| Registro completo |
| Provedor de dados: |
AgEcon
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| País: |
United States
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| Título: |
Uncertainty in Integrated Assessment Models of Climate Change: Alternative Analytical Approaches
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| Autores: |
Golub, Alexander
Narita, Daiju
Schmidt, Matthias G.W.
|
| Data: |
2011-02-03
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| Ano: |
2011
|
| Palavras-chave: |
Uncertainty
Learning
Economics of Climate Change
Integrated Assessment Models
Real Options
Environmental Economics and Policy
D81
Q54
C61
|
| Resumo: |
Uncertainty plays a key role in the economics of climate change, and the discussions surrounding its implications for climate policy are far from settled. We give an overview of the literature on uncertainty in integrated assessment models of climate change and identify some future research needs. In the paper, we pay particular attention to three different and complementary approaches that model uncertainty in association with integrated assessment models: the discrete uncertainty modeling, the most common way to incorporate uncertainty in complex climate-economy models: the real options analysis, a simplified way to identify and value flexibility: the continuous-time stochastic dynamic programming, which is computationally most challenging but necessary if persistent stochasticity is considered.
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| Tipo: |
Working or Discussion Paper
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| Idioma: |
Inglês
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| Identificador: |
http://purl.umn.edu/99638
|
| Relação: |
Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM)>Sustainable Development Papers
SD
2.2011
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| Formato: |
24
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