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Provedor de dados:  AgEcon
País:  United States
Título:  External Validity of Hypothetical Surveys and Laboratory Experiments
Autores:  Chang, Jae Bong
Lusk, Jayson L.
Norwood, F. Bailey
Data:  2008-09-26
Ano:  2008
Palavras-chave:  Contingent valuation
Choice experiments
Experimental economics
External validity
Field experiment
Agribusiness
Consumer/Household Economics
Marketing
Research Methods/ Statistical Methods
Resumo:  We compare the ability of three preference elicitation methods (hypothetical choices, non-hypothetical choices, and non-hypothetical rankings) and three discrete-choice econometric models (the multinomial logit, the independent availability logit, and the random parameter logit) to predict actual retail shopping behavior in three different product categories (ground beef, wheat flour, and dishwashing liquid). Overall, across all methods, we find a reasonably high level of external validity. Our results suggest that the non-hypothetical elicitation approaches, especially the non-hypothetical ranking, outperformed the hypothetical choice experiment in predicting retail sales. We also find that the random parameter logit can have superior predictive performance, but that the multinomial logit predicts equally well in some circumstances.
Tipo:  Conference Paper or Presentation
Idioma:  Inglês
Identificador:  http://purl.umn.edu/43600
Relação:  American Agricultural Economics Association>2008 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2008, Orlando, Florida
Selected Poster
Formato:  37
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