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Registros recuperados: 10
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Adjustment is Much Slower than You Think AgEcon
Caballero, Ricardo J.; Engel, Eduardo M.R.A..
In most instances, the dynamic response of monetary and other policies to shocks is infrequent and lumpy. The same holds for the microeconomic response of some of the most important economic variables, such as investment, labor demand, and prices. We show that the standard practice of estimating the speed of adjustment of such variables with partial-adjustment ARMA procedures substantially overestimates this speed. For example, for the target federal funds rate, we find that the actual response to shocks is less than half as fast as the estimated response. For investment, labor demand and prices, the speed of adjustment inferred from aggregates of a small number of agents is likely to be close to instantaneous. While aggregating across microeconomic units...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Speed of adjustment; Discrete adjustment; Lumpy adjustment; Aggregation; Calvo model; ARMA process; Partial adjustment; Expected response time; Monetary policy; Investment; Labor demand; Sticky prices; Idiosyncratic shocks; Impulse response function; Wold representation; Time-to-build; Financial Economics; C22; C43; D2; E2; E5.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/28419
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Agricultural Trade Policy Issues in the Eighties, Current Research and Long-Term Forecasting AgEcon
Domestic agricultural policy and trade policy are closely linked. Thus, research, including long-term forecasting activities, must take into account the domestic as well as international implications of trade policy issues. The seventh meeting of the Consortium on Trade Research on June 23-24, 1983, in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, focused on the problems facing international agricultural trade in the eighties; current research efforts at the U.S. Department of Agriculture, Agriculture Canada, and the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) Secretariat; and the status, problems, and applications of long-term forecasting models.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Trade policy; Trade modeling; Long-term forecasting; Monetary policy; Exchange rates; Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 1983 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51440
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An Examination of the Relationship between Food Prices and Government Monetary Policies in Iran AgEcon
Shahnoushi, Naser; Henneberry, Shida Rastegari; Manssori, Hooman.
This study examines the relationship between food prices and monetary policy variables, using a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) approach applied to annual data from 1976 to 2006. Results indicate that food prices in Iran have a long-run and short-run equilibrium granger causality relationship with money supply. More specifically, monetary policy reforms are shown to have a significant impact on food prices and domestic agricultural production. These policies influence consumption patterns and have serious implications for poverty reduction, food security issues, and agricultural growth in Iran.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: VEC model; Food Prices; Monetary policy; Iran; Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/46078
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FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATE POLICY IMPLICATIONS ON COMPETITIVENESS IN AGRICULTURE AgEcon
Farkas-Fekete, Maria; Sagi, Judit.
By this study we follow the discussion initiated by prof. Magda in his article “Exchange rate policy and the agriculture”, also reflecting to Lakner-Podrudzsik “Does the depreciation of the forint mean a medicine or a placebo?” We argue that the real effective exchange rate – in case of small and open economies, especially in the medium term – basically determines the competitiveness of the economy as a whole, and the agriculture, as a part. In this paper we analyse the effects of the forint exchange rate divergence from the equilibrium exchange rate and its volatility, in relation to the specifications of the agricultural sector with possibilities to accommodate. In this sense we correspond to prof. Csáki, saying that recent appreciation of the forint...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Monetary policy; Foreign exchange rate; Parity - monetaáris politika; Árfolyam; Paritás; Agricultural Finance; Political Economy.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/54339
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Impact of Macroeconomic Policies on Agricultural Prices AgEcon
Awokuse, Titus O..
Existing empirical evidence on the impact of macroeconomic variables on agriculture remains mixed and inconclusive. This paper re-examines the dynamic relationship between monetary policy variables and agricultural prices using alternative vector autoregression (VAR) type model specifications. Directed acyclic graph theory is proposed as an alternative modeling approach to supplement existing modeling methods. Similar to results in other studies, this study’s findings show that over the time period analyzed (1975–2000), changes to money supply as a monetary policy tool had little or no impact on agricultural prices. The primary macroeconomic policy instrument that affects agricultural prices is the exchange rate, which is shown to be directly linked to...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural prices; Cointegration; Directed acyclic graphs; Monetary policy; VAR; Agricultural and Food Policy; Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/10239
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Monetary Policy in India: Objectives, Reaction Function and Policy Effectiveness AgEcon
Singh, Kanhaiya; Kalirajan, Kaliappa P..
In the first part of this paper, the policy reaction functions of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) have been modeled to see how policy stance decisions respond to the changes in the goal variables. In the second part, the transmission effects of RBI’s policy stances on the goal variables have been analyzed using the Granger causality test, and analysis of simple estimated models of relevant variables. It may be suggested from the results that the RBI should not be working simultaneously with instruments of quantity and price control and should shelve the cash reserve ratio (CRR) and concentrate more on price variables for conducting monetary policy.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Monetary policy; Granger block non-causality; India; Financial Economics; C2; E4; E5.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/50149
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Money-Income Relationships between Three ERM Countries AgEcon
Choudhry, Taufiq.
This paper investigates the monetary interdependence and the money-income relationship between countries under a pegged and a floating exchange rate system during the same time period (1979-1997). The relationship is tested between three ERM countries, France, Germany and Holland, and also between these countries and the United States. The ERM countries have a pegged exchange rate between themselves, and the rate between these countries and the United States is freely floating. The empirical tests are conducted by means of the Johansen multivariate cointegration method and the error correction model. Among the ERM countries, international transmission of monetary policy is found in almost all directions. This may provide evidence against the theory of...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Monetary policy; Cointegration; Error correction; Speed of adjustment; Exchange rate; Public Economics; E50; E52.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44428
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OVERSHOOTING OF AGRICULTURAL PRICES IN FOUR ASIAN ECONOMIES AgEcon
Saghaian, Sayed H.; Hasan, Mohamad F.; Reed, Michael R..
This article examines the impacts of monetary policy on agricultural prices in four Asian economies using time series analysis and graph theory. The estimations clearly show that agricultural prices overshoot their long-run equilibrium values for Korea, Philippines, and Thailand, and the overshooting for agricultural prices is larger than for manufactured prices. Impulse-response functions and variance-decomposition analysis based on directed graphs and causal structures highlight the complex interplay among the variables in the model and how those relationships differ by country. Money supply changes clearly affect real variables and relative prices for all countries either through overshooting or non-neutrality of money.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural prices; Asian economies; Directed graphs; Impulse-response functions; Manufacturing prices; Monetary policy; Overshooting; Variance-decompositions; Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15524
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Recent Macroeconomic Dynamics and Agriculture in Historical Perspective AgEcon
Orden, David.
This article explores the similarities, differences, and implications from the 1970s–1980s experience for the macroeconomic dynamic that may arise from the 2008 price spike and subsequent recession. Role of monetary policy (deviations from Taylor rule) is assessed. This is an argument that has not been too prominent in public discourse about causes of the financial crisis or the policies undertaken to restore stability to financial markets and avoid an even deeper downturn than occurred. The ‘‘misery index’’ is compared across the past and recent macroeconomic events. Effects on agriculture of exchange rates are reviewed, effects dependent on currency values and interest rates that can change quickly and in unexpected ways.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Monetary policy; Exchange rates; Macroeconomic effects on agriculture; Agribusiness; Agricultural Finance; Environmental Economics and Policy; Political Economy; Production Economics; Public Economics; E52; F41; Q18.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/92581
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THE INFORMATIONAL ROLE OF COMMODITY PRICES IN FORMULATING MONETARY POLICY: A REEXAMINATION AgEcon
Awokuse, Titus O.; Yang, Jian.
This paper reexamines the issue of whether commodity prices provide useful information for formulating monetary policy through the application of recent development in time series methodology developed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995). We found that commodity prices signals the future direction of the economy.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Commodity prices; Monetary policy; Causality; Financial Economics; E31; E37.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15834
Registros recuperados: 10
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