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Non-Linear Dynamics and Predictable Forecast Errors: An Application to the OECD Forecasts for Germany AgEcon
Antzoulatos, Angelos A.; Wilfling, Bernd.
Recent theoretical advances in consumption theory suggest that there may exist predictable consumption surges which, if not taken sufficiently into account in forecasting, may lead to predictable forecast errors. We use this insight to identify economic variables that might help improve the OECD's forecasts for Germany's consumption and GDP growth.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Consumption; GDP; Macroeconomic forecasts; Non-linear dynamics.; Consumer/Household Economics; C53; E21; E37.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/26169
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How Much Do Consumers Benefit from New Brand Introductions? The Case of Potato Chips AgEcon
Arnade, Carlos Anthony; Gopinath, Munisamy; Pick, Daniel H..
This study identifies consumer welfare from new brand introductions in the potato chip market. Price and variety effects of new brand introduction are measured by estimating a demand system underlying an expenditure function. Variety effects are positive in most cities, while price effects are generally negative when consumers exhibit some variety preference. Variety effects dominate price effects in most cities; an opposite effect observed in some cities may indicate high entry barriers or joint brand- and price-based marketing strategies. Results indicate that consumers and producers gain from product innovations, but substantial regional variation exists in the distributional effects of new brand introduction.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: City-demand system; Compensating variation; Consumer welfare; New brands; Virtual prices; Consumer/Household Economics; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/105529
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DOŚWIADCZENIA ODDOLNYCH INICJATYW ROZWOJU REGIONALNEGO ORAZ PERSPEKTYWY DLA PROGRAMU LEADER+ W REGIONIE DOLINY STRUGU W POLSCE AgEcon
Gramzow, Andreas.
This paper presents the results of a case study of local economic development in Dolina Strugu, Podkarpackie voivodship, Poland. Its aim is to analyse local development problems and chances, to investigate the potential of endogenous initiatives to support economic development, and to examine the prospects for an implementation of the EU’s initiative Leader+. The case study primarily relies on interviews conducted with local government authorities, NGOs, business owners and farmers in summer 2005. The hitherto unsatisfactory income situation in agriculture has been particularly precarious for the region because two thirds of the people in working age are employed in agriculture and alternative job opportunities are mostly absent. To respond to these...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Rural development; Endogenous initiative; Leader+; Cooperation; Poland; Ländliche Entwicklung; Endogene Initiative; Kooperation; Polen; Rozwój wsi; Inicjatywa lokalna; Współpraca; Polska; Community/Rural/Urban Development; Consumer/Household Economics; Farm Management; Land Economics/Use; P 32; Q 13; R 11.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/91960
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Smallholder Heterogeneity and Maize Market Participation in Southern and Eastern Africa: Implications for Investment Strategies to Increase Marketed Food Staple Supply AgEcon
Mather, David; Boughton, Duncan; Jayne, Thomas S..
In many African countries, as well as in other parts of the world where a significant part of the rural population is poor and food insecure, policymakers face what is called the food price dilemma. On the one hand, they need to provide farmers with incentives to increase the quantity of marketed food staples to feed a growing population, especially in rapidly growing urban centers where unrest can be politically destabilizing. On the other hand, because staple foods account for a large portion of total household expenditures for both urban and rural households, policymakers also are drawn to policies that lower the retail price of staple foods for consumers. Achieving both objectives – increasing marketed supplies of food staples while maintaining low...
Tipo: Working Paper Palavras-chave: Maize; Africa; Food security; Food supply; Agricultural and Food Policy; Consumer/Household Economics; Crop Production/Industries; Food Security and Poverty.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/118473
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Multiple Criteria Decision Making: Method Selection And Application To Three Contrasting Agricultural Case Studies AgEcon
Dooley, A.E.; Sheath, Gavin W.; Smeaton, D..
Agribusiness, farm business and agricultural-environmental decisions which varied in their characteristics were used to evaluate multiple criteria decision making (MCDM) in an agricultural context. This paper discusses differences between the case studies, strengths and weaknesses of the methods used, and the success of the MCDM process based on participants’ expectations and experiences. While MCDM can help identify the best decision, the main benefits identified in using MCDM included better understanding of their own and other’s perspectives, a means to explain the decision and a structured way to work through the decision process. Key problem areas identified included time limitations, understanding and ownership.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Multiple criteria decision making; Agriculture; Decision making; Agribusiness; Agricultural Finance; Consumer/Household Economics; Crop Production/Industries; Environmental Economics and Policy; Farm Management; Land Economics/Use.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/98510
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Market Access for Local Food through the Conventional Food Supply Chain AgEcon
Abate-Kassa, Getachew; Peterson, H. Christopher.
The paper examines relationships and linkages between the conventional supply chain actors (wholesalers and retailers) and local food producers based on a study conducted in Southeast Michigan. A case study approach was employed to examine chain actors’ operations and to explore their roles, experiences and perceptions about local foods. Semi-structured interviews were conducted with the owners and managers of eleven retailers and six wholesalers. The study found differences in local food perceptions, buying experiences and perceived benefits and risks associated with local food sourcing activities. The study also identified some competition between local independent food retailers and alternative market outlets. The major implication of the findings is...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Local food; Supply chain; Buying local; Agricultural and Food Policy; Community/Rural/Urban Development; Consumer/Household Economics; Demand and Price Analysis; Financial Economics.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/100876
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CONSUMER RESPONSES TO ONLINE FOOD RETAILING AgEcon
Morganosky, Michelle A.; Cude, Brenda J..
Consumer behavior in the context of online food retail channels is analyzed. The research is a follow-up to an earlier study conducted in early 1998 on consumer response to online food shopping. In the 1998 study (N=243), a majority of the sample (51 percent) were "new" users of online food shopping (<6 months); 35 percent were "intermediate" users (1-6 months); and only 14 percent were "experienced" users (>6 months). In contrast, the new user segment in the follow-up study (N=412) was 29 percent; the intermediate segment was 28 percent; and the experienced group was 43 percent. Demographic profiles and shopping behaviors of respondents in the two studies are compared. Using cluster analysis, four distinct segments of online food shoppers are...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Consumer/Household Economics; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/26530
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CHANGING PRICES, CHANGING CIGARETTE CONSUMPTION AgEcon
Purcell, Wayne D..
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Consumer/Household Economics; Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14819
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Assessment of Urban Carrying Capacity. A Case Study of Environmental and Institutional Implications for Water Resource Management in Hyderabad AgEcon
Chennamaneni, Ramesh; Rao, Subba.
Tipo: Thesis or Dissertation Palavras-chave: Community/Rural/Urban Development; Consumer/Household Economics; Environmental Economics and Policy; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/36945
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Will Geographical Indications Supply Excessive Quality? AgEcon
Merel, Pierre R.; Sexton, Richard J..
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Consumer/Household Economics; Marketing.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/114651
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CONSUMER PREFERENCES FOR NON-CONVENTIONALLY GROWN PRODUCE AgEcon
Underhill, Sheila E.; Figueroa, Enrique E..
This study examines the potential for marketing fresh fruits and vegetables with labels indicating enhanced food and/or environmental safety attributes as compared to conventional produce. Four labels were investigated: Organic, Certified Organic, Certified Pesticide Residue-Free, and Grown with IPM. Results confirm findings of other surveys relating to concerns about pesticide residues. Seventy-one percent (71%) of respondents stated they believed that pesticide residues in food present a serious or moderate health hazard to consumers. In addition, 74% believed that pesticides pose a serious or moderate hazard to the environment, and 64% felt there was a serious or moderate hazard to farm workers. Results indicate there is a positive information effect...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Consumer/Household Economics.
Ano: 1996 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/27067
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Should subsistence agriculture be supported as a strategy to address rural food insecurity? AgEcon
Aliber, Michael; Hart, Tim G.B..
At first glance South Africa’s black farming sector appears to contribute rather minimally to overall agricultural output in South Africa. However, despite the complexity involved in this sector and the often marginal conditions in which agriculture is practised it appears to be important to a large number of black households. Furthermore, the significance they attach to subsistence agriculture as means of supplementing household food supplies seems to heavily outweigh other reasons for engaging in agriculture. Some South African researchers have indicated the contribution subsistence production makes to household food security, despite the prevalent complexities and the low input nature of this production. Statistics South Africa’s Labour Force Survey...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Subsistence production; Labour Force Survey; Traditional crops; Local agricultural practices; Consumer/Household Economics.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/58215
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Local Food Impacts on Health and Nutrition AgEcon
Ferrer, Myra Clarisse R.; Fonsah, Esendugue Greg; Ramirez, Octavio A.; Escalante, Cesar L..
Prevalence of local foods is believed to answer several food issues one of which is health and nutrition. This study focused on the on the availability of local foods to consumers and see its relationship with two specific diet-related diseases namely, obesity and diabetes. Other variables were included in the analysis to provide additional evidence to previous findings. Factors considered are divided into 5 groups namely diet-, local food-, environment-, education- and gender-related factors. Diet- and environment-related variables provide the most perceptive findings while local food variables provided significant however weak evidence of positive impacts to health and nutrition.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Local foods; Diabetes; Obesity; Food environment; Farmers' market; Agricultural and Food Policy; Consumer/Household Economics; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Health Economics and Policy; I15; I31.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/103664
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APPLICATION OF HURDLE NEGATIVE BINOMIAL COUNT DATA MODEL TO DEMAND FOR BLACK BASS FISHING IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. AgEcon
Bilgic, Abdulbaki; Florkowski, Wojciech J..
This paper identifies factors that influence the demand for a black bass fishing trip taken in the Southeastern U.S. using a double hurdle negative binomial count data model. The probability of fishing for a black bass is estimated in the first stage and the trip frequency for fishing a black bass is estimated in the second stage given that the individual has a positive probability towards undertaking a black bass fishing trip in the Southeast. The applied approach allows the decomposition of the effects of factors responsible for the decision of taking a fishing trip and the number of trips.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Consumer/Household Economics.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/35079
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IMPROVED FOOD SERVICE MARKETING STRATEGIES REFLECTING CHANGING CONSUMER VALUES: INDUSTRY REACTOR, A SMALL BUSINESS MAN'S VIEWPOINT AgEcon
Goodwin, Jerry.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Consumer/Household Economics; Marketing.
Ano: 1987 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/26845
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Demand for Nutrients in Chain Restaurants in Canada AgEcon
Fernando, Jeewani; Goddard, Ellen W.; Mohapatra, Sandeep; Rude, James.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Nutrient Demand; Food Away from Home; Agricultural and Food Policy; Consumer/Household Economics; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61417
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Consumer Preferences For Loin and Topside Steaks From Beef Carcasses of Different Classification Criteria AgEcon
Kingston, O.L..
Considerable resources in the beef industry have recently been devoted to the establishment of a system of product description. A prerequisite for the success of any such system is the objective determination of consumer preferences. The trial outlined in this paper was aimed at determining consumer preferences for beefloin and topside steaks, based on selected carcass classification criteria. It was found that consumers preferred lean steaks from young, electrically stimulated carcasses.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Consumer/Household Economics; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety.
Ano: 1989 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/12442
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Food security in Uganda: a dilemma to achieving the millennium development goal AgEcon
Ssewanyana, Sarah N.; Kasirye, Ibrahim.
The status of food security in Uganda is worrying. The share of Ugandans suffering from food insecurity measured in terms of caloric intake is alarmingly high with low rates of income poverty. Based on the 2005/06 Uganda National Household Survey data, the study provides insights into access to food at household level. More importantly, the study shows that average caloric intake stood at 1,970 calories per person per day, which is below the minimum caloric requirement of 2,200 calories. As such, a population of 17.5 million Ugandans in 3.1 million households were unable to meet the minimum caloric requirement in 2006. This raises questions on whether Uganda will be able to achieve the Millennium Development Goal (MDG) 1: halving extreme poverty and hunger...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Food security; Caloric intake; Famine; Ssewanyana; Food prices; EPRC; Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Community/Rural/Urban Development; Consumer/Household Economics; Crop Production/Industries; Demand and Price Analysis; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Food Security and Poverty; Labor and Human Capital; Livestock Production/Industries; Marketing; Productivity Analysis; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/113614
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ARE THE TOTAL DAILY COST OF FOOD AND DIET QUALITY RELATED: A RANDOM EFFECTS PANEL DATA ANALYSIS AgEcon
Carlson, Andrea; Dong, Diansheng; Lino, Mark.
There is a common perception that healthy food costs more than less healthy food. In this study we use a demand model for diet quality, rather than the quantity of food. Since in our data, total daily cost and diet quality are both calculated from the foods chosen, we account for the fact that cost is endogenous. We find that while total daily food cost is statistically significant in relation to diet quality, the degree of association is very small. Hence, it does not appear that cost alone prevents individuals in the United States from purchasing a healthy diet. Other factors such as food culture and environment, health behaviours, and demographics are more important. Our findings suggest that the choice to consume a healthy diet is very complicated.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Diet cost; Cost of food; Food culture; Diet quality; HEI-2005; Random effects model; Demand model; NHANES; MPED; CNPP Food Prices Database; Agricultural and Food Policy; Consumer/Household Economics; Demand and Price Analysis; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Food Security and Poverty; Health Economics and Policy; D12; C3.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/116395
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AN ANALYSIS OF OKLAHOMA DIRECT MARKETING OUTLETS: CASE STUDY OF PRODUCE FARMERS' MARKETS AgEcon
Henneberry, Shida Rastegari; Agustini, Haerani N..
The objectives of this study are to examine consumer preferences among various marketing channels including direct marketing in Oklahoma, and to analyze the impact of various demographic variables on purchasing choice. Specifically, this research focuses on the links between demographic factors and shopping preferences. Data from consumers' survey in 21 farmers' markets in Oklahoma will be used to analyze consumer preferences using an ordered logistic regression analysis method. Farmers' market producers and market managers were also surveyed. The results of this study identify consumer characteristics that influence produce demand and consequently growers' return at Oklahoma farmers' market.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Consumer/Household Economics.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/34710
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