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Registros recuperados: 19
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A Stochastic Analysis of Proposals for the New US Farm Bill AgEcon
Binfield, Julian C.R.; Adams, Gary M.; Westhoff, Patrick C.; Young, Robert E., II.
Most of the large scale modeling systems used in the analysis of agricultural policies produce deterministic projections. In reality, however, the agricultural sector is subject to a high degree of uncertainty as a result of fluctuations in exogenous factors such as the weather or macroeconomic variation. A stochastic approach can provide additional information to policy makers regarding the implications of this uncertainty, through the use of stochastically generated projections. This paper also shows how deterministic analysis may result in systematic errors in the projection of some variables. As an applied example, the FAPRI model of the US agricultural sector is simulated stochastically to analyse the impact of proposals for the new US farm bill.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Stochastic simulation; US Farm Bill; Policy analysis; Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24913
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AN EVALUATION OF THE 1981 FARM PROGRAM FOR CROPS: IMPLICATIONS FOR THE 1985 FARM BILL AgEcon
Womack, Abner W.; Johnson, Stanley R.; Meyers, William H.; Young, Robert E., II.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 1984 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/29623
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DISCUSSION: ANALYSING THE POTENTIAL FOR INCREASED TRADE: MODELLER'S PERSPECTIVE AgEcon
Young, Robert E., II.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 1996 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/16956
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EFFECTS OF EEP ON CANADIAN/UNITED STATES WHEAT TRADE AgEcon
Young, Robert E., II; Adams, Gary M.; Helmar, Michael.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 1995 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/16744
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FAPRI 1999 U.S. Agricultural Outlook AgEcon
Lansford, Vernon; Madison, Daniel; Thompson, Wyatt; Willott, Brian; Adams, Gary M.; Babcock, Bruce A.; Beghin, John C.; Mohanty, Samarendu; Fuller, Frank H.; Chaudhary, Sudhir; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Kovarik, Karen; Hart, Chad E.; Fang, Cheng; Kaus, Phillip J.; Naik, Manta; Womack, Abner W.; Young, Robert E., II; Suhler, Gregg; Westhoff, Patrick C.; Trujillo, Joe; Brown, D. Scott; Zimmel, Peter; Mills, Russell C.; Meyer, Seth D.; Kruse, John R..
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32049
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FAPRI 1999 World Agricultural Outlook AgEcon
Babcock, Bruce A.; Beghin, John C.; Mohanty, Samarendu; Fuller, Frank H.; Chaudhary, Sudhir; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Kovarik, Karen; Hart, Chad E.; Fang, Cheng; Kaus, Phillip J.; Naik, Manta; Womack, Abner W.; Young, Robert E., II; Suhler, Gregg; Westhoff, Patrick C.; Trujillo, Joe; Brown, D. Scott; Adams, Gary M.; Willott, Brian; Thompson, Wyatt; Madison, Daniel; Meyer, Seth D.; Mills, Russell C.; Zimmel, Peter; Lansford, Vernon; Kruse, John R..
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32050
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FAPRI 2000 U.S. Agricultural Outlook AgEcon
Babcock, Bruce A.; Beghin, John C.; Mohanty, Samarendu; Fuller, Frank H.; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Kaus, Phillip J.; Fang, Cheng; Hart, Chad E.; Kovarik, Karen; Womack, Abner W.; Young, Robert E., II; Suhler, Gregg; Westhoff, Patrick C.; Trujillo, Joe; Brown, D. Scott; Adams, Gary M.; Willott, Brian; Madison, Daniel; Meyer, Seth D.; Kruse, John R..
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32054
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FAPRI 2000 World Agricultural Outlook AgEcon
Babcock, Bruce A.; Beghin, John C.; Mohanty, Samarendu; Fuller, Frank H.; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Kaus, Phillip J.; Fang, Cheng; Hart, Chad E.; Kovarik, Karen; Womack, Abner W.; Young, Robert E., II; Suhler, Gregg; Westhoff, Patrick C.; Trujillo, Joe; Brown, D. Scott; Adams, Gary M.; Willott, Brian; Madison, Daniel; Meyer, Seth D.; Kruse, John R..
The Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) prepares a preliminary agricultural outlook on world agricultural production, consumption, and trade every fall. This is followed by an outside review, re-evaluation of projections, and completion of the final baseline in January. The FAPRI 2000 World Agricultural Outlook presents these final projections for world agricultural markets. A companion volume, the FAPRI 2000 U.S. Agricultural Outlook, presents the U.S. component of the baseline. FAPRI projections assume average weather patterns worldwide, existing policy, and policy commitments under current trade agreements. FAPRI projections do not include conjectures on potential policy changes, such as those resulting from the likely eastward...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32045
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FAPRI 2001 U.S. and World Agricultural Outlook AgEcon
Babcock, Bruce A.; Beghin, John C.; Fuller, Frank H.; Mohanty, Samarendu; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Kaus, Phillip J.; Fang, Cheng; Hart, Chad E.; Matthey, Holger; de Cara, Stephane; Kovarik, Karen; Womack, Abner W.; Young, Robert E., II; Westhoff, Patrick C.; Trujillo, Joe; Brown, D. Scott; Adams, Gary M.; Willott, Brian; Madison, Daniel; Meyer, Seth D.; Kruse, John R..
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32052
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FAPRI 2002 World Agricultural Outlook AgEcon
Babcock, Bruce A.; Beghin, John C.; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; de Cara, Stephane; Elobeid, Amani E.; Fang, Cheng; Fuller, Frank H.; Hart, Chad E.; Isik, Murat; Matthey, Holger; Saak, Alexander E.; Kovarik, Karen; Womack, Abner W.; Young, Robert E., II; Westhoff, Patrick C.; Trujillo, Joe; Brown, D. Scott; Adams, Gary M.; Willott, Brian; Madison, Daniel; Meyer, Seth D.; Kruse, John R.; Binfield, Julian C.R..
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32051
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FAPRI 2003 U.S. and World Agricultural Outlook AgEcon
Babcock, Bruce A.; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Matthey, Holger; Isik, Murat; Tokgoz, Simla; Elobeid, Amani E.; Hart, Chad E.; Saak, Alexander E.; Fuller, Frank H.; Kovarik, Karen; Womack, Abner W.; Young, Robert E., II; Westhoff, Patrick C.; Brown, D. Scott; Willott, Brian; Madison, Daniel; Meyer, Seth D.; Kruse, John R.; Binfield, Julian C.R..
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32053
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Impact of a 10 Percent Decrease in Planted Acreage of All U.S. Program Crops AgEcon
Adams, Gary M.; Babcock, Bruce A.; Young, Robert E., II; Beghin, John C.; Westhoff, Patrick C.; Fuller, Frank H.; Brown, D. Scott; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Willott, Brian; Fang, Cheng; Madison, Daniel; Hart, Chad E.; Meyer, Seth D.; Matthey, Holger; Kruse, John R.; de Cara, Stephane.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18292
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LIVE HOG AND PORK IMPORTS: PAST AND PROJECTED CONSEQUENCES FOR THE U.S. PORK SECTOR AgEcon
Brandt, Jon A.; Young, Robert E., II; Alam, Shamsul; Womack, Abner W..
The U.S. pork sector is modeled to simulate the effects of alternative import levels on prices, production, consumption, farm receipts, and consumer expenditures. Over the 1983-1985 period, producers annually received $600 million less due to increasing imports than if imports had remained at the 1979-1982 average. Farm prices and slaughter were lower by $2.21 per hundredweight and .1 million head annually, respectively. Four simulations reflecting alternative import paths over the period 1986-1992 were examined. With lower imports (relative to current levels), production and farm prices rise significantly in the long run; consumers purchase less and pay more.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 1987 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30217
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Outlook for Grain and Oilseed Export Shipments from the Upper Mississippi River Basin AgEcon
Beghin, John C.; Babcock, Bruce A.; Young, Robert E., II; Westhoff, Patrick C..
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18318
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REFORMING THE CAP: A PARTIAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS OF THE MTR PROPOSALS AgEcon
Binfield, Julian C.R.; Westhoff, Patrick C.; Young, Robert E., II.
In the Mid-Term Review (MTR), the European Commission proposed a series of changes to the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). An important part of these changes was significant decoupling of support payments from production. In this paper, a partial equilibrium model of the EU agricultural sector is used to estimate the potential impacts of the MTR proposals on EU and world agricultural markets over the period 2004-2009. Effects of the MTR proposals are evaluated by comparing estimated outcomes under the proposals to those that would result under a current-policy baseline. The changes that are made in the MTR have the effect of reducing the production of the major commodities by varying amounts based on the importance of payments in production and the...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25856
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The Coming Tug of War: Forces Moving the 2007 Farm Bill AgEcon
Young, Robert E., II.
The main forces of trade agreements and budgets will certainly play a strong role in driving the 2007 farm bill debate. Other factors ranging from the political makeup of Congress to the growing level of rhetoric calling for reform, from the cost-price squeeze facing producers to the emergence of nonprogram commodities at the table will also play, at this time, uncertain roles in the development of the final legislation. These various forces and factors are assessed and projections as to the final outcome of the debate hesitatingly provided.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy; Environmental Economics and Policy; Health Economics and Policy; International Relations/Trade; Q18.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43782
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THE VIEW FROM THE FARM (PowerPoint Presentation) AgEcon
Young, Robert E., II.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32847
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TRADE ALLOCATION MODELING: COMPARING THE RESULTS FROM ARMINGTON AND LOCALLY REGULAR AI DEMAND SYSTEM SPECIFICATIONS OF A UK BEEF IMPORT DEMAND ALLOCATION MODEL AgEcon
Hanrahan, Kevin F.; Westhoff, Patrick C.; Young, Robert E., II.
Locally regular almost ideal demand system and Armington specifications of a UK beef import demand allocation model are estimated. A Bayesian methodology is used that allows for the incorporation of prior information from microeconomic theory. The results illustrate the potential of regularity constrained locally flexible functional forms in modeling trade.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20510
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TRANSITION OF AGRICULTURAL LAND OWNERSHIP AND USE AgEcon
Tronstad, Russell; Osgood, Daniel E.; Young, Robert E., II.
A natural propensity was found which indicates that most agricultural producers believe their land will be operated by one or more of their children when they retire. But results also indicate that producers will be responsive to selling their land for development if urban housing offers a higher return.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Land Economics/Use.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/36595
Registros recuperados: 19
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