fernandes, Jose A.; Gasche, Loic; Huebert, Klaus B.; Hufnagl, Marc; Jones, Miranda C.; Kempf, Alexander; Keyl, Friedemann; Maar, Marie; Mahevas, Stephanie; Marchal, Paul; Nicolas, Delphine; Pinnegar, John K.; Rivot, Etienne; Rochette, Sebastien; Sell, Anne F.; Sinerchia, Matteo; Solidoro, Cosimo; Somerfield, Paul J.; Teal, Lorna R.; Travers-trolet, Morgane; Van De Wolfshaar, Karen E..
We review and compare four broad categories of spatially-explicit modelling approaches currently used to understand and project changes in the distribution and productivity of living marine resources including: 1) statistical species distribution models, 2) physiology-based, biophysical models of single life stages or the whole life cycle of species, 3) food web models, and 4) end-to-end models. Single pressures are rare and, in the future, models must be able to examine multiple factors affecting living marine resources such as interactions between: i) climate-driven changes in temperature regimes and acidification, ii) reductions in water quality due to eutrophication, iii) the introduction of alien invasive species, and/or iv) (over-)exploitation by...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Distribution; Modelling; Habitat; Resources; Man-induced effects.
Ano: 2018 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00337/44845/44436.pdf
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Redundancy in metrics describing the composition, structure, and functioning of the North Sea demersal fish community 5
Greenstreet, Simon P. R.; Fraser, Helen M.; Rogers, Stuart I.; Trenkel, Verena; Simpson, Stephen; Pinnegar, John K..
Broader ecosystem management objectives for North Sea demersal fish currently focus on restoring community size structure. However, most policy drivers explicitly concentrate on restoring and conserving biodiversity, and it has not yet been established that simply restoring demersal fish size composition will be sufficient to reverse declines in biodiversity and ensure a generally healthy community. If different aspects of community composition, structure, and function vary independently, then to monitor all aspects of community general health will require application of a suite of metrics. This assumes low redundancy among the metrics used in any such suite and implies that addressing biodiversity issues specifically will require explicit management...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Community health; Community size structure; Ecosystem approach to management; Life-history-trait metrics; Metric suites; Species diversity; State indicators.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00056/16709/14201.pdf
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