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Garry, F. K.; Mcdonagh, E. L.; Blaker, A. T.; Roberts, C. D.; Desbruyères, Damien; Frajka-williams, E.; King, B. A.. |
We construct a novel framework to investigate the uncertainties and biases associated with estimates of deep ocean temperature change from hydrographic sections, and demonstrate this framework in an eddy‐permitting ocean model. Biases in estimates from observations arise due to sparse spatial coverage (few sections in a basin), low frequency of occupations (typically 5‐10 years apart), mismatches between the time period of interest and span of occupations, and from seasonal biases relating to the practicalities of sampling during certain times of year. Between the years 1990 and 2010, the modeled global abyssal ocean biases are small, although regionally some biases (expressed as a heat flux into the 4000 ‐ 6000 m layer) can be up to 0.05 W m−2. In this... |
Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Deep oceans; Temperature trends; Ocean heat content; Decadal variability; Ocean modeling; Observational uncertainties. |
Ano: 2019 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00479/59021/61642.pdf |
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Friedrich, T.; Timmermann, A.; Stichel, T.; Pahnke, K.. |
Over the past decade, records of the seawater neodymium isotopic composition (epsilon(Nd)) have become a widely used proxy to reconstruct changes in ocean circulation. Our study investigates the transient response of epsilon(Nd) to large-scale ocean circulation changes using an Earth system model of intermediate complexity. It is shown that a weakening of the North Atlantic Deep Water formation results in positive epsilon(Nd) anomalies in the Atlantic and the Pacific below 1000m water depth whereas variations in Antarctic Bottom Water production generate a Pacific-Atlantic dipole pattern of deep ocean epsilon(Nd) changes. Further experiments explore which ocean regions are suitable to record the temporal evolution of the overturning in the North Atlantic... |
Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Neodymium; Ocean circulation; Meridional overturning; Ocean modeling; Reconstruction. |
Ano: 2014 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00289/40055/39405.pdf |
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Stammer, Detlef; Bracco, Annalisa; Achutarao, Krishna; Beal, Lisa; Bindoff, Nathaniel L.; Braconnot, Pascale; Cai, Wenju; Chen, Dake; Collins, Matthew; Danabasoglu, Gokhan; Dewitte, Boris; Farneti, Riccardo; Fox-kemper, Baylor; Fyfe, John; Griffies, Stephen M.; Jayne, Steven R.; Lazar, Alban; Lengaigne, Matthieu; Lin, Xiaopei; Marsland, Simon; Minobe, Shoshiro; Monteiro, Pedro M. S.; Robinson, Walter; Roxy, Mathew Koll; Rykaczewski, Ryan R.; Speich, Sabrina; Smith, Inga J.; Solomon, Amy; Storto, Andrea; Takahashi, Ken; Toniazzo, Thomas; Vialard, Jerome. |
Natural variability and change of the Earth's climate have significant global societal impacts. With its large heat and carbon capacity and relatively slow dynamics, the ocean plays an integral role in climate, and provides an important source of predictability at seasonal and longer timescales. In addition, the ocean provides the slowly evolving lower boundary to the atmosphere, driving, and modifying atmospheric weather. Understanding and monitoring ocean climate variability and change, to constrain and initialize models as well as identify model biases for improved climate hindcasting and prediction, requires a scale-sensitive, and long-term observing system. A climate observing system has requirements that significantly differ from, and sometimes are... |
Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Ocean observing system; Ocean climate; Earth observations; In situ measurements; Satellite observations; Ocean modeling; Climate information. |
Ano: 2019 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00675/78724/80996.pdf |
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Smith, Gregory C.; Allard, Richard; Babin, Marcel; Bertino, Laurent; Chevallier, Matthieu; Corlett, Gary; Crout, Julia; Davidson, Fraser; Delille, Bruno; Gille, Sarah T.; Hebert, David; Hyder, Patrick; Intrieri, Janet; Lagunas, Jose; Larnicol, Gilles; Kaminski, Thomas; Kater, Belinda; Kauker, Frank; Marec, Claudie; Mazloff, Matthew; Metzger, E. Joseph; Mordy, Calvin; O'Carroll, Anne; Olsen, Steffen M.; Phelps, Michael; Posey, Pamela; Prandi, Pierre; Rehm, Eric; Reid, Phillip; Rigor, Ignatius; Sandven, Stein; Shupe, Matthew; Swart, Sebastiaan; Smedstad, Ole Martin; Solomon, Amy; Storto, Andrea; Thibaut, Pierre; Toole, John; Wood, Kevin; Xie, Jiping; Yang, Qinghua. |
There is a growing need for operational oceanographic predictions in both the Arctic and Antarctic polar regions. In the former, this is driven by a declining ice cover accompanied by an increase in maritime traffic and exploitation of marine resources. Oceanographic predictions in the Antarctic are also important, both to support Antarctic operations and also to help elucidate processes governing sea ice and ice shelf stability. However, a significant gap exists in the ocean observing system in polar regions, compared to most areas of the global ocean, hindering the reliability of ocean and sea ice forecasts. This gap can also be seen from the spread in ocean and sea ice reanalyses for polar regions which provide an estimate of their uncertainty. The... |
Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Polar observations; Operational oceanography; Ocean data assimilation; Ocean modeling; Forecasting; Sea ice; Air-sea-ice fluxes; YOPP. |
Ano: 2019 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00512/62379/66650.pdf |
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Carroll, D.; Menemenlis, D.; Adkins, J. F.; Bowman, K. W.; Brix, H.; Dutkiewicz, S.; Fenty, I.; Gierach, M. M.; Hill, C.; Jahn, O.; Landschutzer, P.; Lauderdale, J. M.; Liu, J.; Manizza, M.; Naviaux, J. D.; Roedenbeck, C.; Schimel, D. S.; Van Der Stocken, T.; Zhang, H.. |
Quantifying variability in the ocean carbon sink remains problematic due to sparse observations and spatiotemporal variability in surface ocean pCO(2). To address this challenge, we have updated and improved ECCO-Darwin, a global ocean biogeochemistry model that assimilates both physical and biogeochemical observations. The model consists of an adjoint-based ocean circulation estimate from the Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean (ECCO) consortium and an ecosystem model developed by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Darwin Project. In addition to the data-constrained ECCO physics, a Green's function approach is used to optimize the biogeochemistry by adjusting initial conditions and six biogeochemical parameters. Over seasonal to... |
Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Ocean modeling; Biogeochemistry; Ocean carbon cycle; Data assimilation; Air‐ Sea CO2 flux; Ecosystem model. |
Ano: 2020 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00676/78824/81108.pdf |
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