|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
| PORTALANZA, D.; HORGAN, F. G.; POHLMANN, V.; CUADRA, S. V.; TORRES-ULLOA, M.; ALAVA, E.; FERRAZ, S.; DURIGON, A.. |
| Abstract: Rice (Oryza sativa L.) is the main staple food of more than 50% of the world´s population. However, global production may need to increase by more than 70% before 2050 to meet global food requirements despite increasing challenges due to environmental degradation, a changing climate, and extreme weather events. Rice production in Ecuador, mainly concentrated in lowland tropical plains, declined in recent years. In this paper, we aim to calibrate and validate KobayashÍ´s 'Very Simple Model' (VSM) and, using downscaled corrected climate data, to quantify the potential impact of climate change on rice yields for Ecuador´s two main rice-growing provinces. The negative impact is expected to be highest (up to -67%; 2946 tons) under the Representative... |
| Tipo: Artigo de periódico |
Palavras-chave: Modelagem agrícola; Mudanças climáticas; Agricultural modeling; RCPs; Yield gaps; Oryza Sativa; Rice; Climate change. |
| Ano: 2022 |
URL: http://www.alice.cnptia.embrapa.br/alice/handle/doc/1147973 |
| |
|
|
|
