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Majkut, Joseph D.; Sarmiento, J. L.; Rodgers, K. B.. |
Concerted community efforts have been devoted to producing an authoritative climatology of air-sea CO2 fluxes, but identifying decadal trends in CO2 fluxes has proven to be more challenging. The available surface pCO(2) estimates are too sparse to separate long-term trends from decadal and seasonal variability using simple linear models. We introduce Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling as a novel technique for estimating the historical pCO(2) at the ocean surface. The result is a plausible history of surface pCO(2) based on available measurements and variability inferred from model simulations. Applying the method to a modern database of pCO(2) data, we find that two thirds of the ocean surface is trending toward increasing uptake of CO2, with a mean (year... |
Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Carbon; Assimilation; LDEO2010; Trend. |
Ano: 2014 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00290/40156/38724.pdf |
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Majkut, Joseph D.; Carter, Brendan R.; Froelicher, Thomas L.; Dufour, Carolina O.; Rodgers, Keith B.; Sarmiento, Jorge L.. |
The Southern Ocean is critically important to the oceanic uptake of anthropogenic CO2. Up to half of the excess CO2 currently in the ocean entered through the Southern Ocean. That uptake helps to maintain the global carbon balance and buffers transient climate change from fossil fuel emissions. However, the future evolution of the uptake is uncertain, because our understanding of the dynamics that govern the Southern Ocean CO2 uptake is incomplete. Sparse observations and incomplete model formulations limit our ability to constrain the monthly and annual uptake, interannual variability and long-term trends. Float-based sampling of ocean biogeochemistry provides an opportunity for transforming our understanding of the Southern Ocean CO2 flux. In this work,... |
Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Carbon; Southern Ocean; Observational system simulation experiment. |
Ano: 2014 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00290/40115/38747.pdf |
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