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Ahmed,Ferdous; Al-Amin,Abul Quasem; Mohamad,Zeeda Fatimah; Chenayah,Santha. |
ABSTRACT This study presents an empirical examination of climate change related to vulnerability impacts on food security and remedial adaptation options as a suitable strategy by prioritizing needs over a 50-year period. An Empirical Dynamic Commutable General Equilibrium Model for Climate and the Economy (EDCGECE) is applied using future strategies for Malaysia against a baseline scenario of existing conditions, following the top-down options. The model takes into account various climatic variables, including climatic damage, carbon cycle, temperature and rainfall fluctuation, carbon emissions, vulnerability and carbon concentrations, which were adapted from national observational predictions of climatic changes caused by global warming from 2015 to... |
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
Palavras-chave: CGE; Policy development; Strategies; Agricultural sustainability. |
Ano: 2016 |
URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0103-90162016000400311 |
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Bijlsma, Rianne M.; University of Twente, The Netherlands; Deltares, The Netherlands; r.m.bijlsma@alumnus.utwente.nl; Bots, Pieter W. G.; Cemagref (UMR G-EAU); University of Delft, The Netherlands; p.w.g.bots@tudelft.nl; Wolters, Henk A.; Deltares, The Netherlands; henk.wolters@deltares.nl; Hoekstra, Arjen Y.; University of Twente, The Netherlands; a.y.hoekstra@utwente.nl. |
Stakeholder participation is advocated widely, but there is little structured, empirical research into its influence on policy development. We aim to further the insight into the characteristics of participatory policy development by comparing it to expert-based policy development for the same case. We describe the process of problem framing and analysis, as well as the knowledge base used. We apply an uncertainty perspective to reveal differences between the approaches and speculate about possible explanations. We view policy development as a continuous handling of substantive uncertainty and process uncertainty, and investigate how the methods of handling uncertainty of actors influence the policy development. Our findings suggest that the wider frame... |
Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports |
Palavras-chave: Environmental policy; Framing; Participation; Policy development; Policy process; Stakeholder involvement; Uncertainty. |
Ano: 2011 |
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Helming, Katharina; Leibniz-Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF); khelming@zalf.de; Diehl, Katharina; Leibniz-Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF); diehl@zalf.de; Bach, Hanne; Department of Policy Analysis NERI; hba@dmu.dk; Dilly, Oliver; School of Integrated Climate System Services, University of Hamburg; oliver.dilly@uni-hamburg.de; Kuhlman, Tom; Agricultural Economics Research Institute (LEI); tom.kuhlman@wur.nl; Sieber, Stefan; Leibniz-Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF); stefan.sieber@zalf.de; Tabbush, Paul; ; paul.tabbush@virgin.net; Tscherning, Karen; Leibniz-Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF); tscherning@zalf.de; Wascher, Dirk; Alterra WUR; dirk.wascher@wur.nl; Wiggering, Hubert; Leibniz-Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF); wiggering@zalf.de. |
Contemporary policy making calls for scientific support to anticipate the possible consequences of optional policy decisions on sustainable development. This paper presents an analytical framework for ex ante assessment of economic, social, and environmental impacts of policy driven land use changes that can be used as an aid to policy making. The tasks were to (1) link policy scenarios with land use change simulations, (2) link land use change simulations with environmental, social, and economic impacts through indicators, and (3) valuate the impacts in the context of sustainable development. The outcome was a basis for dialogue at the science-policy interface in the process of developing new policies on the European level that impact on land and land... |
Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports |
Palavras-chave: Analytical framework; Discussion tools; DPSIR-framework; Ex ante impact assessment; Land use change; Model-based tools; Participatory assessment tools; Policy development; Sustainability. |
Ano: 2011 |
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Helming, Katharina; Leibniz-Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF); khelming@zalf.de; Diehl, Katharina; Leibniz-Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF); diehl@zalf.de; Kuhlman, Tom; Agricultural Economics Research Institute (LEI); tom.kuhlman@wur.nl; Verburg, Peter H.; Institute for Environmental Studies, VU University Amsterdam; Peter.Verburg@ivm.vu.nl; Bakker, Martha; Alterra WUR; Martha.bakker@wur.nl; Perez-Soba, Marta; Alterra WUR; marta.perezsoba@wur.nl; Jones, Laurence; Centre for Ecology and Hydrology (CEH) Bangor; lj@ceh.ac.uk; Verkerk, Pieter Johannes; European Forest Institute (EFI); Hans.verkerk@efi.int; Tabbush, Paul; ; paul.tabbush@virgin.net; Morris, Jake Breton; Forest Research; jake.morris@forestry.gsi.gov.uk; Drillet, Zuzana; University of Aberdeen; Z.imrichova@abdn.ac.uk; Farrington, John; University of Aberdeen; j.farrington@abdn.ac.uk; Stuczynski, Tomasz; Institute of Soil Science and Plant Cultivation; ts@iung.pulawy.pl; Siebielec, Grzegorz; Institute of Soil Science and Plant Cultivation; gs@iung.pulawy.pl; Sieber, Stefan; Leibniz-Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF); stefan.sieber@zalf.de; Wiggering, Hubert; Leibniz-Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF); wiggering@zalf.de. |
The use of science-based tools for impact assessment has increasingly gained focus in addressing the complexity of interactions between environment, society, and economy. For integrated assessment of policies affecting land use, an analytical framework was developed. The aim of our work was to apply the analytical framework for specific scenario cases and in combination with quantitative and qualitative application methods. The analytical framework was tested for two cases involving the ex ante impact assessment of: (1) a European Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) financial reform scenario employing a modeling approach and combined with a comprehensive indicator analysis and valuation; and (2) a regional bioenergy policy scenario, employing a fully... |
Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports |
Palavras-chave: Analytical framework; Discussion tools; DPSIR framework; Ex ante impact assessment; Land-use change; Model-based tools; Participatory assessment tools; Policy development; Sustainability. |
Ano: 2011 |
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