| Registro completo |
| Provedor de dados: |
AgEcon
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| País: |
United States
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| Título: |
Forecasting the Path of China's CO2 Emissions: Offsetting Kyoto - and Then Some
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| Autores: |
Auffhammer, Maximilian
Carson, Richard T.
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| Data: |
2008-02-28
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| Ano: |
2006
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| Palavras-chave: |
Forecasting
Climate Change
China
Model Selection
Environmental Economics and Policy
Q43
C53
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| Resumo: |
Our results suggest that the anticipated path of China's Carbon Dioxide (CO2) emissions has dramatically increased over the last five years. The magnitude of the projected increase in Chinese emissions out to 2015 is several times larger than reductions embodied in the Kyoto Protocol. Our estimates are based on a unique provincial level panel data set from the Chinese Environmental Protection Agency. This dataset contains considerably more information relevant to the path of likely Chinese greenhouse gas emissions than national level time series models currently in use. Model selection criteria clearly reject the popular static environmental Kuznets curve specification in favor of a class of dynamic models with spatial dependence.
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| Tipo: |
Working or Discussion Paper
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| Idioma: |
Inglês
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| Identificador: |
28706
http://purl.umn.edu/7197
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| Relação: |
University of California, Berkeley>Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics>CUDARE Working Papers
CUDARE Working Paper
971
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| Formato: |
35
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