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The influence of climate change, technological progress and political change on agricultural land use: calculated scenarios for the Upper Danube catchment area AgEcon
Henseler, Martin; Wirsig, Alexander; Krimly, Tatjana; Dabbert, Stephan.
Both climate and agricultural policy changes are commonly seen as important drivers for agricultural production. In this study, scenarios of climate and political change were calculated for the Upper Danube catchment area using the regional optimization model ACRE. Two political scenarios were calculated for the year 2020. One scenario assumes the continuation of the Common Agricultural Policy reform 2003 the other assumes a strong shift away from payments of the first pillar to payments of the second pillar of the CAP. Both scenarios were combined with four different scenarios of climate change and technological progress derived from ICCP SRES assumptions and the ACCELERATES project. The results of the scenario calculations were analysed with respect to...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Global change; Regional model; Climate change; Agricultural policy scenarios; Agricultural land use; Agricultural and Food Policy; Environmental Economics and Policy; Land Economics/Use.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/97594
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