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Goetz, Linde; von Cramon-Taubadel, Stephan. |
We propose a three-step procedure to estimate a regime-dependent vector error correction model (VECM). In this model, not only the short-run adjustment process towards equilibrium is non-linear, as in threshold VECM and Markov switching VECM frameworks, but the long-run equilibrium relationship itself can also display threshold-type non-linearity. The proposed approach is unique in explicitly testing the null hypothesis of linear cointegration against the alternative of threshold cointegration based on the Gonzalo AND PITARAKIS (2006) test. The model is applied to apple price data on wholesale markets in Hamburg and Munich, using the share of domestic apples in total wholesale trade as the threshold variable. We identify four price transmission regimes... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Threshold cointegration; Spatial price transmission; Vector error correction model; Marketing. |
Ano: 2008 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44247 |
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Liu, Peng. |
The Dynamic relation mechanism between ZCE cotton futures price and related listed company stock price had been studied based on the metastock historical data in January 1st, 2007 to September 1st, 2010,Johansen co-integration analysis, Vector error correction model, Granger causality test and variance decomposition method. The results indicated that: long-term equilibrium relationship existed between ZCE cotton futures price and Xinsai share stock price while which changed in the same tendency and speed in the long-term. Cotton futures price is the main reason for the changing of Xinsai share stock price. The lead-lag relationship in changing course had been confirmed that existed between ZCE cotton futures price and the Xinsai share stock price.... |
Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Cotton futures; Listed companies stock price; Relation mechanism; Vector error correction model; Granger causality test; China; Agribusiness. |
Ano: 2011 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/117428 |
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Valdes,Rodrigo; von Cramon-Taubadel,Stephan; Díaz,José. |
Historically Chile has been a wheat net importer country. This situation, added to the small size of its economy, causes that the domestic price of this cereal is highly influenced by import prices of substitute wheat. This research analyzed the integration level of the Chilean wheat market with respect to the USA and Argentinean markets using a vector error correction model (VECM), the impact of the band prices (D-BAND) and the change of the band mechanism introduced in 2004 (D-MECH) by the inclusion of two binary variables in the VECM. The results showed strong market integration among Argentina, Chile and USA, with USA leading the market. Additionally, the price of the Chilean wheat was influenced by the USA and Argentina prices. The binary variables,... |
Tipo: Journal article |
Palavras-chave: Cointegration analysis; Price band; Wheat; Cereal prices; International market of commodities; Vector error correction model. |
Ano: 2011 |
URL: http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-16202011000100001 |
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