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| Registros recuperados: 41 | |
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| Gasparin, Florent; Greiner, Eric; Lellouche, Jean-michel; Legalloudec, Olivier; Garric, Gilles; Drillet, Yann; Bourdalle-badie, Romain; Le Traon, Pierre-yves; Remy, Elisabeth; Drevillon, Marie. |
| The global high resolution monitoring and forecasting system PSY4 at Mercator Océan, initialized in October 2006, has achieved 11 years of global ocean state estimation. Based on the NEMO global 1/12° configuration, PSY4 includes data assimilation of satellite and multi-instrument in situ observations. In parallel to this monitoring system, a twin-free simulation (with no assimilation) has been performed for the period 2007-2015. In this study, monthly-averaged fields of both ocean state estimates are compared with observation products for the period 2007-2015, to examine the consistency of PSY4 fields with related observations for representing large-scale variability and to provide a baseline that is mainly focused on in situ comparisons for... |
| Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Global ocean monitoring and forecasting system; Climate variability; System evaluation/qualification; Global ocean observing system. |
| Ano: 2018 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00448/55956/57550.pdf |
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| Gurski,Bruno César; Jerszurki,Daniela; Souza,Jorge Luiz Moretti de. |
| Abstract: The objective of this work was to define the best alternative methods for estimating the reference evapotranspiration (ETo) in the main climatic types (Cfa and Cfb) of the state of Paraná, Brazil. The methods tested were Budyko, Camargo, Hargreaves-Samani, Linacre, and Thornthwaite, which were compared to the ETo calculated with the Penman-Monteith ASCE (EToPM) method, between 1986 and 2015, in eight meteorological stations. The performance of the alternative methods was obtained from the coefficient of determination (R2), index “d” of agreement, index “c” of performance, and root mean square error (RMSE). The Hargreaves-Samani method has a better performance in estimating the ETo for the main climatic types in the state of Paraná. The Camargo... |
| Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
Palavras-chave: Climate variability; Irrigation management; Missing climate data; Penman Monteith; Simplified models; Water balance. |
| Ano: 2018 |
URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-204X2018000901003 |
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| Petitgas, Pierre; Alheit, Juergen; Peck, Myron A.; Raab, Kristina; Irigoien, Xabier; Huret, Martin; Van Der Kooij, Jeroen; Pohlmann, Thomas; Wagner, Carola; Zarraonaindia, Iratxe; Dickey-collas, Mark. |
| The abundance and spatial occupation of European anchovy Engraulis encrasicolus have increased in the North Sea since the mid-1990s. We use a cross-disciplinary approach combining genetics, transport modelling, survey time series analyses and physical oceanographic modelling to investigate 3 hypotheses on the reasons for this change. Evidence from connectivity studies suggests that the population of North Sea anchovy is separate from that in the Bay of Biscay. The recruitment pulses observed in survey data fit a life cycle which includes spawning in early summer and larval development in late summer. This also supports the concept of population expansion originating from local remnant population(s). In terms of growth physiology, suitable thermal windows... |
| Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Climate variability; Small pelagic fish; Regime shift; Temperature; Anchovy; North Sea. |
| Ano: 2012 |
URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00060/17140/14638.pdf |
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| Mwangi, John K.; Jomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and Technology, Nairobi, Kenya; PhD Fellow, World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF), Nairobi, Kenya ; joymwa86@yahoo.com; Namirembe, Sara; World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF), Nairobi, Kenya ; s.namirembe@cgiar.org. |
| Climate change presents new challenges for the management of social-ecological systems and the ecosystem services they provide. Although the instrument of payments for ecosystem services (PES) has emerged as a promising tool to safeguard or enhance the provision of ecosystem services (ES), little attention has been paid to the potential role of PES in climate change adaptation. As an external stressor climate change has an impact on the social-ecological system in which PES takes place, including the various actors taking part in the PES scheme. Following a short description of the conceptual link between PES and adaptation to climate change, we provide practical insights into the relationship between PES and adaptation to climate change by presenting... |
| Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports |
Palavras-chave: Adaptation; Climate change; Climate variability; Payments for ecosystem services; Watershed. |
| Ano: 2014 |
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| Diaz, Patricio A.; Reguera, Beatriz; Ruiz-villarreal, Manuel; Pazos, Yolanda; Velo-suarez, Lourdes; Berger, Henrick; Sourisseau, Marc. |
| In 2012, there were exceptional blooms of D. acuminata in early spring in what appeared to be a mesoscale event affecting Western Iberia and the Bay of Biscay. The objective of this work was to identify common climatic patterns to explain the observed anomalies in two important aquaculture sites, the Galician R as Baixas (NW Spain) and Arcachon Bay (SW France). Here, we examine climate variability through physical-biological couplings, Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomalies and time of initiation of the upwelling season and its intensity over several decades. In 2012, the mesoscale features common to the two sites were positive anomalies in SST and unusual wind patterns. These led to an atypical predominance of upwelling in winter in the Galician R as,... |
| Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Dinophysis acuminata; Climate variability; Upwelling patterns; River plumes; Exceptional algal blooms; Predictive models. |
| Ano: 2013 |
URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00180/29157/27554.pdf |
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| Harzallah, Ali; Chapelle, Annie. |
| The Thau lagoon, located in southern France, suffers episodically in summer from anoxic crises known as 'malaigues'. Such crises mostly occur under warm conditions and low winds. In this paper we investigated effects of local weather conditions (air temperature, wind speed and precipitation over southern France), and two climate oscillations (the North Atlantic Oscillation and the El Ni (n) over tildeo Oscillation) on malaigue occurrences based on 33-year data series and dates when malaigues appeared. The study shows that the probability of occurrence of malaigues increases with increasing temperature and decreasing winds in August both mostly associated to the high phase of an index of North Atlantic Oscillation. Malaigues are found to be frequently... |
| Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Lagoon; Thau; Malaigues; Anoxic crises; Climate variability; Lagune; Thau; Malaïgue; Eutrophisation; Variabilité climatique. |
| Ano: 2002 |
URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/2002/publication-517.pdf |
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| Arzel, Olivier; Huck, Thierry. |
| Atmospheric stochastic forcing associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and intrinsic ocean modes associated with the large-scale baroclinic instability of the North Atlantic Current (NAC) are recognized as two strong paradigms for the existence of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO). The degree to which each of these factors contribute to the low-frequency variability of the North Atlantic is the central question in this paper. This issue is addressed here using an ocean general circulation model run under a wide range of background conditions extending from a super-critical regime where the oceanic variability spontaneously develops in the absence of any atmospheric noise forcing to a damped regime where the variability requires some... |
| Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Instability; Rossby waves; Climate variability; Interdecadal variability; Multidecadal variability; North Atlantic Oscillation. |
| Ano: 2020 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00599/71138/69452.pdf |
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| Devries, Tim; Le Quere, Corinne; Andrews, Oliver; Berthet, Sarah; Hauck, Judith; Ilyina, Tatiana; Landschuetzer, Peter; Lenton, Andrew; Lima, Ivan D.; Nowicki, Michael; Schwinger, Jorg; Seferian, Roland. |
| Measurements show large decadal variability in the rate of CO2 accumulation in the atmosphere that is not driven by CO2 emissions. The decade of the 1990s experienced enhanced carbon accumulation in the atmosphere relative to emissions, while in the 2000s, the atmospheric growth rate slowed, even though emissions grew rapidly. These variations are driven by natural sources and sinks of CO2 due to the ocean and the terrestrial biosphere. In this study, we compare three independent methods for estimating oceanic CO2 uptake and find that the ocean carbon sink could be responsible for up to 40% of the observed decadal variability in atmospheric CO2 accumulation. Data-based estimates of the ocean carbon sink from pCO(2) mapping methods and decadal ocean inverse... |
| Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Carbon dioxide; Ocean carbon sink; Terrestrial carbon sink; Climate variability; Carbon budget. |
| Ano: 2019 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00675/78728/80983.pdf |
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| Crean, Jason; Parton, Kevin A.; Hayman, Peter; Mullen, John D.. |
| More research is needed before we know the implications of climate change for Australian farms. Nevertheless given the information at hand, an assessment can be made of some early indicators. First, the severity of the recent drought was compared with earlier droughts. Second, the trend in rainfall was examined. Third, projections of climate change were reviewed to assess the likely course of climate variability, and hence provide a picture of the severity of future droughts. Although further research is warranted, the indications are that even if rainfall is no lower in future droughts, they may seem more severe because rising temperatures will tend to increase evaporation and reduce runoff. |
| Tipo: Article |
Palavras-chave: Drought; Climate change; Climate variability; Farming; Farm Management. |
| Ano: 2010 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/121496 |
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| Govin, Aline; Michel, Elisabeth; Labeyrie, Laurent; Waelbroeck, Claire; Dewilde, Fabien; Jansen, Eystein. |
| We investigated deep water changes in the Southern Ocean during the last glacial inception, in relationship to surface hydrology and global climatology, to better understand the mechanisms of the establishment of a glacial ocean circulation. Changes in benthic foraminiferal delta(13)C from three high-resolution cores are compared and indicate decoupled intermediate and deep water changes in the Southern Ocean. From the comparison with records from the North Atlantic, South Atlantic, and the Southern Ocean, we show that the early southern deep water delta(13)C drop observed at the MIS 5.5-5.4 transition occurred before any significant reduction of North Atlantic Deep Water ventilation. We propose that this drop is linked to the northward expansion of poorly... |
| Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Isotope substage 5E; Ice core; Interglacial period; Climate variability; Deep ocean; Atlantic; Sea; Circulation; Temperature; Hemisphere. |
| Ano: 2009 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00208/31952/30375.pdf |
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| Wernstedt, Kris; Hersh, Robert. |
| We examine the use of El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) forecasts for flood planning in the Pacific Northwest. Using theories of resource mobilization as a conceptual foundation, the paper relies on: 1) case studies of three communities vulnerable to flooding that have had access to long-term forecasts of ENSO conditions; and 2) analysis of data collected from a survey of nearly 60 local emergency managers, planners, and public works staff. We find that understanding the regulatory machinery and other institutions involved in using climate forecasts is critical to more effective use of these forecasts. Forecast use could be promoted by: 1) an extension service to broker climate information; 2) the identification or creation of federal authorities to fund... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Flooding; ENSO; La Nina; Climate variability; Climate forecast; Natural hazards; Water policy; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy; Q2. |
| Ano: 2002 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/10813 |
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| Analysis of seed exchange networks at a single point in time may reify sporadic relations into apparently fixed and long-lasting ones. In northern Cameroon, where environment is not only strongly seasonal but also shows unpredictable interannual variation, farmers’ social networks are flexible from year to year. When adjusting their strategies, Tupuri farmers do not systematically solicit the same partners to acquire the desired propagules. Seed acquisitions documented during a single cropping season may thus not accurately reflect the underlying larger social network that can be mobilized at the local level. To test this hypothesis, we documented, at the outset of two cropping seasons (2010 and 2011), the relationships through which seeds were... |
| Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports |
Palavras-chave: Agrobiodiversity; Climate variability; Gender; Kinship relationships; Longitudinal network analysis; Seed exchange networks. |
| Ano: 2016 |
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| Lambert, Clement; Penaud, Aurelie; Vidal, Muriel; Klouch, Khadidja; Gregoire, Gwendoline; Ehrhold, Axel; Eynaud, Frederique; Schmidt, Sabine; Ragueneau, Olivier; Siano, Raffaele. |
| For the first time a very high resolution palynological study (mean resolution of 1 to 5 years) was carried out over the last 150 years in a French estuarine environment (Bay of Brest; NW France), allowing direct comparison between the evolution of landscapes, surface water, and human practices on Bay of Brest watersheds, through continental (especially pollen grains) and marine (phytoplanktonic microalgae: cysts of dinoflagellates or dinocysts) microfossils. Thanks to the small size of the watersheds and the close proximity of the depositional environment to the mainland, the Bay of Brest represents an ideal case study for palynological investigations. Palynological data were then compared to published palaeo-genetic analyses conducted on the same core... |
| Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Pollen grains; Dinoflagellate cysts; Estuarine dynamics; River runoff; Climate variability. |
| Ano: 2018 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00410/52110/52813.pdf |
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| Dixon, Bruce L.; Segerson, Kathleen. |
| Approximate profit functions are estimated using time-series, cross-sectional, county level data for 12 midwest states. Measures of climate variability are included in the profit functions. Simulated impacts of climate changes on profits are derived. Results show that inclusion of measures of climate variation are important for measuring the impact of changes in mean temperature and precipitation levels. Failure to account for the impact of differences in variability leads to an overestimate of damages. If global warming increases diurnal variation, such increases would have negative impacts on the profitability of midwest agriculture. |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Climate change; Climate variability; Midwest; Profit function; Farm Management. |
| Ano: 1999 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15160 |
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| Registros recuperados: 41 | |
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