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Registros recuperados: 114
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Crop Yield Skewness and the Normal Distribution AgEcon
Hennessy, David A..
Empirical studies point to negative crop yield skewness, but the literature provides few clear insights as to why. This paper formalizes three points on the matter. Statistical laws on aggregates do not imply a normal distribution. Whenever the weather-conditioned mean yield has diminishing marginal product with respect to a weather-conditioning index, then there is a disposition toward negative yield skewness. This is because high marginal product in bad weather stretches out the yield distribution's left tail relative to that for weather. For disaggregated yields, unconditional skewness is decomposed into weather-conditioned skewness plus two other terms and each is studied in turn.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Conditional distribution; Crop insurance; Negative skewness; Normal distribution; Statistical laws; Crop Production/Industries; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/50084
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Weather Derivatives, Spatial Aggregation, and Systemic Risk: Implications for Reinsurance Hedging AgEcon
Woodard, Joshua D.; Garcia, Philip.
Previous studies identify limited potential efficacy of weather derivatives in hedging agricultural exposures. In contrast to earlier studies which investigate the problem at low levels of aggregation, we find that better weather hedging opportunities may exist at higher levels of spatial aggregation. Aggregating production exposures reduces idiosyncratic risk, leaving a greater proportion of the total risk in the form of systemic weather risk which can be effectively hedged using relatively simple weather derivatives. The aggregation effect suggests that the potential for weather derivatives in agriculture may be greater than previously thought, particularly for aggregators of risk such as reinsurers.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Hedging; Reinsurance; Spatial aggregation; Systemic risk; Weather derivatives; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/36705
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EMPIRICAL ISSUES IN CROP REINSURANCE DECISIONS AgEcon
Nayak, Govindaray; Turvey, Calum G..
This paper investigates the role of reinsurance in the managing the liquidity or reserve fund risks facing a crop insurer. Using 31 years of data, combined with Monte Carlo simulation the paper illustrates a mechanism for calculating reinsurance premiums and determining the post insurance risk profile. The insured event is over a range of loss ratios, and the focus of the paper is on reserve fund balances.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Reinsurance; Crop insurance; Agricultural risks; Crop Production/Industries; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21612
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THE POTENTIAL FOR REVENUE INSURANCE POLICIES IN THE SOUTH AgEcon
Skees, Jerry R.; Harwood, Joy L.; Somwaru, Agapi; Perry, Janet E..
The 1996 Farm Act and the 1994 Crop Insurance Reform Act are recent examples of policy changes that have increased risks for U.S. farmers. New products are emerging to help farmers manage risks. This article examines some of the policy changes, farmer responses, and new risk-sharing products. The focus turns to the new revenue insurance products and their potential in the South. While there are reasons to believe revenue insurance should be attractive in the South, any revenue products that use existing crop insurance rates will face difficulties since poor actuarial performance in the South has resulted in relatively high rates.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural policy; Crop insurance; Revenue insurance; Risk; Southern agriculture; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1998 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15093
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Hedging Price Risk in the Presence of Crop Yield and Revenue Insurance AgEcon
Mahul, Olivier.
The demand for hedging against price uncertainty in the presence of crop yield and revenue insurance contracts is examined for two French wheat farms. The rationale for the use of options in addition to futures is first highlighted through the characterization of the first-best hedging strategy in the expected utility framework. It is then illustrated using numerical simulations. The presence of options is shown to allow the insured producer to adopt a more speculative position on the futures market. Futures are shown to be performing, in terms of willingness to receive. Options are weakly performing when futures markets are unbiased, while they are more performing when futures markets are biased.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Hedging; Producer welfare; Simulation; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24881
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PRODUCTION RISK AND CROP INSURANCE IN MALTING BARLEY: A STOCHASTIC DOMINANCE ANALYSIS AgEcon
Wilson, William W.; Gustafson, Cole R.; Dahl, Bruce L..
Malt barley is an important specialty crop in the Northern Plains and growers mitigate risk with federally subsidized crop insurance and production contracts. However, growers face considerable risk due to "coverage gaps" in crop insurance that result in uncertain indemnity payments due to uncertainty of their crop meeting contract specifications. A stochastic dominance model is developed to evaluate alternative risk efficient strategies for growers with differing risk attitudes and production practices (irrigation vs. dryland). Results show that efficient choices are highly dependent on risk attitudes for dryland growers, but not irrigated growers. Sensitivities with respect to acceptance risk and level of crop insurance subsidization are presented....
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Malting barley; Stochastic dominance; Stochastic efficiency; Crop Production/Industries; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23561
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Risk-Reducing Effectiveness of Revenue versus Yield Insurance in the Presence of Government Payments AgEcon
Vedenov, Dmitry V.; Power, Gabriel J..
Government farm support programs such as Loan Deficiency Payments (LDP) and Counter-Cyclical Payments (CCP) have payoff structures that effectively make them costless price insurance instruments. A combination of these payments with yield insurance may provide a viable alternative to revenue insurance. This paper finds that, contrary to expectations, the revenue product analyzed is uniformly superior to yield insurance under both current (2002) and proposed (2008) Farm Bill structures of government payments. Given minor adjustments, however, yield insurance combined with government payments can provide more effective risk management than revenue insurance in production areas with low yield–price correlation.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Copulas; Crop insurance; Farm bill; Government payments; Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries; Q14; Q18.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/46982
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The Main Determinants of Insurance Purchase: An Empirical Study on Crop Insurance Policies in France AgEcon
Enjolras, Geoffroy; Sentis, P..
Using data for 2002-2005 on a representative survey of French farms (FADN-RICA), we investigate the different factors that lead farmers to insure against crop risk. Our analysis takes into account a mix of both standard individual, financial and agricultural criteria. Cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses as well as logistic regressions underline the main differences between insured and non-insured farms. Compared to non-insured farms, we find that insured farms present greater financial and agricultural sizes, a more diversified production and have been motivated by the occurrence of recent catastrophic climatic events. Although essential in the cross-sectional analysis, the influence of financial parameters in the decision to insure is mitigated. On...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Insurance; Demand; Crop insurance; Catastrophe risk; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44395
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RISK MANAGEMENT POTENTIAL OF PRECISION FARMING TECHNOLOGIES AgEcon
Lowenberg-DeBoer, James.
Initial ideas on risk management uses of precision agricultural technology focused on site-specific treatment of problem areas to reduce the probability of low yields and returns. Recent discussions deal with sensor and remote-sensing information to improve marketing and "as applied maps" as trace-back mechanisms to manage liability. A theoretical model is presented that suggests that there are plausible circumstances under which precision farming can reduce temporal yield variability. Empirical evidence from an on-farm trial of site-specific P&K management in the Eastern Cornbelt supports the hypothesis that precision farming can have risk-reducing benefits.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Food safety; GIS; GPS; Crop insurance; Marketing; Precision farming; Site specific management; Risk; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15366
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Ex-ante evaluation of weather-based index insurance and area-yield insurance for reducing crop yield risk AgEcon
Bokusheva, Raushan; Breustedt, Gunnar; Heidelbach, Olaf.
The study introduces an ex-ante evaluation concept into the analysis of weather-based index insurance effectiveness. We conduct our ex ante analysis by distinguishing between two consecutive periods: the first period is used for determining insurance parameters and optimal number of insurance contracts for an arable farmer; and the subsequent one is considered for the evaluation of the risk reduction due to the insurance contract defined in the first period. The study also employs the common ex-post approach by specifying and evaluating insurance contracts by means of the same period. We compare the empirical results obtained from these alternative evaluation approaches and thus investigate the ability to forecast empirically insurance schemes risk...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop insurance; Ex-ante analysis; Kazakhstan weather-based index insurance; Crop Production/Industries; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9250
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ARPA Subsidies, Unit Choice, and Reform of the U.S. Crop Insurance Program AgEcon
Babcock, Bruce A.; Hart, Chad E..
The Agricultural Risk Protection Act (ARPA) has largely met its objectives of inducing farmers to increase their use of the crop insurance program. Both insured acreage and coverage levels have increased dramatically in response to ARPA's large increase in premium subsidies. An unintended consequence of the larger subsidies is a dramatic increase in the incentive for farmers to insure their crops under optional units, that is, insurance at the field level rather than at the farm or crop level. The expected rate of return to farmers who choose to invest additional premium dollars to move to optional unit coverage ranges from a low of 61 percent at the 85 percent coverage level to 144 percent at the 65 percent coverage level. This explains why the majority...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Agricultural Risk Protection Act (ARPA); Crop insurance; Optional units; Crop Production/Industries; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18297
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Impact of the New Standard Reinsurance Agreement (SRA) on Multi-Peril Crop Insurance (MPCI) Gain and Loss Probabilities AgEcon
Vergara, Oscar; Seaquist, Jack; Zuba, Gerhard; Harrigan, Matthew; Lee, Eric.
We utilize an agricultural model that uses crop/weather relationships at the county resolution and fits robust distributions that take into account the impact that weather has on crop production. Once the crop insurance policy conditions and prices are applied to the modeled county yield distributions, the portfolio gain and losses can be calculated by aggregating the gain and losses at the county level, state level, regional level and nationwide level. Portfolio losses are computed under the old and new SRA rules and regulations for comparison purposes.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: SRA; MPCI; Crop insurance; Stochastic model; Weather peril; Probabilities; Crop Production/Industries; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies; Risk and Uncertainty; C; Q.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/103282
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Estimation of the agricultural probability of loss: evidence for soybean in Paraná state Rev. Econ. Sociol. Rural
Ozaki,Vitor Augusto; Olinda,Ricardo; Faria,Priscila Neves; Campos,Rogério Costa.
In any agricultural insurance program, the accurate quantification of the probability of the loss has great importance. In order to estimate this quantity, it is necessary to assume some parametric probability distribution. The objective of this work is to estimate the probability of loss using the theory of the extreme values modeling the left tail of the distribution. After that, the estimated values will be compared to the values estimated under the normality assumption. Finally, we discuss the implications of assuming a symmetrical distribution instead of a more flexible family of distributions when estimating the probability of loss and pricing the insurance contracts. Results show that, for the selected regions, the probability distributions present...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Risk; Extreme value theory; Probability of loss; Crop insurance.
Ano: 2014 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0103-20032014000100002
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โครงการการใช้เทคโนโลยีการสำรวจระยะไกลเพื่อใช้เป็นข้อมูลในการสำรวจพื้นที่ปลูกข้าว และการประกันภัยพืชผลในประเทศไทย Thai Agricultural
Amornrat Intrman; Sommai Lerthna; Nelson, Andrew; Setiyono, Tri Deri; Holecz, Francesco; Barbieri, Massimo.
The Remote Sensing-based Information and Insurance for Crops in Emerging Economics (RIICE) is a project to find ways of helping Asian countries are faced with a natural disaster. Especially floods and droughts caused by the cooperation of the three organizations, namely International Research Institute (IRRI), SARMAP and Rice Department. By the year 2013-2015 in the area of responsibility of Suphan Buri Rice Research Center. Nakhon Ratchasrima Rice Research Center and the objecttive of the project is to reduce vulnerability of smallholders in rice production through better and cheaper information systems on crop growth which will in turn lead to applications such as micro-insurance schemes. On the long run rice production should have increased, thanks to...
Tipo: PhysicalObject Palavras-chave: Remote sensing; Crop insurance; Rice production; GIS; Landsat; Rice; ข้าว; การประกันภัยพืชผล; การผลิตข้าว; ระบบสารสนเทศภูมิศาสตร์; ภาพถ่ายดาวเทียม; การสำรวจระยะไกล.
Ano: 2014 URL: http://anchan.lib.ku.ac.th/agnet/handle/001/5644
Registros recuperados: 114
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