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Agent-Based Modelling and Sensitivity Analysis by Experimental Design and Metamodelling: An Application to Modelling Regional Structural Change AgEcon
Happe, Kathrin.
This paper presents the application of the sensitivity analysis techniques Design of Experiments (DOE) and metamodelling to the agent-based model AgriPoliS, which is a spatial and dynamic simulation model of regional structural change. DOE and metamodelling provide a more systematic analysis of results of complex simulation models. When summarising the results, it becomes clear that interest rates, technical change and managerial ability influence average economic land rent the most.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Simulation; Design of experiments; Metamodelling; Structural change; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies; C9; C15.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24464
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Optimization of the sampling scheme for maps of physical and chemical properties estimated by kriging Rev. Bras. Ciênc. Solo
Pereira,Gener Tadeu; Souza,Zigomar Menezes de; Teixeira,Daniel De Bortoli; Montanari,Rafael; Marques Júnior,José.
The sampling scheme is essential in the investigation of the spatial variability of soil properties in Soil Science studies. The high costs of sampling schemes optimized with additional sampling points for each physical and chemical soil property, prevent their use in precision agriculture. The purpose of this study was to obtain an optimal sampling scheme for physical and chemical property sets and investigate its effect on the quality of soil sampling. Soil was sampled on a 42-ha area, with 206 geo-referenced points arranged in a regular grid spaced 50 m from each other, in a depth range of 0.00-0.20 m. In order to obtain an optimal sampling scheme for every physical and chemical property, a sample grid, a medium-scale variogram and the extended Spatial...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Simulation; Geostatistics; Sugar cane.
Ano: 2013 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-06832013000500002
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Biophysical and economic models for assessing impacts of change on grazingland ecosystems AGRIAMBI
Souza Neto,José de; Conner,James R.; Stuth,Jerry W..
PHYGROW, a hydrologic-based forage simulation model, was parameterized to represent a typical South Texas ranch engaged in the production of cattle and meat goats with an indigenous population of white-tailed deer. Forage production and associated stocking rates for two cattle:goat ratios were simulated with POPMIX for 20 years. Two ten-year weather scenarios, one representing normal conditions (30% drought years) and one representing dryer weather conditions (50% drought years) were analyzed. Management decision rules (ASPC) were developed for the region to produce estimates of annual animal production and operating costs for the enterprises on each of the four scenarios. These performance and cost data were then used as input into FLIPSIM, a firm level...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Simulation; Model integration; Economic impacts; Grazingland ecosystems; Management strategies.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1415-43662001000100025
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Soil water balance simulated by CROPGRO-Drybean model for edaphoclimatic conditions in Maringá AGRIAMBI
Dallacort,Rivanildo; Freitas,Paulo S. L. de; Faria,Rogério T. de; Gonçalves,Antonio C. A.; Jácome,Aleksandra G.; Rezende,Roberto.
The performance of the CROPGRO-Drybeans model for the prediction of soil water balance, as well as growth components and bean crop yield, was assessed using data from two field experiments conducted at the State University of Maringá Irrigation Technical Center, Paraná - Brazil, (latitude 23º27'S, longitude 51º57' and altitude 542 m), during the 2005 and 2006 growing season. The model simulations correlated well with measured soil moisture (r > 0.7) for both experiments. However, there were high discrepancies between measured and simulated soil moisture values on the days after rainfall. In addition, it was found that the model exaggerates the effect of water stress during the flowering phase, which leds to underprediction (19 and 29%) of crop yield.
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Water stress; Soil moisture; Simulation.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1415-43662010000400002
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Nitrogen efficiency in wheat yield through the biopolymer hydrogel AGRIAMBI
Mamann,Ângela T. W De; Silva,José A. G. da; Scremin,Osmar B.; Mantai,Rubia D.; Scremin,Ari H.; Dornelles,Eldair F..
ABSTRACT Nitrogen use efficiency in wheat biomass and grain yields can be favored by the biopolymer hydrogel. The objective of the study was to analyze the use of the biopolymer hydrogel applied to the seed in the optimization of fertilizer-N on wheat biomass and grain yields, under different conditions of agricultural year and succession systems of high and reduced release of residual-N. In the study, two experiments were conducted, with different farming systems, soybean/wheat and maize/wheat, one to quantify the biomass yield rate and the other to determine grain yield. The experiments were conducted in the years 2014 and 2015, in a randomized block design with four replicates in a 4 x 4 factorial scheme, corresponding to hydrogel doses (0, 30, 60 and...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Triticum aestivum; Simulation; Farming systems; Water stress.
Ano: 2017 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1415-43662017001000697
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Water distribution from medium-size sprinkler in solid set sprinkler systems AGRIAMBI
Prado,Giuliani do.
ABSTRACT The study aimed to evaluate the water distribution from a medium-size sprinkler working in solid set sprinkler systems. Water distribution radial curves from the sprinkler operating under four nozzle diameter combinations (4.0 x 4.6; 5.0 x 4.6; 6.2 x 4.6 and; 7.1 x 4.6 mm) and four working pressures (196; 245; 294 and 343 kPa) were evaluated on the sprinkler test bench of the State University of Maringá, in Cidade Gaúcha, Paraná, Brazil. The sixteen water distribution curves were normalized and subjected to clustering analysis (K-Means algorithm), identifying the occurrence of normalized distribution curves with three different geometric shapes. A computer algorithm, in Visual Basic for Applications in Excel spreadsheet, was developed to simulate...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Distribution curve; Simulation; Distribution uniformity.
Ano: 2016 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1415-43662016000300195
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Base temperature and simulation model for nodes appearance in cape gooseberry (Physalis peruviana L.) Rev. Bras. Frutic.
Salazar,Melba Ruth; Jones,James W.; Chaves,Bernardo; Cooman,Alexander; Fischer,Gerhard.
Data was analyzed on development of the solanaceen fruit crop Cape gooseberry to evaluate how well a classical thermal time model could describe node appearance in different environments. The data used in the analysis were obtained from experiments conducted in Colombia in open fields and greenhouse condition at two locations with different climate. An empirical, non linear segmented model was used to estimate the base temperature and to parameterize the model for simulation of node appearance vs. time. The base temperature (Tb) used to calculate the thermal time (TT, ºCd) for node appearance was estimated to be 6.29 ºC. The slope of the first linear segment was 0.023 nodes per TT and 0.008 for the second linear segment. The time at which the slope of node...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Nodes; Simulation; Thermal time; Base temperature; Cape gooseberry.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-29452008000400004
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Ant colony algorithm for analysis of gene interaction in high-dimensional association data R. Bras. Zootec.
Rekaya,Romdhane; Robbins,Kelly.
In recent years there has been much focus on the use of single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) fine genome mapping to identify causative mutations for traits of interest; however, many studies focus only on the marginal effects of markers, ignoring potential gene interactions. Simulation studies have show that this approach may not be powerful enough to detect important loci when gene interactions are present. While several studies have examined potential gene interaction, they tend to focus on a small number of SNP markers. Given the prohibitive computation cost of modeling interactions in studies involving a large number SNP, methods need to be develop that can account for potential gene interactions in a computationally efficient manner. This study adopts...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Genome; Simulation; SNP.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1516-35982009001300011
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Turix, a dynamic mechanistic model for feed evaluation R. Bras. Zootec.
Vargas-Villamil,Luis Manuel; Ku-Vera,Juan Carlos; Vargas-Villamil,Felipe; Medina-Peralta,Salvador; Avila-Vales,Eric José; Aranda-Ibañez,Emilio Manuel; Avendaño-Reyes,Leonel.
The objective of this study was to use the Turix model (a new mechanistic dynamic model that can be used for feed evaluation under tropical conditions), along with in situ and in vitro sugar cane experimental data from a previous study, to evaluate sugar cane kinetics through estimation of three parameters associated with ruminal bacterial growth: kM,SmL, the substrate uptake; kLM, the bacterial growth from intermediate metabolite; and Y VFAP,FS, the products related to volatile fatty acid yield. Values of these parameters for the whole sugar cane and its neutral detergent fiber (NDF) and acid detergent fiber (ADF) fractions were: a) kM, SmL, 16.20, 50.47 and 21.97 mL h-1 (mg M)-1 ; b) kLM, 96.00, 543.00 and 1,680.00 h-1 ; and, 1.02, 0.40 and 0.23 g g-1 ,...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Model fitting; Parameter estimation; Ruminant; Simulation; Sugar cane.
Ano: 2013 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1516-35982013000400009
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Simulation of Holstein and Jersey profitability by varying milk price payment system R. Bras. Zootec.
Cunha,Daniel de Noronha Figueiredo Vieira da; Pereira,José Carlos; Campos,Oriel Fajardo de; Gomes,Sebastião Teixeira; Braga,José Luis; Martuscello,Janaina Azevedo.
The objective of the study was to compare through simulation Holstein and Jersey breed herds, considering the farm size, zootechnical and economic indexes and profitability of the activity, by using different systems of bonus payment for milk price based in percentage of fat and protein in the milk. The comparisons were made, initially, disregarding the bonus payment for milk price based on the increase in the fat and protein percentage in milk. After that, the profitability of the activity was compared considering bonus payment for milk price of the Jersey breed herd, for each unit increment in fat and protein percentage in milk above those obtained with the Holstein breed herd. Finally, the profitability of the activity was compared by using the bonus...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Dairy cattle; Milk fat; Milk protein modeling; Simulation.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1516-35982010000400028
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Models of protein and amino acid requirements for cattle R. Bras. Zootec.
Tedeschi,Luis Orlindo; Fox,Danny Gene; Fonseca,Mozart Alves; Cavalcanti,Luigi Francis Lima.
Protein supply and requirements by ruminants have been studied for more than a century. These studies led to the accumulation of lots of scientific information about digestion and metabolism of protein by ruminants as well as the characterization of the dietary protein in order to maximize animal performance. During the 1980s and 1990s, when computers became more accessible and powerful, scientists began to conceptualize and develop mathematical nutrition models, and to program them into computers to assist with ration balancing and formulation for domesticated ruminants, specifically dairy and beef cattle. The most commonly known nutrition models developed during this period were the National Research Council (NRC) in the United States, Agricultural...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Modeling; Nutrition; Prediction; Ruminants; Simulation.
Ano: 2015 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1516-35982015000300109
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Endogamy and genetic variability in selective mating using distribution of extremes R. Bras. Zootec.
Jangarelli,Marcelo; Euclydes,Ricardo Frederico.
The objective of this study was to evaluate selective mating using distribution of extremes, among other mating strategies, on its ability to decrease the endogamy and the loss of genetic variability. The genetic simulation system (Genesys) was used to simulate two genomes (each one with a single characteristic whose distinction was the value of heritability) and the base and original populations. Each initial population was submitted to assisted selection by markers for ten consecutive generations. For evaluation of strategies, the estimated parameters were phenotypic value, endogamy and additive genetic variance, in different family sizes, for both characteristics. In all scenarios combining heritability and family sizes, the selective mating was...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Additive genetic variance; Selection assisted by markers; Selective genotyping; Simulation.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1516-35982012000500010
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A Mathematical model for the cold storage of agricultural products Rev. Ciênc. Agron.
Meneghetti,Carlos Renato; Tizzei,Alexandre; Cappelli,Nelson Luis; Umezu,Claudio Kiyoshi; Bezzon,Guilherme.
Studies of control strategies for refrigeration systems observe, among other variables, the dynamic behavior of temperature and the consumption of electrical energy. Aiming to contribute to these studies, this work presents the proposal and validation of a mathematical model for the cooling system of a cold-storage unit. The model approximates the dynamics and interdependence of the variables, to first-order systems with time delay and the summation of effects. The input variables available are the frequency of compressor activation and the thermal load imposed on the unit, and as output variables, the air temperature both at the evaporator inlet and at the centre of the chamber, as well as the electrical power consumed by the compressor. The results...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Variable rotation; Simulation; Agricultural products-storage; Electrical energy-consumption.
Ano: 2013 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1806-66902013000200010
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Principles of crop modelling and simulation: II. the implications of the objective in model development Scientia Agricola
Dourado-Neto,D.; Teruel,D.A.; Reichardt,K.; Nielsen,D.R.; Frizzone,J. A.; Bacchi,O.O.S..
With the purpose of presenting to scientists the implications of the objective in model development and a basic vision of modeling, with its potential applications and limitations in agriculture, an integration of crop modeling professionals with agricultural professionals is suggested. Models mean modernization of the information, of the measurement process and of an efficient way to learn more about complex systems. They are one of the best mechanisms of transforming information in useful knowledge and of transferring this knowledge to others. One of the problems that impede a larger progress in modeling is the lack of communication between modelers and a frequent appearance of modelers without a global vision of reality.
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Crop modeling; Simulation.
Ano: 1998 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0103-90161998000500009
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Calibration and test of the cropgro-dry bean model for edaphoclimatic conditions in the savanas of Central Brazil Scientia Agricola
Meireles,Elza Jacqueline Leite; Pereira,Antonio Roberto; Sentelhas,Paulo Cesar; Stone,Luis Fernando; Zimmermann,Francisco José Pfeilsticker.
Simulation models are important tools for the analysis of cultivated systems to estimate the performance of crops in different environments. The CROPGRO- model (DSSAT) was calibrated and validated using Carioca bean (Phaseolus vulgaris L.) to estimate yield and the development of the crop, sown in three row spacings (0.4, 0.5, and 0.6 m) and two fertilization rates (300 and 500 kg ha-1 of 4-30-16 N-P-K), in Santo Antônio de Goiás, GO, Brazil. To calibrate the model a combination of the genetic coefficients that characterize the phenology and morphology of the dry bean crop was used to obtain the best possible fit between predicted and observed anthesis and physiological maturity dates, leaf area index (LAI), total dry matter (TDM), yield components, and...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: DSSAT; Dry bean; Simulation.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0103-90162002000400016
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Choosing components in the additive main effect and multiplicative interaction (AMMI) models Scientia Agricola
Dias,Carlos Tadeu dos Santos; Krzanowski,Wojtek Janusz.
The additive main effect and multiplicative interaction (AMMI) models allows analysts to detect interactions between rows and columns in a two-way table. However, there are many methods proposed in the literature to determine the number of multiplicative components to include in the AMMI model. These methods typically give different results for any particular data set, so the user needs some guidance as to which methods to use. In this paper we compare four commonly used methods using simulated data based on real experiments, and provide some general recommendations.
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Two-way table; Principal components; Simulation.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0103-90162006000200009
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Principles of crop modelling and simulation: III. modeling of root growth and other belowground processes, limitations of the models, and the future of modeling in agriculture Scientia Agricola
DOURADO-NETO,D.; TERUEL,D. A.; REICHARDT,K.; NIELSEN,D.R.; FRIZZONE,J. A.; BACCHI,O.O.S..
The first models of temporal variation of root systems appeared over 20 years ago. The complex architectural geometry of root systems; the wide range in size and diameter and the rapid growth and decomposition of finest roots; the different physiological activity of roots of different ages; the complex microbial processes occurring at the root-soil interface; the symbiotic relationships in the rhizosphere; the variable soil environment (physical, chemical and biological) in which roots develop are the challenges of quantifying the root growth. The models are not simple mechanisms to archive information in order to produce forecasts. Modeling represents a better way of synthesizing knowledge about different components of a system, summarizing data, and...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Crop modeling; Simulation.
Ano: 1998 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0103-90161998000500010
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Ballistic model to estimate microsprinkler droplet distribution Scientia Agricola
Conceição,Marco Antônio Fonseca; Coelho,Rubens Duarte.
Experimental determination of microsprinkler droplets is difficult and time-consuming. This determination, however, could be achieved using ballistic models. The present study aimed to compare simulated and measured values of microsprinkler droplet diameters. Experimental measurements were made using the flour method, and simulations using a ballistic model adopted by the SIRIAS computational software. Drop diameters quantified in the experiment varied between 0.30 mm and 1.30 mm, while the simulated between 0.28 mm and 1.06 mm. The greatest differences between simulated and measured values were registered at the highest radial distance from the emitter. The model presented a performance classified as excellent for simulating microsprinkler drop...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Irrigation; Modeling; Simulation.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0103-90162003000400025
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Neural networks for predicting breeding values and genetic gains Scientia Agricola
Silva,Gabi Nunes; Tomaz,Rafael Simões; Sant'Anna,Isabela de Castro; Nascimento,Moysés; Bhering,Leonardo Lopes; Cruz,Cosme Damião.
Analysis using Artificial Neural Networks has been described as an approach in the decision-making process that, although incipient, has been reported as presenting high potential for use in animal and plant breeding. In this study, we introduce the procedure of using the expanded data set for training the network. Wealso proposed using statistical parameters to estimate the breeding value of genotypes in simulated scenarios, in addition to the mean phenotypic value in a feed-forward back propagation multilayer perceptron network. After evaluating artificial neural network configurations, our results showed its superiority to estimates based on linear models, as well as its applicability in the genetic value prediction process. The results further...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Genetic value; Statistics; Simulation; Artificial intelligence; Training strategy.
Ano: 2014 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0103-90162014000600008
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Principles of crop modeling and simulation: I. uses of mathematical models in agricultural science Scientia Agricola
Dourado-Neto,D.; Teruel,D. A.; Reichardt,K.; Nielsen,D.R.; Frizzone,J. A.; Bacchi,O.O.S..
Modeling techniques applied to agriculture can be useful to define research priorities and understanding the basic interactions of the soil-plant-atmosphere system. Using a model to estimate the importance and the effect of certain parameters, a researcher can notice which factors can be most useful. The modeler should define his objectives before beginning his work and construct a model that fulfills the proposed objectives.
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Crop modeling; Simulation.
Ano: 1998 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0103-90161998000500008
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