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Cinner, Joshua E.; Huchery, Cindy; Macneil, M. Aaron; Graham, Nicholas A. J.; Mcclanahan, Tim R.; Maina, Joseph; Maire, Eva; Kittinger, John N.; Hicks, Christina C.; Mora, Camilo; Allison, Edward H.; D'Agata, Stephanie; Hoey, Andrew; Feary, David A.; Crowder, Larry; Williams, Ivor D.; Kulbicki, Michel; Vigliola, Laurent; Wantiez, Laurent; Edgar, Graham; Stuart-smith, Rick D.; Sandin, Stuart A.; Green, Alison L.; Hardt, Marah J.; Beger, Maria; Friedlander, Alan; Campbell, Stuart J.; Holmes, Katherine E.; Wilson, Shaun K.; Brokovich, Eran; Brooks, Andrew J.; Cruz-motta, Juan J.; Booth, David J.; Chabanet, Pascale; Gough, Charlie; Tupper, Mark; Ferse, Sebastian C. A.; Sumaila, U. Rashid; Mouillot, David. |
Ongoing declines in the structure and function of the world's coral reefs(1,2) require novel approaches to sustain these ecosystems and the millions of people who depend on them(3). A presently unexplored approach that draws on theory and practice in human health and rural development(4,5) is to systematically identify and learn from the 'outliers'-places where ecosystems are substantially better ('bright spots') or worse ('dark spots') than expected, given the environmental conditions and socioeconomic drivers they are exposed to. Here we compile data from more than 2,500 reefs worldwide and develop a Bayesian hierarchical model to generate expectations of how standing stocks of reef fish biomass are related to 18 socioeconomic drivers and environmental... |
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Ano: 2016 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00348/45872/68023.pdf |
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Thiault, Lauric; Mora, Camilo; Cinner, Joshua E.; Cheung, William W. L.; Graham, Nicholas A. J.; Januchowski-hartley, Fraser A.; Mouillot, David; Sumaila, U. Rashid; Claudet, Joachim. |
Climate change can alter conditions that sustain food production and availability, with cascading consequences for food security and global economies. Here, we evaluate the vulnerability of societies to the simultaneous impacts of climate change on agriculture and marine fisheries at a global scale. Under a “business-as-usual” emission scenario, ~90% of the world’s population—most of whom live in the most sensitive and least developed countries—are projected to be exposed to losses of food production in both sectors, while less than 3% would live in regions experiencing simultaneous productivity gains by 2100. Under a strong mitigation scenario comparable to achieving the Paris Agreement, most countries—including the most vulnerable and many of the largest... |
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Ano: 2019 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00597/70939/69179.pdf |
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Andrello, Marco; Guilhaumon, Francois; Albouy, Camille; Parravicini, Valeriano; Scholtens, Joeri; Verley, Philippe; Barange, Manuel; Sumaila, U. Rashid; Manel, Stephanie; Mouillot, David. |
Marine reserves are viewed as flagship tools to protect exploited species and to contribute to the effective management of coastal fisheries. Yet, the extent to which marine reserves are globally interconnected and able to effectively seed areas, where fisheries are most critical for food and livelihood security is largely unknown. Using a hydrodynamic model of larval dispersal, we predict that most marine reserves are not interconnected by currents and that their potential benefits to fishing areas are presently limited, since countries with high dependency on coastal fisheries receive very little larval supply from marine reserves. This global mismatch could be reversed, however, by placing new marine reserves in areas sufficiently remote to minimize... |
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Ano: 2017 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00392/50319/50997.pdf |
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Cinner, Joshua E.; Maire, Eva; Huchery, Cindy; Macneil, M. Aaron; Graham, Nicholas A. J.; Mora, Camilo; Barnes, Michele L.; Kittinger, John N.; Hicks, Christina C.; D'Agata, Stephanie; Hoey, Andrew S.; Gurney, Georgina G.; Feary, David A.; Williams, Ivor D.; Kulbicki, Michel; Vigliola, Laurent; Wantiez, Laurent; Edgar, Graham J.; Stuart-smith, Rick D.; Sandin, Stuart A.; Green, Alison; Hardt, Marah J.; Beger, Maria; Friedlander, Alan M.; Wilson, Shaun K.; Brokovich, Eran; Brooks, Andrew J.; Cruz-motta, Juan J.; Booth, David J.; Chabanet, Pascale; Gough, Charlotte; Tupper, Mark; Ferse, Sebastian C. A.; Sumaila, U. Rashid; Pardede, Shinta; Mouillot, David. |
Coral reefs provide ecosystem goods and services for millions of people in the tropics, but reef conditions are declining worldwide. Effective solutions to the crisis facing coral reefs depend in part on understanding the context under which different types of conservation benefits can be maximized. Our global analysis of nearly 1,800 tropical reefs reveals how the intensity of human impacts in the surrounding seascape, measured as a function of human population size and accessibility to reefs ("gravity"), diminishes the effectiveness of marine reserves at sustaining reef fish biomass and the presence of top predators, even where compliance with reserve rules is high. Critically, fish biomass in high-compliance marine reserves located where human impacts... |
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Palavras-chave: Marine reserves; Fisheries; Coral reefs; Social-ecological; Socioeconomic. |
Ano: 2018 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00450/56115/68021.pdf |
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Cinner, Joshua E.; Zamborain-mason, Jessica; Gurney, Georgina G.; Graham, Nicholas A. J.; Macneil, M. Aaron; Hoey, Andrew S.; Mora, Camilo; Villéger, Sébastien; Maire, Eva; Mcclanahan, Tim R.; Maina, Joseph M.; Kittinger, John N.; Hicks, Christina C.; D’agata, Stephanie; Huchery, Cindy; Barnes, Michele L.; Feary, David A.; Williams, Ivor D.; Kulbicki, Michel; Vigliola, Laurent; Wantiez, Laurent; Edgar, Graham J.; Stuart-smith, Rick D.; Sandin, Stuart A.; Green, Alison L.; Beger, Maria; Friedlander, Alan M.; Wilson, Shaun K.; Brokovich, Eran; Brooks, Andrew J.; Cruz-motta, Juan J.; Booth, David J.; Chabanet, Pascale; Tupper, Mark; Ferse, Sebastian C. A.; Sumaila, U. Rashid; Hardt, Marah J.; Mouillot, David. |
The worldwide decline of coral reefs necessitates targeting management solutions that can sustain reefs and the livelihoods of the people who depend on them. However, little is known about the context in which different reef management tools can help to achieve multiple social and ecological goals. Because of nonlinearities in the likelihood of achieving combined fisheries, ecological function, and biodiversity goals along a gradient of human pressure, relatively small changes in the context in which management is implemented could have substantial impacts on whether these goals are likely to be met. Critically, management can provide substantial conservation benefits to most reefs for fisheries and ecological function, but not biodiversity goals, given... |
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Ano: 2020 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00623/73532/72911.pdf |
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