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Provedor de dados:  ArchiMer
País:  France
Título:  Adaptive and plastic responses of Quercus petraea populations to climate across Europe
Autores:  Saenz-romero, Cuauhtemoc
Lamy, Jean-baptiste
Ducousso, Alexis
Musch, Brigitte
Ehrenmann, Francois
Delzon, Sylvain
Cavers, Stephen
Chalupka, Wladyslaw
Dagdas, Said
Hansen, Jon Kehlet
Lee, Steve J.
Liesebach, Mirko
Rau, Hans-martin
Psomas, Achilleas
Schneck, Volker
Steiner, Wilfried
Zimmermann, Niklaus E.
Kremer, Antoine
Data:  2017-07
Ano:  2017
Palavras-chave:  Climatic change
Climatic transfer distance
Mixed model
Quercus petraea
Survival
Tree growth
Resumo:  How temperate forests will respond to climate change is uncertain; projections range from severe decline to increased growth. We conducted field tests of sessile oak (Quercus petraea), a widespread keystone European forest tree species, including more than 150,000 trees sourced from 116 geographically diverse populations. The tests were planted on 23 field sites in six European countries, in order to expose them to a wide range of climates, including sites reflecting future warmer and drier climates. By assessing tree height and survival, our objectives were twofold: (1) to identify the source of differential population responses to climate (genetic differentiation due to past divergent climatic selection versus plastic responses to ongoing climate change), (2) to explore which climatic variables (temperature or precipitation) trigger the population responses. Tree growth and survival were modeled for contemporary climate and then projected using data from four regional climate models for years 2071-2100, using two greenhouse gas concentration trajectory scenarios each. Overall results indicated a moderate response of tree height and survival to climate variation, with changes in dryness (either annual or during the growing season) explaining the major part of the response. Whilst, on average, populations exhibited local adaptation, there was significant clinal population differentiation for height growth with winter temperature at the site of origin. The most moderate climate model (HIRHAM5-EC; rcp4.5) predicted minor decreases in height and survival, whilst the most extreme model (CCLM4-GEM2-ES; rcp8.5) predicted large decreases in survival and growth for southern and southeastern edge populations (Hungary and Turkey). Other non-marginal populations with continental climates were predicted to be severely and negatively affected (Bercé, France), while populations at the contemporary northern limit (colder and humid maritime regions; Denmark and Norway) will probably not show large changes in growth and survival in response to climate change.
Tipo:  Text
Idioma:  Inglês
Identificador:  http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00358/46967/46882.pdf

DOI:10.1111/gcb.13576

http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00358/46967/
Editor:  Wiley
Relação:  info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7/289119/EU//FORGER
info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7/226544/EU//MOTIVE
info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7/339728/EU//TREEPEACE
Formato:  application/pdf
Fonte:  Global Change Biology (1354-1013) (Wiley), 2017-07 , Vol. 23 , N. 7 , P. 2831-2847
Direitos:  2017 John Wiley & Sons Ltd

info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess

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